@dead_baseball @dnc_rlplcrtk he's only gained ~1 WAR on Trout this season!
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internet poster
5.6K posts
internet poster
@PosterInternet
posting, on the internet
Katılım Mayıs 2022
429 Takip Edilen988 Takipçiler
@dnc_rlplcrtk Way too early to tell. For Witt to match Trout through their age 26 seasons, he'd need 39.4 WAR the rest of the season.
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He's going to be one of those guys where you blink and he all of a sudden has 50+ career WAR.
AT@BaseballWRLD_
The first player in baseball to 3 War this season: Bobby Witt Jr.
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@tinioril crime (there is some immigration subtext as well, but that makes more sense in the UK context):
ɖʀʊӄքǟ ӄʊռʟɛʏ 🇧🇹🇹🇩@kunley_drukpa
You have to remember these kinds of ‘systemic’ problems are not especially difficult to fix if you actually wanted to
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@PosterInternet Is the original source just about "remigration" or something?
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Claude is sufficiently neutered that it won't touch anything near the original source of the meme, and most of its suggestions are far worse and less effective
Arram@arram
Asked Claude: 'There's a meme called the "fix everything easily switch". What policies do you think are the best candidates for being a real fix everything switch in the US? Give me your top ten, your confidence, your reasoning, and why a given policy has not been implemented.'
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@tomer_stern @captgouda24 grad student union participants suffer from insane levels of adverse selection
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@captgouda24 Isn’t the expected income after getting a grad degree at Harvard very high? Surely they would make more money just spending more time on their CV and less time union organizing. It’s very odd
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Harvard should crush the strikers. Don't give them an inch. The good grad students are there to do research, not quarrel.
Stephen E. Sachs@StephenESachs
From the latest missive from the striking Harvard graduate student union, sent to all faculty:
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internet poster retweetledi
I once sat next to Robert Reich on a flight. He chose an exit row seat with five feet of legroom. I found that very telling.
Robert Reich@RBReich
There are basically 5 ways to accumulate a billion dollars: 1) Profiting from a monopoly 2) Insider-trading 3) Political payoffs 4) Fraud 5) Inheritance Don’t believe the self-made myth.
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@mrpatriots1776 @sp6runderrated I understand that reading is hard, but max vertical (running) is not the same as the NFL standing vertical measurement.
Tobi Lawal had a 40" standing vertical, worse than the aforementioned 272 pound Myles Garrett: x.com/tmetcalf11/sta…
Tyler Metcalf@tmetcalf11
Didn’t last long. Tobi Lawal my goodness. 45.5 max vertical 40 no step
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@PosterInternet @sp6runderrated Damn a 6’8 dude jumped 45 inches today what happened?
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Basketball is my favorite sport. I'm sure height explains why basketball ==> football crossovers are more common.
It is possible to add muscle but not height.
NFL player with the athleticism to play in the NBA are way shorter than average NBA player.
jokermag.com/average-height…
TG@TommyGunnNBA
Another L for the “football players could easily play in the NBA” crowd… We see some random average D1 basketball player get an NFL tryout/contract almost every offseason. The inverse never happens for college football -> NBA Any other takes are pure cope.
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@NateSilver538 I assume this is roughly equivalent to watching one of the deadpool sequels
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I think it's actually kind of revealing how shitty this is it's just random incoherent tropes
PJ Ace@PJaccetturo
This is one of the best short films I've seen in years. Very soon, we'll stop calling it "AI film" and just call it film.
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Pat Riley infamously trademarked the term threepeat! Surowiecki could have of course have cornered the market on "Wisdom of the Crowd"-branded lunchboxes, just as Lucas did for Chewbacca-branded ones.
James Surowiecki@JamesSurowiecki
@NoahProoval I invented the phrase "the wisdom of crowds." Should I be paid every time someone uses that phrase? If not, why not?
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@FangYi11101 unsurprisingly a near-perfect example of 2) here:
internet poster@PosterInternet
Bloomberg and Jim Simons are even clearer examples of value creation than TSwift or LeBron, but 1) you have to meet your interlocutors on some semblance of shared ground, and 2) many have parasocial relationships with celebs despite their leftism so it's funny to push on this
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Pour one out for all the poor people exploited by *checks notes* D.E. Shaw’s stat arb desk.
x.com/karolina_minor…
Leksi@Karolina_Minoru
@FangYi11101 Name ten billionaires who got rich without exploiting poor people . Go ahead
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@quant_____ this is probably the nicest thing that anyone has ever said about my account and I appreciate it, but I suspect that my particular interests are far too niche to ever move out of lowbie status
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@PosterInternet Unrelated but I always assume this account has like 50k followers. Inefficient market smh
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Bloomberg and Jim Simons are even clearer examples of value creation than TSwift or LeBron, but 1) you have to meet your interlocutors on some semblance of shared ground, and 2) many have parasocial relationships with celebs despite their leftism so it's funny to push on this
Matthew Yglesias@mattyglesias
I think it’s interesting that going back at least as far as Nozick and Wilt Chamberlain the go-to examples for this argument are always celebrity entertainers when obviously the vast majority of extreme wealth is either successful founders, successful investors, or their heirs.
