Prospect708

Large cap alts are now at their most important support level. Lose this level and I'll start looking for jobs again.

@vahphor @lu_lu_x Source: I have a blue check mark 🤡

@lu_lu_x I’m telling you, can’t believe she want to get married to another man so soon, why men can’t even do this, I thought she even loved him 😤🤦‍♀️

Vanessa Bryant has finally found a new man in Jaylen Brown. It is said that he and Kobe Bryant were very close, and since Kobe’s passing, he has been taking care of Kobe’s family. Now, Vanessa has reportedly fallen in love with him, and they are planning to get married.

$BTC is still in the Wyckoff distribution phase. Charts don't lie, people do.

@bariksis Lol, sure thing. As if people can’t jump in and make money once a trend is proven. That “I need to catch the exact top or bottom” mindset is the worst. Most people don’t sell they just ride it all the way down. At the end of the day, what matters is whether you sold or held

Not a single meaningful post from Benjamin 'Always Right' Cowen as of late. Remember how insufferably loud he was from Nov-Feb? I guess the motivation to post is difficult when you're eventually proven wrong. It's going to be an awkward 6-18 months for a lot of bears on this app.

$BTC forming another bear flag breakout Last time this pattern led to a 32% dump This one is breaking down the same way One daily close below $65,000 could push us to new lows Lose it and the same dump lead us to $43K

@GellerKogan They only want to hear about 200k in 3 months when the cycle has slowly been breaking down since the end of 2025. Good riddance.

@Prospect708 & you did say you believe in an April & May rally but I guess that’s not good enough for people

Losing followers because im not bullish. Go fuck yourselfs. Fucking retards

Is this time different?

@Sykodelic_ There's nothing bullish, cycles take time to break down and we're witnessing it in real time. We'll see a relief rally but it won't go that high. Then we'll bottom in the fall. People need to think for themselves and stop being so dumb

@Sykodelic_ We're going to bottom and start a new cycle and some of you will continue to spew nonsense. Do better. Misleading people for a paid groups nasty work. The previous cycle is breaking down like it has in previous years. People cant be this dumb 😒 🙄

There is a chance we will sweep the $60k lows and hit the $50k's. You can't deny that the structure is bearish and distributive. We also have a pretty large headwind with the unexpected nature of this war... and potential escalation to a level that the market is not pricing in at the moment. The energy crisis is gaining momentum around the world and this could induce some kind of black swan move. I know you cant predict a black swan, cos they are unpredictable events... But an unexpected aggressive escalation or development that catches market participants off guard is not out of the question. Nothing is guaranteed, but that is how it looks. However, it is VERY unlikely that it follows the exact same pattern as before. What we are more likely to get is a push higher into the $80k's, meet the 1W 50EMA and get everyone bullish again... Only to lose it and then head for the lows, likely around something to do with the war... Convince everyone of $40k... Then fully mark the bottom. It is literally impossible to know this for sure... All I know is that we are putting in the pieces here for a bottom, and all technicals and on chain metrics tell me that. But the process will be volatile and confusing, and it will happen in such a way that misleads as many market participants as possible. Be ready for all outcomes.

$BTC (1D) - Bear flag rejection Yesterday I mentioned Bitcoin was still trading inside a bear flag on the daily chart. Price has now been rejected at the top of the channel near $76K and is currently sitting around the midline of the structure while the RSI retests its breakout. This area could act as a short-term decision point. Lose the midline and RSI retest and a move back toward the bottom of the channel becomes likely. The next catalyst will probably come from today's FOMC meeting.

The current Bitcoin bear market now lines up with last cycle's (2022) after a brief period of worse performance. According to other cycles, the most likely next step is a decline to 45k and eventually 35k, where drawdowns unify from June to September. That's not unlikely given the room most indicators have to go before bottoming out, and bottom support metrics which line up in that zone (35k - 45k). It's the last drop that does most of the damage, which has been the part that decreases every cycle. It will be interesting to see what happens then! (October - November of this year)

Another way to look at this is failing to break above or breaking above the 0.382 level.. If we were to reject on a monthly close then we could entertain down-side.. However a monthly close above and the bottom is confirmed.. Level is $74.3k approx..

