
Peter P
15.5K posts

Peter P
@PeterP91506768
Macro and Markets.... Posts are my own.... Municipal Bond Specialist....


Love this story. The realization is that social fabric will win over tech oligarchy plans. Love me some bottomless salad bar.


Time to start fading rate hikes. Global economy not nearly as strong as 2022 and consumer does not have cushion to absorb price hikes. Counterintuitively, it is exactly rising long end yields that are required to put the brakes on things to allow for looser FFR. The current conditions are setting up for a Q3 growth scare if they persist. I am long SOFR futures across 2027.



Why are we still bringing in H1B’s then?





Iran Foreign Minister: all vessels can pass through strait of hormuz except those at war with us




Historic drain continues Crude -4.306, Exp. -2.454MM Gasoline -4.084MM Distillates +190K Cushing -1.702MM SPR -13.829MM Production +137K to 13.71MM

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Florida Governor candidate James Fishback says he will impose a 50% "Simp Tax" on OnlyFans subscribers.





IRAN PROPOSES TO TRANSFER SOME URANIUM TO 3RD COUNTRY: WSJ



Housing Inventory, which did grow at its peak 33% last year, is now down to 1.49% 🤔 More on this with the weekend tracker Key: Hard comps until mid-June, housing shifted mid-June 2025

U.S. Debt to GDP ratio climbed steadily from 60% in 2008 to 100% in 2019. Then it shot up from 100% to 120% during COVID due to the ridiculous government spending and shutdowns. It’s now ticking ominously upward again because Washington DC refuses to cut spending.




> a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again > SPY -.3%