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@whtevrgoshre you’re telling me that George Lucas is the greatest toy salesman *and* the greatest film franchise creator of all time? certainly seems like society has correctly allocated returns to him.
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@PosterInternet He's actually right on the money about George Lucas. Man was always a toy salesman first and a filmmaker second
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guys I’m starting to suspect that Matt Bruenig is not a serious thinker
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@tacitdimension it’s good, actually, when people capture the value that they create
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A good example of negative polarization. There's nothing wrong with this screenshot. That's just how IP works.
internet poster@PosterInternet
guys I’m starting to suspect that Matt Bruenig is not a serious thinker
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Big Man Theory of politics remains undefeated
Average Basketball Players@avgbballplayers
BREAKING: NBA legend Greg Ostertag has been elected as mayor of Mt. Vernon, Texas 🎉
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@ben_golub the first guy has much better options than the second guy does!
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@analagoons even as someone who is a huge believer in the existence of Talent the predictive power is still almost unbelievable to me:
internet poster@PosterInternet
@VictorPontis @cremieuxrecueil 6 hour timed test at age 17-18 that ostensibly uses only elementary mathematics vs a combined body of groundbreaking mathematical research up to age 40 it's roughly equivalent to spelling bee winners or scrabble champions making up half of our greatest novelists
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The fields medals/IMO medalist relationship has always seemed way more interesting to me than it might appear at first glance. “But they’re both math!” and yet the skill sets needed seem so different.
internet poster@PosterInternet
not even remotely true for the NBA, also not close to being true for academic mathematics as well (about half of Fields Medalists are also IMO medalists)
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this is good because it’s a very easy tell for AI slop
Pizza@number_pizza111
@captgouda24 @atlanticesque speaks of this
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@AlexTISYoung I think an even more basic point is that enrolling kids into intensive chess training (an activity with pretty terrible returns to effort/investment) selects for smarter-than-average, but not the smartest, parents
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I didn't expect this to go viral.
The original study is too small to have the power to tell us much about the relationship between IQ and other factors in chess ability.
But I noticed a lot of misunderstanding of Berkson's paradox in the comments.
It is possible for strongly positively correlated variables to become negatively correlated in a subsample that is highly selected on their sum.
See this plot: even variables correlated at 0.8 become negatively correlated in the subsample that is 3SDs above the average on their sum (top ~0.1%).
So it's plausible that chess skill (a specific ability) and IQ (general cognitive ability) could be negatively correlated in elite players despite a high correlation in the general population of chess players, if elite players are selected on some combination of chess skill and IQ.
Alex Strudwick Young@AlexTISYoung
Isn't this a collider bias phenomenon? If becoming an elite chess kid is due to some combination of IQ and chess skill not explained by IQ, then we'd expect a negative correlation between IQ and chess skill in the elite subsample.
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@EnriqueDiazAlva it has virtually nothing to do with the spirit of the original question, which roughly should be parsed as how much value one can generate in society in a basically non-exploitative way
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@EnriqueDiazAlva yes, this is exactly it: the Bruenig argument is much less about IP law per se and more a rehashed version of "Lucas couldn't become rich without the basic structure of modern society", which is obviously true to some degree but almost a complete dodge of the original question.
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@turincomplete I think the sign can certainly flip depending on external selection processes and how strong the returns to training vs "innate talent" are.
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@PosterInternet ok, someone else pointed it out x.com/mattcschwartz/…
Matt Schwartz@mattcschwartz
@AlexTISYoung No, you'd expect negative correlation between IQ and chess skill not explained by IQ. Not IQ and chess skill in general (i.e. strength of player). I'm somewhat skeptical that the claim is generally true
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not even remotely true for the NBA, also not close to being true for academic mathematics as well (about half of Fields Medalists are also IMO medalists)
Marios Georgakis@MariosGeorgakis
Among elite chess players, those with the lowest IQ are the best. Among NBA players, the shortest ones are the best. Among Hollywood actors, the least attractive are the most talented. Among elite academics, those with poorer early academic performance are the best. Among people with high LDL & high plaque burden, LDL is barely correlated with plaque burden. Learn collider bias. Nice catch by @AlexTISYoung
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