Ragnar_Bavari

6K posts

Ragnar_Bavari

Ragnar_Bavari

@Ragnar_Bavari

Speak the truth, even if you stand alone 🇷🇺 🇵🇸 🇮🇪

Katılım Ağustos 2023
388 Takip Edilen114 Takipçiler
Adam Argo
Adam Argo@under_____taker·
“Wait and hope” doesn’t sound like Saylor’s historical playbook. 1. Announce Daily Dividends The cleanest demand-side lever. * Virtually no economic cost. * Creates a unique product in the preferred market. * Appeals strongly to retail income investors. * Generates marketing buzz and differentiation. 2. Establish a Bitcoin Coverage Covenant Commit to maintaining a minimum BTC coverage ratio for STRC obligations. * No direct dividend cost. * Creates a tangible safety framework. * Gives investors something concrete to underwrite. * Distinguishes STRC from traditional preferreds. 3. Authorize Opportunistic Buybacks Below Par Not a promise to buy, but a standing authorization. * Creates a perceived floor. * Signals management confidence. * Can be selectively used when discounts become excessive. * Potentially accretive to remaining holders. 4. Launch an MSTR Dividend Election Program Allow STRC holders to receive dividends in MSTR shares at market value. * No subsidy required. * Bridges income and growth investors. * Expands the potential buyer base. * Reduces cash outflows if adopted. 5. Aggressively Expand Distribution Target RIAs, retirement accounts, preferred funds, and income-focused investors. * Many potential buyers simply don’t know STRC exists. * Broadens demand without changing economics. * May be the highest ROI initiative if awareness is the bottleneck. If Management Is willing to spend Then I’d add: 6. Increase the dividend modestly (11.5% → 12.0%) This is probably the fastest path back to par, but it’s also the most expensive because the higher cost persists indefinitely.
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Ragnar_Bavari
Ragnar_Bavari@Ragnar_Bavari·
@under_____taker @BTCoptioneer I still don't understand why they switched to semi-monthly dividends instead of daily or even weekly If SATA did that, then it is possible
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BTC Optioneer
BTC Optioneer@BTCoptioneer·
Issuing $MSTR shares to buy back $STRC shares would stabilize the price of Stretch but decrease Bitcoin per share for the common shareholders. But if STRC fails to stay at par, achieving positive Bitcoin yield will become increasingly difficult. Saylor will probably just wait it out and hope STRC rallies up to $100 organically. What would you do?
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Ragnar_Bavari
Ragnar_Bavari@Ragnar_Bavari·
@EarthHODL Imagine someone creating a whole account specifically for hating on a company 😂 How empty and pathetic your life has to be 🤡
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EarthHODL
EarthHODL@EarthHODL·
Saylor is selling BTC right now.
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Cato The Elder
Cato The Elder@CatoTheElder17·
@BigpictureBTC Now investors know that Saylor will absolutely rinse shareholders if BTC price recovers and issue massive amounts of equity to steal the share price increase. Why would anyone invest in the equity?
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Derin Olenik
Derin Olenik@BigpictureBTC·
If you think the market will ever trust $STRC as a stable, money-market-like product again, you’re either an $MSTR shareholder, retarded, or both. This is the beginning of the end.
Derin Olenik tweet media
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Ragnar_Bavari
Ragnar_Bavari@Ragnar_Bavari·
@mstrpilled @AdamBLiv Cash does not cover 15 months They have 1.1 billion USD Their annual dividend obligations are 1.7 billion USD So more like 8 months Or what am I getting wrong?
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@mstrpilled·
@AdamBLiv the MSTR common ATM math is fine. 0.26% of volume. trivial. the actual constraint: STRC at $87.17. 12.83% below par. that ATM is idle. cash covers ~15 months at current burn. the question isn't can they issue. it's how long before STRC gets back above $100.
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Ragnar_Bavari retweetledi
Adam Livingston
Adam Livingston@AdamBLiv·
MSTR’s preferred dividend obligation is being discussed like it requires Saylor to back a dump truck of common shares into the Nasdaq every morning. Actual math: Annual dividends: ~$1.711B Monthly obligation: ~$142.6M Over the last 22 trading days, MSTR traded about 408.2M shares. Using close × volume, that is roughly $55.6B of dollar volume. So to fund one full month of dividends through MSTR ATM sales, Strategy would need to capture: $142.6M / $55.6B = 0.256% That is about $1 of ATM sales for every $390 of MSTR traded. Spread across the month, it’s only ~$6.48M/day against ~$2.53B/day of MSTR trading volume. In share terms, at the month’s weighted average close of ~$136, that’s about 1.05M shares total, or ~47.6k shares/day. Even at today’s ~$112.53 price, it’s only ~1.27M shares, or ~57.6k/day. You can dislike the capital structure. You can hate preferreds. You can scream “dilution” into a microwave. But the idea that the dividend is some impossible liquidity event is just not serious. The monthly obligation is roughly 0.26% of last month’s MSTR trading volume. Do you think they can issue 0.26% of the trading volume per month until Bitcoin goes back up? I do.
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Ragnar_Bavari
Ragnar_Bavari@Ragnar_Bavari·
