RESM Cycles

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RESM Cycles

RESM Cycles

@RESMcycles

Macro Cycles. Novel Theory. Repeating Era of Societal Movements. Markets, Technology, War and Prosperity, Empire, & more.

Time Katılım Eylül 2023
85 Takip Edilen803 Takipçiler
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RESM Cycles
RESM Cycles@RESMcycles·
Here is the planned book publication order (for now): 1⃣ A RESM Primer: The Master Hierarchy ▫️Detailing the frameworks of the larger cycles and the inter-cycle relationships ▫️The basic principles to know to use RESM Theory: offsets, phase tolerances, concordance windows, etc. ▫️Cycles from the 70-year cycle up to the 5040-year cycle. The 35-year cycle and smaller constituent cycles will be covered in the next book. ▫️Not a historical tome with a 1000+ references; A punchy rundown of the cycles with a few interesting and explanatory examples. 2⃣ The Risk Rhythm: RESM's Foundational 35-Year Cycle ▫️Covering the detailed trajectory of the 35-year cycle with the ~20 phased events within ▫️The smaller constituent cycles ▫️The mathematical foundations of the cycle ▫️Consideration to include the quantitative analysis of the Risk Rhythm going back to 1694. ▫️Price with a Capital P: The extremely important concept of the Risk Rhythm --> I have been alluding to this sometimes calling it the "risk-on" rhythm or the rhythm of the SP500. It now has a proper name to go with the concept. 3⃣ The Big Parabola: RESM Parabola Theory ▫️The rise and fall of western civilizations over the course of the Age Cycle ▫️How this percolates down to the lower cycles manifesting in market events occurring that have "never happened", via telescoping parabolas ▫️A case to be made that ancient Egypt as a world power has been incorrectly classified. 4⃣ The Variant Cycle and the Researcher Trap ▫️The natural foundations of the cycles and how that creates the circumstances for variant cycles. ▫️Why these variant cycles stop researchers in their tracks, preventing them from seeing the bigger picture. ▫️Introducing nuances of the Deity and Episteme Cycles. --> This one is still in conceptual development, and may take a long time to properly formulate. As noted, the first 2 books will not be historical tomes with a 1000s of historical references. I know from experience, reading books like that can feel like a chore. Especially books that are covering a cyclical theory, it can become very repetitive. Instead, detailed accounts of the cycle instances and how they fit the cycle frameworks/phasings will be published via Instance Monographs, likely on a platform like Substack.
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RESM Cycles retweetledi
Orion Engine
Orion Engine@TheOrionEngine·
Here's a chart for the bears, though it might not be what they want to see. $SPXU (Short S&P500). It really doesn't pay to be a bear except for brief volatility spikes. Even when market stalls they don't make money. Anyways, analogs point to further downside for this garbage.
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Lin
Lin@Speculator_io·
This is not a bubble!
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RESM Cycles
RESM Cycles@RESMcycles·
@j_isaiahyoung Mostly likely approaching a seasonal high in early June at the same time we should expect a seasonal high in the S&P 500/DJIA.
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RESM Cycles
RESM Cycles@RESMcycles·
Transition Cycle in Bitcoin Bitcoin appears to be experiencing what is known as a Transition Cycle in RESM Theory. This happens when a market is undergoing a frequency shift in it's dominant single-digit year cycle. When this happens, the Transition Cycle's length will be roughly the average of the "old" and "new" frequencies. This has been documented on this account for the changing "business cycle" in US equities for 1896-2022. In this case, all signs point to Bitcoin taking on the rhythm of the S&P 500, from the daily cycle to the weekly cycle. The current dominant frequency for the S&P 500 is 7 years, with the 2:1 harmonic being 3.5 years, which is what is relevant now. That would mean the this cycle's length will be about: (3.5+4)/2 = 3.75 Years -or- ~45 Months This would point to a cycle low in the ~August time frame, measured from the November 2022 low. This lines up well with the expected 66-week cycle low expected in late July for the S&P 500. Now, the "old" frequencies do not disappear, they just have a lesser impact on price. This is why the 35/36 Year RESM cycle is so powerful. These two numbers have all single digit numbers as factors (except 8), so as the dominant frequencies shift on the lower time frames, the 35 year rhythm persists. All this to say that we should still expect some modulation of the 4-year cycle on Bitcoin's price in October, but that may not be a new low. It may only be a swift correction/flushout. bitcoin:native $IBIT
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Kerry Balenthiran
Kerry Balenthiran@TheCyclesTrader·
@RESMcycles @OVcrypto Yes I was on CNBC back in 2013, that was a fun experience 😀 Most people talk about 17/18 year cycles and that why I named my book after half of the cycle. Also 35 years is too long to capture people’s attention (so is 17.6 years 😂)
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RESM Cycles
RESM Cycles@RESMcycles·
I want to announce that this account will be not be posting any more about the more actionable parts of RESM Theory until I have formerly published the Theory. This pertains to the 12-Year, 35-Year, 105-Year, and Technology Cycles. I have been seeing some posts on X that are hitting a little too close to home. This may be paranoia. But, I am not going to get railroaded because other accounts have way more followers on X than this account does. This is my life's work, not someone else's engagement bait. I will still post charts about daily and weekly cycles for major markets. And I will pivot to posting about the very high time frame cycles, as evidence for how powerful this theory is. The biggest cycle in the master hierarchy is 5040 years. We will look at things like epochs, ages, hegemony/fragmentation, and socio-economic paradigms. Let me know if you think this is an overreaction.
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Joerg Mueller
Joerg Mueller@topperwhopper·
@RESMcycles @joshua_dun78122 Thanks and I got your info from Kerry. I'm always interested in cycle work and can't wait for your books! Kerry is great too and I like his book a lot. My philosophy is stay in markets longer-term and avoid interrupting compounding. Occasionally we have to take a break.
