Bitcoin backed loans

@digitalkryptoni @sunnydecree 10x sind soo easy.. wir sind early :)

@sunnydecree Ich glaube das tatsächlich auch. Und damit meine ich Sprünge von >10x, die wird es mit BTC nicht mehr geben und somit wird man nicht reicht. Es reicht max. als Inflationsabfederung

Mit Bitcoin wird keiner mehr reich? Ein perfektes Beispiel, warum Retail aktuell nicht mehr einsteigt. Unter meinem Video schreibt jemand: „Mit BTC wird keiner mehr reich.“ Glaubst du das auch, oder würdest du ihm widersprechen?

@Teddy21btc And what do these charts tell you? :)

@Peter__Stiegler Every day I look at bitcoin priced in real stuff, like gold, oil, and natural gas. And analogs comparing this apparent bottom to previous ones. And analogs comparing time's fib ratios.

Haven't been sharing much macro / investing stuff on here since nobody wants to read bearish takes And I've been mostly bearish since late last fall. But someone asked for my current thinking so here it goes: My daughter will be born any day now. Protecting my family's capital and navigating this fourth turning has been my number one priority since my son was born two years ago. I have been laser focused on making sure baby girl and her big brother are taken care of. And that mom is blissfully unaware of the unfolding chaos. But I can only do things that are in my control. Scrolling the timeline and getting worked up about every tit-for-tat escalation is completely useless. So what have I done instead? The majority of my portfolio has been in Swiss Francs and physical gold since late last fall. I shared my bearish thinking then. It was very hard to sell. But with my family's well-being guiding my decisions, my gut told me I had to. For the first time since going all-in on Bitcoin around $5K in March 2020, BTC makes up a minority of my holdings. And I'm still in no hurry to re-deploy. I've moved my CHF into the most stable Swiss banks in existence with unlimited state guarantees. I moved my physical gold into high security non-bank safety deposit boxes, along with some physical CHF. And besides some energy-related equities and some QQQ puts... I'm being patient with my family's capital. The closest I have come to buying anything was some arable land with a fresh water source in France. But I'm not keen on tying a large chunk of capital to the fate of France. We have a private credit crisis, a global sovereign debt bubble, the worst energy crisis in history, and potential WW3 breaking out. Global yields just began breaking out in a major way last week. Equity indexes have been incredibly complacent given the circumstances. If you think you're late to react, IMO you're not. I see massive complacency. People forget that the world can actually turn into a very chaotic place. We have been living in abnormally peaceful and prosperous times for our whole lives. Everyone is conditioned to expect TACO, v-shaped recovery, etc. But I think that changes this week. Especially if we pass Trump's 48hr deadline and all parties follow through on their threats to destroy more critical infrastructure. Maybe this is peak fear. Maybe we walk back from the brink and stop the bleeding. (not that it solves the private credit or sovereign debt crises btw) But as a steward of my family's capital, wealth preservation remains a far bigger priority for me than incremental gains given the circumstances. I have long written that I expect either the Great Debasement or Great Depression 2 in the 2020s. But perhaps we get both. In my estimation, Great Depression 2 is now far more likely than it was just a few weeks ago. I.e. everyone getting poorer in real terms due to skyrocketing energy costs, people losing jobs, and people defaulting on debt en masse. The assumption that central banks can simply print us out of this crisis is a dangerous one. Sure they may print. But they cannot print oil. They cannot print jobs. They cannot print energy infrastructure. They cannot put the AI genie back in the bottle. A serious supply crunch of oil can only be dealt with by allowing demand destruction. Printing money does the opposite. Printing money into a supply crunch of oil / nat gas is basically destroying the currency on purpose. Which may very well happen. But that brings the legitimacy of the Central Banks into question, so will they deliberately destroy themselves? We ignore these constraints at our own peril. As yields start moving higher, I am braced for a deflationary "correlation to 1" moment. I have a shopping list of quality assets ready to go (including BTC) and I will deploy capital once I see how the central planners decide to react. Beyond investing, I've stocked up on a years worth of critical supplies. My home is filled to the brim with diapers and formula. I've done all I can to prepare my family. Now it's time for a long ski erg and a sauna session to make sure I'm in the best mental state possible for baby girl's arrival. The timeline is un-scrollable right now. Just a massive doom fest. Take action. Do what you can to prepare. But don't forget that the world is still beautiful. And the best things in life have nothing to do with money. Time with family, pushing yourself physically in nature, a little bit of morning sunshine on your face... If you have the ability to enjoy those things today you're already wealthier than you realize.

