Pinchi.🕯️
680 posts

Pinchi.🕯️ retweetledi
Pinchi.🕯️ retweetledi
Pinchi.🕯️ retweetledi
Pinchi.🕯️ retweetledi

@Armv7lFx @Lighter_xyz You forgot to take into account the points from referrals, so you can add about another 8-10%. For influencers, referrals give 15–20%, but for regular users it used to be 5%, and since summer it became 10% (I don’t remember exactly when)
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This is my guess regarding the @Lighter_xyz airdrop.
I downloaded all the announcements from the Lighter Discord server and used Mistral with Ollama to extract the amounts of distributed points.
The result: 11,714,182 points were distributed.
The team also removed some points from sybil accounts. I will not count those, as I cannot estimate the exact amount. DYOR.
A transaction on Etherscan shows that 250M $LIT were transferred:
etherscan.io/tx/0x5a03d8783…
I will therefore consider a 25% supply airdrop (since total max supply is 1B $LIT). Current pre-market prices on perpetual exchanges are around $3.5.
From this, we can calculate:
$LIT per point = 250,000,000 ÷ 11,714,182 ≈ 21.35 $LIT/point
Value per point (USD) = 21.35 × 3.5 ≈ $74.7
This gives a total airdrop value of approximately $875M, which represents 25% of the total LIT supply.
I don't know if i missed anything, it is the first time i am calculating this, feel free to correct me!

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@_choppingblock @vnovakovski "in the next two weeks
there'll be a lot of
announcements"
🕯️
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Imagine spending months on research, just to have CT turn on you.
Tarun explains the whiplash + we pulled up with @vnovakovski
Timestamps
00:00 Intro
01:38 Tarun’s ADL Paper Sparks Backlash
05:24 Research vs Bag Defense
06:27 How ADLs Work
12:27 Fairness vs Predictability
24:14 Tarun’s Inspiration
28:17 Zero-Fee Perps Explained
34:12 Perp Wars Heat Up
38:15 RWAs Trade Onchain
41:49 Token Launch Reality
47:19 Tokens vs Equity Clash
🔥Stay updated with all the latest hot takes by following and subscribing to @_ChoppingBlock and @unchained_pod!
🎥 YouTube: youtu.be/FCizHksGCC8
🎧 Spotify: bit.ly/3wiIOyy
🍎 Apple: bit.ly/3w9HQ7J
🎙 Podcast Home: choppingblock.xyz

YouTube
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Pinchi.🕯️ retweetledi

Assets added to the roadmap today: Lighter (LIGHTER)
coinbase.com/blog/increasin…
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@0xFarlight @PolymarketStory @PolymarketTrade if there’s no TGE by December 31, this market will resolve to NO
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@PolymarketStory @PolymarketTrade I thought Lighter > 1 its iron-clad bet
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@zostaff @PolymarketStory @PolymarketTrade Lighter still looks like the best opportunity that was available in 2025, so you’re partly right, but Lighter shouldn’t have been skipped.
what you see on the chart is the result of the condition: if there’s no TGE by December 31, this market will resolve to NO
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@PolymarketStory @PolymarketTrade no, it’s just not that profitable anymore
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@Crypto_Albert13 @Route2FI and btw vote in 2) was started by Vlad also
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@Crypto_Albert13 @Route2FI 1) At the end of September, during Lighter’s side event at KBW (Korea Blockchain Week), it was mentioned that there were plans to launch a meme token.
2) Some time later, there was a vote in Lighter’s official Telegram regarding the name of the memecoin
check next comment for 3)
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Trying a bet on Lighter not to airdrop before Dec 31st at 17c (odds: 5,88).
If I remember correctly spot was supposed to come in October/early November, but it was delayed and launched a couple of days ago. Based on this it might be hard to get the airdrop out in time. The airdrop may have some terms you need to sign due to legal reasons (Hyperliquid had this), so this is my main argument that they won't make it.
What speaks against the bet is this phrase: "If Lighter launches a memecoin and performs an airdrop of that token within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution."
A memecoin might absolutely happen, but with almost 6x the money on NO, it is worth a small bet. If you want to semi-hedge you could bet YES that the Lighter FDV will be above 1b one day after launch.
If you want to "semi-hedge" you could end up earning $30 no matter which outcome there is.
Bet $160 on YES 70c --> $230
Bet $40 on NO 17c --> $230
Just a warning, this is not a sure-win because:
1. Lighter might launch lower than $1b FDV (unlikely, but the scenario is there)
2. Lighter launches a memecoin, but not the main token (could see this happen)
3. Lighter launches after Dec 31st, eg. in January
Cheers, and good luck


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@Crypto_Albert13 @Route2FI 3) Additionally, in Lighter’s CIS chat (where Novakovsky is present), someone asked Vlad when the drop was planned. He replied, “The meme or the main token?” After the person clarified that they were asking about the main token, Vlad responded with a Santa emoji.
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Pinchi.🕯️ retweetledi

@WallstreetJade @lighter_daily He was too late, not everyone got points, only the first 100-200
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Not true, at least as far as I know at Lighter Daily.
Jack@hooleesheetJack
So the earliest ETH deposits got 50 @Lighter_xyz Points? If that’s true then fuck me… I missed it already. FUCK FUCK FUCKKK.
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@lighter_daily I had 0 trades since november 17 and got 50.05 points this week (0.3 from referrals). I made a deposit just a couple of minutes after the spot launch. I’ve also seen a lot of people in the chat with the same situation. It’s 100% true, maybe the first 100 depositors got it.
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Haven’t touched perps for 3 weeks. Made a $3 deposit during the @Lighter_xyz spot launch and got 50 points. How’s it going for you guys? Got your 0.69 points for 1M volume yet?

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