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RESM Cycles
RESM Cycles@RESMcycles·
You should check out the Jobless Recovery series. It covers this and more. The labor market always shifts around this time every 35-years due to new technologies. And, yes, this results in a bifurcation of the economy. You lose one class of jobs, and gain two new ones with disparate outcomes leading to rising inequality. Look out for the series to be collated into a coherent article soon. x.com/RESMcycles/sta…
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RESM Cycles
RESM Cycles@RESMcycles·
It's interesting that you say that because I spent over 2 years looking for a cycle theory that had it's foundation in this 35/36 year period, but I never found anything. I actually remember seeing your book about the 17.6 year cycle, I also think I saw a clip of you on a financial news station talking about it. Or maybe that was just a picture that came up in google images. The only cycle I ever found that was specifically cited as 35 years was the Brückner-Egeson-Lockyer weather cycle. What other cycle theories are founded on 35 years? I am genuinely curious, because I spent several years thinking that I could not be the first person to notice this.
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Kerry Balenthiran
Kerry Balenthiran@TheCyclesTrader·
@OVcrypto @RESMcycles Lots of people talk about 35 year cycles, for example, I even write a book about them. It’s impossible to own the cycle but I understand the need to tailor what you put out there as it’s exactly what happened to me. I don’t really talk about short term cycles anymore
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RESM Cycles
RESM Cycles@RESMcycles·
Here is the planned book publication order (for now): 1⃣ A RESM Primer: The Master Hierarchy ▫️Detailing the frameworks of the larger cycles and the inter-cycle relationships ▫️The basic principles to know to use RESM Theory: offsets, phase tolerances, concordance windows, etc. ▫️Cycles from the 70-year cycle up to the 5040-year cycle. The 35-year cycle and smaller constituent cycles will be covered in the next book. ▫️Not a historical tome with a 1000+ references; A punchy rundown of the cycles with a few interesting and explanatory examples. 2⃣ The Risk Rhythm: RESM's Foundational 35-Year Cycle ▫️Covering the detailed trajectory of the 35-year cycle with the ~20 phased events within ▫️The smaller constituent cycles ▫️The mathematical foundations of the cycle ▫️Consideration to include the quantitative analysis of the Risk Rhythm going back to 1694. ▫️Price with a Capital P: The extremely important concept of the Risk Rhythm --> I have been alluding to this sometimes calling it the "risk-on" rhythm or the rhythm of the SP500. It now has a proper name to go with the concept. 3⃣ The Big Parabola: RESM Parabola Theory ▫️The rise and fall of western civilizations over the course of the Age Cycle ▫️How this percolates down to the lower cycles manifesting in market events occurring that have "never happened", via telescoping parabolas ▫️A case to be made that ancient Egypt as a world power has been incorrectly classified. 4⃣ The Variant Cycle and the Researcher Trap ▫️The natural foundations of the cycles and how that creates the circumstances for variant cycles. ▫️Why these variant cycles stop researchers in their tracks, preventing them from seeing the bigger picture. ▫️Introducing nuances of the Deity and Episteme Cycles. --> This one is still in conceptual development, and may take a long time to properly formulate. As noted, the first 2 books will not be historical tomes with a 1000s of historical references. I know from experience, reading books like that can feel like a chore. Especially books that are covering a cyclical theory, it can become very repetitive. Instead, detailed accounts of the cycle instances and how they fit the cycle frameworks/phasings will be published via Instance Monographs, likely on a platform like Substack.
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RESM Cycles
RESM Cycles@RESMcycles·
If the foundational concepts of RESM theory are correct. Then it shouldn't actually matter how many people know about it. I guess the caveat could that if there is greater awareness of it, the rhythm would persist but the resulting events of the aggregate emotional state could change character, but still proceed on the rhythmic basis
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wizardfingersz
wizardfingersz@wizardfingersz·
@RESMcycles @OVcrypto Your account is so unique...but the selfish side of me doesn't want it to grow too big because if the majority become aware of your 35 year cycle...well...
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RESM Cycles
RESM Cycles@RESMcycles·
@j_isaiahyoung Much appreciated, this place can make you feel like it's you that owes everything to everyone else.
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Isaiah 🟧
Isaiah 🟧@j_isaiahyoung·
@RESMcycles Nah bro. Keep doing you. I completely understand. Publish it. Trademark whatever you’ve got to trademark. Do it all. Protect your craft!
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RESM Cycles
RESM Cycles@RESMcycles·
@randgroup @OVcrypto Heres a more up-to-date graphic. Fixed a couple mistakes that were made in the original. Please tag me if you are posting my work. ✍️🧑‍⚖️
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Rand Group
Rand Group@randgroup·
@OVcrypto @RESMcycles Thanks for sharing mate! Followed him and will tag in next times, amazing work indeed 🙌🏻
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Rand Group
Rand Group@randgroup·
📈 ANALYSIS: The market has crashed and maniacally recovered every 12 YEARS for over a century. You're not early, you're not late, you're just somewhere on a cycle that doesn't care about your feelings.
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RESM Cycles
RESM Cycles@RESMcycles·
@CryptoCycleGod @KylieJerg @OVcrypto I just looked it up, and I think that I have seen parts of it or just read about this sort of thing before. Maybe I will check it out after I get the first book out.
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RESM Cycles
RESM Cycles@RESMcycles·
@joshua_dun78122 I am honored that you find this exciting, honestly. Take a look at the pinned comment. These are the books I am planning on writing at this time. x.com/RESMcycles/sta…
RESM Cycles@RESMcycles