@BLorilora Sehe ich auch so.

@Peter__Stiegler Ich habe keine Glaskugel. Aktuell sind wir im Bärenmarkt und es kann noch deutlich weiter nach unten gehen. Da ich nicht weiss, wie tief es fällt, kaufe ich schon jetzt. Ich bin aber sehr optimistisch, dass ich in 2–3 Jahren deutlich im Plus bin damit. Alles andere ist mir egal.

Ich habe diese Woche weitere 5 BTC zu einem durchschnittlichen Preis von 68’511 $ gekauft. Zu welchem Durchschnittspreis hat Strategy diese Woche wohl gekauft? Ich schätze 74k. Die kaufen in so grossen Mengen, dass sie sich den Preis selbst nach oben drücken.

@stackhodler @andrea_z_ @ronin21btc If his criticism is legit, your response is weak, Stackhodler.

@andrea_z_ @ronin21btc Mate, you are here by choice. Please unfollow if you're upset by what you are reading

@Teddy21btc And what are you looking at regarding your investment direction?

@stackhodler Central planners won’t be timely in their bitcoin announcements. The first ones will probably buy in some indirect, yet arguably legal way. For example, a central bank could buy in order to test the idea of bitbonds, to see if (or prove that) their yields are lower.

@BLorilora @phileo50706100 @firefish_io Videos about your arguments would be super interesting and valuable! I still hope you're starting with YouTube one day :)

@phileo50706100 @firefish_io The escrow logic mainly makes the system inflexible and increases privacy concerns. That’s why I don’t consider the concept particularly well thought out. At least three transactions per loan also won’t scale. If it could be built on Lightning, it might be more interesting. 2/2

The marketplace for Bitcoin-backed loans: Firefish. #BitcoinLoans #Firefish #Bitcoin #BitcoinLoan #Lending #Investing

@ilyaeon_alt @Tradinator33 How do you know that? Source?

@Tradinator33 I know that, same as whole CT. He’s 30x now

$SPX is back at Murad's entry He round-tripped over $65,000,000 for the culture. 2 years, 105 weeks, 750 days of bull posting just to end up near breakeven. And he's not done yet. Lesson in there.

@sunnydecree Interaktionen mit Menschen sind aber deutlich schwieriger als vorprogrammierte Bewegungsabläufe. Sind also nicht vergleichbar.

🇪🇺EU Robotics vs. 🇨🇳China Robotics

@gigagriff But Murad is only pushing SPX. He dropped GIGA, so what do you think about that?

@Peter__Stiegler best meme, metrics, one of strongest communities, most normies, on coinbase, building c2c brand etc

The issue with crypto twitter is they treat crypto like stocks. “Coin is bad because it is down.” They completely ignore the fundamentals or foundation. A coin can go down -90% because a 16 year old kid who has 1%, decided he wants to buy a lambo. A coin go up +1000% because a rando tweets about it. Crypto is the wild west, it is not tradfi. Crazy to treat them as such. Schrodinger’s Price Action. $GIGA is down the most, but has best foundation. As markets mature, price becomes a lagging indicator.

@sunnydecree 🤣 ich mag sunnys humor

"sOoN eVeRy BiLlIoNaIrE wIlL bUy a BiLlIoN dOlLaRs oF bItCoIn…"

@CoinImpulse @sygnumofficial Nur in der Schweiz und Singapur, oder? Wieso nicht Firefish? Zu kurze Laufzeit?

Die @sygnumofficial bietet bereits welche an.

Ich glaube ich werde nie meine Bitcoin-Bestände verkaufen. Ich werde Bitcoinbesichterte Kredite nutzen und dafür die Anzahlung fürs Haus machen. Natürlich mit entsprechenden Risiko, aber mit genug um Bestand im Hintergrund um eine Liquidation zu vermeiden. Bitcoin steigt langfristig während Fiat entwertet. Was haltet ihr davon? 🙂 #Bitcoin

@maximal_frei Genau so ist es, wie auch am Aktienmarkt. Einzige Ausnahme ist wohl in große Euphorie reinzukaufen. Aber dafür muss man ein Gefühlt entwickelt haben, was Euphorie bei Bitcoin ist.

