Peter Hegarty

Part 2 of my analysis of how inter-country excess mortality rates correlate over time with Covid vaccination rates is now available on Research Gate. Part 2 studies countries outside the EU/EES region, which were instead studied in Part 1. researchgate.net/publication/37…

@Andreas65920876 @jsm2334 observed phenomena better than any alternative and which can make good predictions. What would be an alternative to the viral theory of respiratory pandemics which does better according to these criteria ?

@Andreas65920876 @jsm2334 This seems a hard phenomenon to explain by any of those other factors. 2. Proof is the wrong standard in science. Only in mathematics (formal logical deduction from axioms) can one definitively prove anything. Rather, the standard in science is a theory which explains 2/n

Der ganze Virus-Glaube ist ein gigantisches wissenschaftliches Luftschloss. Keine Beweise, nur Modelle, Computer-Sequenzen und Angst-Propaganda. Wir fordern echte Wissenschaft statt Dogma. Die Beweislast liegt bei den Virologen. Bis heute: Nicht erbracht.

@Andreas65920876 @jsm2334 I have no training whatsoever in virology. My starting point would be to observe that some diseases clearly seem to be contagious whereas others are not. Do you agree with that at least ?

@jsm2334 @PeterHegarty17 The arrogance of virology's believers never ceases to amaze. "Basic facts"? Where is the pure isolation of any "virus" particle from a sick host, free of cell debris, with proper control experiments proving it causes disease? There are none.

@jsm2334 @Andreas65920876 more on authority than we realize.

@jsm2334 @Andreas65920876 the educational system still does a piss poor job of properly explaining to people why the scientific consensus is now that the Earth is round. In particular, I am not sure many people could give a convincing explanation for this if put on the spot. We take an awful lot 2/3

@GSpellchecker @True23290qyom There is no forensic evidence period. No 1st hand testimony. No clear video evidence. There are large numbers of 2nd hand claims that have been rigorously debunked.

@True23290qyom It's amazing you ignore all the other credible evidence of rape/sexual assault from various fields of scientific observation/investigation etc, and close the door at bizarre standard of DNA/sperm samples etc. Shameful stuff.

Being murdered makes it especially difficult to report rape.

@GSpellchecker The Israeli authorities claimed there were survivors when the UN investigated, but none have ever been identified. There is no solid evidence any rapes occurred during the Oct 7 attacks.

@krichard121212 What precisely do you claim is true/false ? You both agree that the SD for standardized IQ tests is about 15 points. Otherwise, his post seems mostly rhetorical. The phrase "communication starts to completely break down" has no precise meaning.

The avg IQ difference between two random people is ~17 points btw, this is obviously false.

@foldsproteinsII It is true that raw data from DK in Dec 21, immediately after omicron appeared, seemed to show higher rates of infection among the vaccinated-not-boosted than the unvaccinated. Would have been interesting to see the rest of the LLMs answer.

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@glenpyle effect of deaths having been pulled forward during the pandemic. But most places probably still have an excess of mortality on aggregate since 2020. This picture is generally consistent with your graphs.

@glenpyle Generally speaking, there was as much excess mortality worldwide in 2021 as in 2020, with mortality gradually realigning with pre-pandemic trends after the omicron variant emerged (so after Winter 2021-2). Many countries are now experiencing negative excess, probably the 1/2

Got to love the anti-vaxxers & their inability to understand even the most basic facts. Herman claims COVID vaxx killed people because life expectancy dropped in 2021. Problem is, the drop happened in 2020 (COVID) & stabilized in 2022....when COVID vaccination started.😂

@BridgetPhetasy Strictly speaking, I'd consider this anti-anti-Woke. Anti-Wokism was the imitation of Wokism to shut down all criticism of Israel. Thus anti-anti-Wokism is a reaction in turn against that.

Anti-woke comedy fast becoming as cringe as woke comedy because the comedians forgot they're entertainers and think their job is to "educate" people now about the "Epstein class" at "Christ is King" events.

@S_Surprenant 10-20% higher across the board where I am, in Sweden, which suggests completion rates have a lot to do with how candidates are selected, programs structured and employment conditions.

@S_Surprenant From what I can find via some quick searching, economics isn't unusual, with PhD completion rates in the US of ca 60% after 8 years, considerably higher at higher-ranked institutions. These are typical figures across many disciplines. Notably, completion rates seem to be 1/2

Many people probably don't realize how high the bar is to complete a PhD in economics. But let me explain for their benefits. A proper PhD program makes you work about 50 to 60 hours every week for a year before your start focusing almost all your time on research. If you clear all your classes, you get to take qualifying exams: 4 hours long exams on micro theory and macro theory, each covering the entirety of 3 graduate level courses. If you fail those exams, you're out. And the exams are extremely hard to pass. The problems are not broken down, so you do not have any hints along the way and a mistake can rapidly snowball into cost you 20%. And you basically do not have any time to hesitate. It's so demanding that smart people who prepare for it routinely fail. Have you ever seen the face of students who failed those exams? Because I have. These people were smart. I was around them for a year. Some of them studied physics and mathematics before falling in love with economics. And they really wanted to do an economics PhD. They showed up every weekend to study. But it wasn't enough -- and that's not Chicago or Harvard where it would be even harder. So, I am going to say something many people will dislike: most people would fail to complete a PhD in economics even if they gave it their best shot. It's just that hard. Paul Krugman and Joe Stiglitz ran circles around people who did this for years... I know it's tempting to call them names if you dislike their politics, but there is no question these are unusually smart people.

@StateDept There is no evidence of any rapes having occurred during the Oct 7 attacks, as there is no evidence of 40k-plus unarmed protesters having been gunned down across Iran in January. We know who the evil bastards are. You.

SECRETARY RUBIO: Iran would rather invest in the rapists and murderers of Hamas than their own people. The BBC and these other media outlets should be covering how evil these people are in Iran and the damage they’ve done to people all over the world.

This guy went from being a "health advisor" to the Reform Party to cheerleading for Andy Burnham in the space of a few months. x.com/DrAseemMalhotr…

@fermatslibrary The basic idea of a gravitational field goes back to well before Einstein.

American physicist Edward Witten explains why it wasn’t until Einstein's work that we fully understand the reason behind the inverse square law, and why it's specifically a square rather than some arbitrary decimal 1 / distance² vs. 1 / distance¹·⁷⁴⁸²²⋅⋅⋅

@ggreenwald Maybe by a cumulative process of propagandizing ? In this case, if they can get someone to believe that "40000 innocents were slaughtered", then they're well on their way. And many people seem to genuinely believe that story.

How can someone above the age of 7 believe that the US starts and fights wars in order to free the oppressed peoples of the world? How, if you pay even minimal attention, do you not know that this is the pretext for war -- how it's prettified -- and never the actual goal????