Here is the planned book publication order (for now): 1⃣ A RESM Primer: The Master Hierarchy ▫️Detailing the frameworks of the larger cycles and the inter-cycle relationships ▫️The basic principles to know to use RESM Theory: offsets, phase tolerances, concordance windows, etc. ▫️Cycles from the 70-year cycle up to the 5040-year cycle. The 35-year cycle and smaller constituent cycles will be covered in the next book. ▫️Not a historical tome with a 1000+ references; A punchy rundown of the cycles with a few interesting and explanatory examples. 2⃣ The Risk Rhythm: RESM's Foundational 35-Year Cycle ▫️Covering the detailed trajectory of the 35-year cycle with the ~20 phased events within ▫️The smaller constituent cycles ▫️The mathematical foundations of the cycle ▫️Consideration to include the quantitative analysis of the Risk Rhythm going back to 1694. ▫️Price with a Capital P: The extremely important concept of the Risk Rhythm --> I have been alluding to this sometimes calling it the "risk-on" rhythm or the rhythm of the SP500. It now has a proper name to go with the concept. 3⃣ The Big Parabola: RESM Parabola Theory ▫️The rise and fall of western civilizations over the course of the Age Cycle ▫️How this percolates down to the lower cycles manifesting in market events occurring that have "never happened", via telescoping parabolas ▫️A case to be made that ancient Egypt as a world power has been incorrectly classified. 4⃣ The Variant Cycle and the Researcher Trap ▫️The natural foundations of the cycles and how that creates the circumstances for variant cycles. ▫️Why these variant cycles stop researchers in their tracks, preventing them from seeing the bigger picture. ▫️Introducing nuances of the Deity and Episteme Cycles. --> This one is still in conceptual development, and may take a long time to properly formulate. As noted, the first 2 books will not be historical tomes with a 1000s of historical references. I know from experience, reading books like that can feel like a chore. Especially books that are covering a cyclical theory, it can become very repetitive. Instead, detailed accounts of the cycle instances and how they fit the cycle frameworks/phasings will be published via Instance Monographs, likely on a platform like Substack.

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littlefoot92
littlefoot92@joshua_dun78122·
@RESMcycles Every time you kept posting the jobless series, it got me even more excited about the book you plan on writing. This was a nice sneak peak in to it
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RESM Cycles
RESM Cycles@RESMcycles·
I feel like those are for trading signal groups, or adjacent. I don't know if thats something RESM will ever be. Maybe, a quant service could be put together at some point. I have considered putting out more publication-like content on something like Substack. I guess this could also be done here.
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wizardfingersz
wizardfingersz@wizardfingersz·
@RESMcycles @OVcrypto Have you given thought to other avenues besides X? Maybe discord or TG? Not sure if that would help with your situation though...
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RESM Cycles
RESM Cycles@RESMcycles·
@MAG27144165 🫡 I am not stopping, just changing some things. Out of curiosity, what part of RESM Theory have you liked the most? What have you found to be the most interesting or the most engaging?
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MAG
MAG@MAG27144165·
@RESMcycles Bro pls don’t stop. We need people like you. 🙏🏼💙🤲🏽
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TradeSilence
TradeSilence@TradeSilence·
@RESMcycles Understand the paranoia. Why share your best work on here when it gets incorporated by someone else or even the models. It's still refreshing for me to see someone else formalize the cycles like this.
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Keşfet

@j_isaiahyoung @TheCyclesTrader @OVcrypto @topperwhopper @joshua_dun78122 @wizardfingersz @elonmusk @BarackObama