@Ze3k7 @Sykodelic_ Liquidity and market conditions are terrible. Throw a war into the mix. Pass whatever you guys are smoking

@Sykodelic_ Its dumb they think its 4 years just because it's 4 years....something drives the price...its not time...its liquidity and market conditions

This cycle IS different. And this is the only chart you need to understand that. The 4 year cycle has NOTHING other than two sample sizes to provide itself validation. It is rooted in nothing other than time. Whereas the business cycle has every single major market chart providing it confluence. Every single cycle has been the same, and it is not about time... It is about the macro and business cycle. This chart makes it clear as day. 1. Gold runs during economic contraction(uncertainty) 2. Gold tops when ISM breaks into expansion(certainty) 3. Risk assets enter their true bull cycle 4. BTC.D begins its end of cycle downtrend Every single one of these fundamental charts lines up... And that is because the cycle is actually governed by the business and economic cycle, that is inherently linked to actual economic and liquidity performance. The reason next to no one can see this is they are totally consumed by the Bitcoin chart, and the 4 year cycle. Because we have never had a cycle like this, that has been lengthened due to the longest ever business cycle contraction... No one can fathom this outcome. Humans have a very hard time believing in something that has not happened before, and they will always side with something that has happened. And this will be the exact reason so many will be caught offsides here... Because we are not heading lower. I welcome any and all bears to debate me on this, to provide a counter thesis to this... But I know they won't because you can't. Why do you think this was the weakest cycle so far? Why did almost no alts break higher? Why has Gold gone on its largest run ever? Because the business cycle contracted for the longest time ever. Everything you need to understand this is right in front of you.

@AskCryptoWealth He rugged the full blown alt season by sucking the liquidity out. We were at 96k a month and a half ago and people are saying the bull markets back 😂. I love your work btw but im a big boy and made up my own mind. God speed

@AskCryptoWealth I think we're going to get a relief rally from April into May. Sell in May and go away before we finally get the final bear market bottom. Alts didnt run because this was the first cycle under QT not QE. Add to the fact solana was about to rip to new highs, Trump released $Trump

Alts you could say in this “4 year cycle” had one bullish year until from 2023-24 then they have been in a bear phase.. BTC topped in Dec 2024 with 2025 high classified as a B wave IMO… So I don’t agree with the 4 year cycle being a normal cycle as I have stated before.. This would mean we would be bottoming now..

Facts. Chicago is 20,000 years old.

Look like the little rascals tryna get a loan from the bank 😂

There are no longs left on the liquidation map, where is it going, inadequate market behavior...

@Sykodelic_ @RhythmKing This cycle happened entirely during QT not QE. Bitcoin's lucky it hit 126k. At this point its obvious anyone shilling anything right now is trying to sell something

@RhythmKing Yes, it has been fundamentally different in every way.

We haven't even had a real bull cycle yet. The evidence of this thesis is staggering. My overall thesis here is that Bitcoin has only made new highs in this "cycle" because of ETFs, Saylor and Government adoption. This is is the first cycle Bitcoin has made new highs during the longest liquidity and PMI contraction ever. And it has confused everyone into believing that we have had our 4 year cycle, when in reality if it wasnt for the above, we would not have even made new highs at all. Each Bitcoin move has been very weak, and thats because we have not been in the backdrop required to have a true bull cycle, just like we have had every other time. And here is another very strong piece of evidence to add to the pile. For those that haven't seen it before, this is the Bitcoin Energy Value Oscillator. This displays the value of Bitcoin price in comparison to the energy that has been infused within it to create it. Bitcoin is energy, so this chart is as close as you can get to to understanding its under or over valued nature, but actual energetic input. Here is what we can see: Looking at the bottom, we can see the value oscillator has reached the all time low level that was only set previously back in 2012, and then again in 2015. What this means is that we are as undervalued to the actual energy used to create Bitcoin as we have ever been. Where we are at right now is a level where large resets occur because Bitcoin is fundamentally oversold against the energy used to create it. It's clear. We haven't had a true bull cycle. For all the reasons I talk about, this hasn't been an actual bull market. - No true expansion on 1M RSI - No true expansion on Bollinger bands - No expansion on Energy oscillator - ISM in contraction for 3 years - Almost no other tokens making ATHs - BTC Dominance still at 60 - No new highs for TOTAL charts or OTHERS We must consider this defining fact about this cycle and use it to understand that what happens next will not be the same as before. What we have been through is a mid cycle top carried by institutions, with zero liquidity follow through. What we are then getting here is not a 75% drawdown, but something smaller... Before the true bull phase of this cycle begins. It is fundamentally different, and therefore no one can fully see it(even me), but what comes next is beyond what we current know about Bitcoin cycles.