PipsArcade

🇦🇪🇸🇦 The unlikely winner from the Iran war may turn out to be the UAE It increasingly seems to believe it can challenge Saudi directly because it now has two extremely powerful insurance policies: Israel on one side and the U.S on the other. From Abu Dhabi’s perspective, history suggests that strategy works. Qatar survived Saudi pressure in the 1990s by aligning closely with Washington, hosting major U.S military bases, and signaling an openness to informal diplomatic and economic ties with Israel. Kuwait survived Saddam Hussein by calling in the Americans. Now the UAE appears to be looking at both examples and concluding: “If smaller Gulf states survived bigger neighbors by partnering with the Americans, why can’t we?” Which explains why Abu Dhabi suddenly looks far more willing to clash openly with Riyadh over OPEC, Yemen, Sudan, regional influence, and now Iran. And once Israel entered the Gulf power equation, the old Arab hierarchy started looking a lot less stable. Because nothing accelerates geopolitical confidence quite like having Washington’s military umbrella and Israeli intelligence cooperation sitting behind you while you pick fights with your larger neighbor. Source: MOVE

🇺🇦 Ukraine just built its own guided glide bomb from scratch, 250kg warhead, combat-ready. 17 months from concept to deployment. The less Ukraine needs to ask for, the harder it becomes to pressure them into a deal. Source: Kyiv Post

🇺🇸🇮🇷 An attack on Iran was scheduled for tomorrow. Trump just cancelled it. Not because of diplomacy, but because the Emir of Qatar, the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, and the President of the UAE called him personally and said: don't. The fact he mentioned the Gulf shows they are trying to improve relations with Iran, in my view. Trump posted it himself. Every time Trump needs a delay he says someone is asking him to stop...