Kerry Balenthiran

The 17.6 Year Stock Market Cycle is real - and it's one of the most powerful tools for timing the S&P500. I'm Kerry Balenthiran, author of The 17.6 Year Stock Market Cycle, and I run an algorithmic long/short system designed around proven cycle phases. Follow @TheCyclesTrader for: - Regular cycle position updates - High level long/short bias on $SPX - Historical pattern analysis - Data driven market insights The cycle never sleeps! (Always do your own research)

@topperwhopper @RESMcycles @OVcrypto 😂

@TheCyclesTrader @RESMcycles @OVcrypto I hardly remember what happened 17.6 hours ago 😂

I want to announce that this account will be not be posting any more about the more actionable parts of RESM Theory until I have formerly published the Theory. This pertains to the 12-Year, 35-Year, 105-Year, and Technology Cycles. I have been seeing some posts on X that are hitting a little too close to home. This may be paranoia. But, I am not going to get railroaded because other accounts have way more followers on X than this account does. This is my life's work, not someone else's engagement bait. I will still post charts about daily and weekly cycles for major markets. And I will pivot to posting about the very high time frame cycles, as evidence for how powerful this theory is. The biggest cycle in the master hierarchy is 5040 years. We will look at things like epochs, ages, hegemony/fragmentation, and socio-economic paradigms. Let me know if you think this is an overreaction.

It's interesting that you say that because I spent over 2 years looking for a cycle theory that had it's foundation in this 35/36 year period, but I never found anything. I actually remember seeing your book about the 17.6 year cycle, I also think I saw a clip of you on a financial news station talking about it. Or maybe that was just a picture that came up in google images. The only cycle I ever found that was specifically cited as 35 years was the Brückner-Egeson-Lockyer weather cycle. What other cycle theories are founded on 35 years? I am genuinely curious, because I spent several years thinking that I could not be the first person to notice this.

@RESMcycles @OVcrypto Yes I was on CNBC back in 2013, that was a fun experience 😀 Most people talk about 17/18 year cycles and that why I named my book after half of the cycle. Also 35 years is too long to capture people’s attention (so is 17.6 years 😂)

@RESMcycles @randgroup You are welcome.

@TheCyclesTrader @randgroup Thanks for having my back!

📈 ANALYSIS: The market has crashed and maniacally recovered every 12 YEARS for over a century. You're not early, you're not late, you're just somewhere on a cycle that doesn't care about your feelings.

@rottieluvr1 Have you seen my pinned post? I updated that yesterday

@TheCyclesTrader Sounds good. Always love seeing new, updated data. 👍🏻

This bull market is hated, just like in the early 1990s! We also have a new technology that’s powering the bull market, just like the 1990s!

@rottieluvr1 I’ve changed the dates to start from September rather than January so it looks a bit different, but yes it’s basically the blue arrow. However, don’t spoil the fun of seeing the updated chart. I’ll probably post it next week. I’m updating something else that I’ll post tomorrow

@TheCyclesTrader Blue arrow brother. 👍🏻

We are still in a stocks bull market. This S&P500 chart shows the alternating secular cycles. In the thread below I'll show the different gains in each period. I know 2000-2017 doesn't look like a bear market BUT... $spx $spy #sp500 #spx $es_f #stocks #cycles THREAD 👇1/

@rottieluvr1 Good news, I’m in the process of updating that chart you like with the different secular markets. You will like the result 😀

@TheCyclesTrader Yes. And what it led to took 7 years to recover from. Thats the exact scenario we don’t want this time.

@topperwhopper I’m thinking of YouTube as part of the mix as well as TT, IG, X etc. It’s revolutionised small businesses and their ability to interact with their target market

@TheCyclesTrader Yes, good point. I know parts of social media are garbage, but it also revolutionized learning.

@topperwhopper True. So what would we say now, online social media and then AI?

@TheCyclesTrader I don’t know what you think but I consider the 80s/90s tech revolution as two technologies: first PC then internet.

I’ve got a similar chart in my pinned tweet which I need to update. But this shows that the bull market has legs

@NorthstarCharts Looks amazing, this weather is fab isn’t it. Have a great Bank Holiday Monday

Hope you all had a great weekend. I spent mine at the beach in Northeast England 🌞

@Peter35156095 Thanks. I’ve got something similar in my pinned tweet which I need to update.

Another great under followed account is RESM. His research is bang in line with my own. 1987 = 2022 2000 = 2035 2x 17.6 years is the full cycle🔝to🔝

If you’ve read my book, and you really should, you’ll know that 17.6 years is just the beginning. There’s a nested cycle in there of 2.2 years and 4.4 years and that’s where 12 comes from!

Yes I’m bullish long term but I’m also very alert to the ups and downs of the market. Great chart by Nimish. He’s deserves more followers imho.

It’s great seeing so many long term charts in response to my post yesterday. I’m not surprised that my followers understand the importance of learning from the history of markets when it comes to trading. It’s also pleasing to see so many who also see the secular bull. Some may seem this as confirmation or a crowded trade. But the vast majority of ordinary people out there are no yet invested in this AI fuelled bull market. It’s going to take chips, memory, power, batteries, land… and we are nowhere near the top. At the last top in 2000, half the people I know worked in TMT, telecoms, media and technology, including myself! I was at Arthur Andersen and then Vodafone. At AA I unfortunately had a window seat for the whole implosion.

@nimishtrading Hi Nimesh, I haven’t heard from you in ages. I hope your trading is working out well

@TheCyclesTrader 18,252 for SP500. Here’s my long term DJIA chart in the meantime.

This is a great thread by Peter. This chart stood out, $SPX top at 22,000 in 2034. Not to dissimilar to my own prediction