Frage an meine Bitcoin Freunde: So viele sprechen davon, dass DCA (Dollar-Cost-Average) die beste Methode ist Bitcoin zu kaufen. Gedankenspiel: Du hast 65K zur Verfügung. Du kaufst JETZT einen Bitcoin und behältst ihn. Oder: Du machst einen Sparplan und kaufst die nächsten 11 Jahre monatlich für 500 Euro Bitcoin. Glaubst du wirklich, dass du am Ende des Sparplans auch einen ganzen Bitcoin haben wirst? Ich vertrete die These, dass Smash-Buy langfristig den Sparplan in fast allen Fällen outperformed. Was denkst du?

@BLorilora @luerble @sunnydecree Wie könntest du es mit weniger Aufwand verdienen?

@luerble @sunnydecree Sag ich nicht öffentlich, aber mein Jahreseinkommen lag bei etwa 115k CHF. Heute könnte ich das Geld mit deutlich weniger Aufwand verdienen, wenn ich wollte aber ich brauche es gar nicht mehr.

Time to sell all my stocks and all in #Bitcoin again?

@RobinSeyr @justredpillme Firefish?

@justredpillme Let's see. Till now I'm not seeing any good products out there, that are available for me in Austria!

Are you ALL In Bitcoin? Or do you have Cash Reserves? I was at one point massively "overleveraged" in BTC. Around 110-120% allocation. I got that down to little less than 100%. ⇒ Now with more responsibilities, I'm starting to think that there is a real use case for a "Cash Reserve" Previously, I thought: Bitcoin is my Cash reserve. And it will be the Cash Reserve at one point, but right now the short term is too volatile in Purchasing power. So in order to deal with the realities of Live, I'm building a Cash Reserve for myself. But I just can't sell BTC...so I will build it very slow and over time. And I actually think I will end up with more BTC overtime, as I can more strategically use dips.

@TheBigCycleGame @FurkanCCTV @GertvanLagen Kannst du den Post hier verlinken oder den Text reinkopieren?

@Peter__Stiegler @FurkanCCTV @GertvanLagen Das macht Sinn. So funktioniert die Sequenz. Am Donnerstag schreibe ich dazu einen Post. 📝

Bitcoin war in Relation zu Gold noch nie so überverkauft wie aktuell 👀 Interessanterweise wurden genau bei diesen Zeitpunkten die Tiefs gebildet und Bitcoin konnte im Anschluss nach oben marschieren. Wiederholt sich die Geschichte oder ist dieses Mal alles anders, was meint ihr?

@HodlHabit @BitmundFreud Hm.. I think the number is way lower. In most areas are no animals at all that have an interest in killing you. And even if a shark sees/smells you - is it just a myth or are they only interested in humans if the bleed?

@BitmundFreud We can re-model it to 1%. It still almost certain death giving the number of events.

Would you take the deal? 1000 BTC, but you get dropped in a random part of the ocean for 30 seconds every day for 5 years You get 1000 BTC tax-free to your cold storage legally once you accept it. Every day, at a specific time chosen by you, e.g. 3 PM Eastern Standard Time, you will magically appear in a random part of the ocean for 30 secs, at 3 PM daily. In these 30 secs, you just have to survive. It could be shark-infested waters, or it could also be near the shores of a beautiful island. You will be wearing nothing except speedos (or a two-piece if you’re a lady). If you’re in freezing water, you’d be wearing thermal swimwear (still miserable though). Once you accept this deal, it starts the next day. You can take a rain check 50 times in this 5 years with no punishment. If you’re severely ill, determined by a magical doctor who cannot be lied to, you will be excused, but you still have to complete a full 5 years. You cannot back out of this unless you pass away.

@BLorilora @sunnydecree 🧡

@sunnydecree Gute Besserung und einen guten Rutsch! Ich bin auch gerade krank daheim. 🤧

I’m sitting at home sick after traveling, but I wish all of you a HAPPY NEW YEAR! Let’s get it in 2026!

@hipsterallan @badcryptobitch @avidseries I think both of my parents are pretty low IQ and I seem to have my grandfathers genes (relatively high IQ). But maybe it's not so much the IQ, but mostly rationality.

@badcryptobitch @avidseries As a general rule, IQ is hereditary. Unless you married someone who is not very bright, the scenario you mention is extremely rare.

After high school, most high-IQ people — let's say those in the top decile — will have almost no meaningful social interaction with people of low intelligence. If you disagree with this, ask yourself what form such interaction might take, and how often it might occur. (Interactions with your handyman or your lawncare worker are not relationships of any meaningful "social" value — the type of relationship I'm intending to describe here — just short-lived interactions borne of necessity. You're not going to get much of a sense of someone from such interactions.)