@ChrisMMillas You know what I hate most about the path strategy went for with "prefferds" ? There are too many of them ! I think they should just have MSTR , STRC, STRK The others (STRF, STRD) serve no purpose and feel wasted
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Ragnar_Bavari retweetledi
Chris Millas
Chris Millas@ChrisMMillas·
Two things: 1. $STRC at ~$87 in no way impacts the short-term solvency of Strategy. It simply means that $STRC can't temporarily be used to raise capital to buy Bitcoin. 2. $STRC will eventually move back to par and all of the drama on X will be forgotten again. 3. The thesis hasn't changed. Keep calm and carry on.
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Ragnar_Bavari
Ragnar_Bavari@Ragnar_Bavari·
@BrianHa24140826 @ChrisMMillas They have 1.1 billion USD reserve, which can cover them for 8 months of dividends obligations After that, they will need to sell 2200 BTC/month to pay the dividends obligations That sounds scray & very ugly But they do have 846,842 BTC How many years will bear market last?
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Purple
Purple@BrianHa24140826·
@ChrisMMillas You have it backwards. STRC is cratering because MSTR is not going to be able to pay the dividend or debt coming due without selling BTC. When they sell BTC the price of BTC will crater and STRC will go to like $50 or less. All the while the 1.7b/yr dividend obligation ticks.
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Ragnar_Bavari
Ragnar_Bavari@Ragnar_Bavari·
@Tomashko77 @StrategyMaxi @Strategy @saylor Rubbish 🤡 1) If you believe it will crash to sub 50, then short it & make money instead of whining on twitter 2) If you claim you will buy MSTR in the future, it means you believe in the company long-term. Once BTC reaches new ATH, shareholders will be rewarded You can't be both
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77okhsamoT
77okhsamoT@Tomashko77·
@StrategyMaxi @Strategy @saylor It will crash to zero with Strategy as well, that will be bottom btc 30-40k in 3 monts, I don't make the rules it is what it is, maybe i will buy strategy sub 50 let's see
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100% Strategy
100% Strategy@StrategyMaxi·
ALL TIME LOW for $STRC Will continue to move down until a massive dividend hike or BTC recovers. I do not make rules. Markets make the rules, Saylor
100% Strategy tweet media
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Peter Schiff
Peter Schiff@PeterSchiff·
If you are a retiree who bought $STRC last month and you have already lost 15% of your principal, don't worry. You likely have an ironclad lawsuit against $MSTR, so long as you purchased based on @Saylor's promotion that touted the yield without properly disclosing the high risk.
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Richard
Richard@RLC5061·
@saylor @Strategy You will go down as the biggest clown in the history of CEO's. This game is long over. BTC will never see $100K again. STRC will drop to the $70's. MSTR will drop to the $50s by EOY or sooner.
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Ragnar_Bavari
Ragnar_Bavari@Ragnar_Bavari·
@AdamBLiv Hi Adam, why did STRC persue a semi-monthly dividends instead of weekly or even Daily ?? Looks like SATA is eating STRCs lunch , and while I understand they are both good for BTC, but aparently not for MSTR
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Adam Livingston
Adam Livingston@AdamBLiv·
SATA is now back at par for the third day in a row. Daily dividends are WORKING. Who would have thought that making 13% per year while getting paid every day would prove to be popular? THE BITCOIN PRINTER CONTINUES:
Adam Livingston tweet media
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Ragnar_Bavari
Ragnar_Bavari@Ragnar_Bavari·
@RoaringRagnar I still don't understand why they moved towards semi-monthly and not daily !
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Ragnar_Bavari
Ragnar_Bavari@Ragnar_Bavari·
@LoneGreyWolfUK @sunnydecree How is he a conman? His company is very transparent and has all their holdings declared on their website & it is registered with the SEC ... yeah lets just throw labels at people , MSTR shareholders understand they are being diluted, but believe in long-term once BTC reach ATH
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sunnydecree
sunnydecree@sunnydecree·
Can Michael Saylor blow up his stock $MSTR a second time, like he did in 2000? Thoughts?
sunnydecree tweet media
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Ragnar_Bavari
Ragnar_Bavari@Ragnar_Bavari·
@TheOtherParker_ I still don't understand why they didn't switch to daily dividends in the 1st place, and had to go to semi-monthly!
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Parker
Parker@TheOtherParker_·
Here's the 4 point $STRC recovery plan: 1. Raise the dividend to 12% 2. Announce a shareholder vote to switch to daily dividends 3. As part of the daily switch, also increase the company call price from $101 to "$110 or higher" 4. Increase the cash buffer to $2.5B 1,2 - makes it much more expensive to short 3 - materially increases the risk to shorts because it introduces the risk that STRC trades meaningfully above $100 4 - reduces the credit risk and silences a lot of the FUD
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Ragnar_Bavari
Ragnar_Bavari@Ragnar_Bavari·
@somethingx2xsay @piersmorgan Will the orange pedo refuse to show it, why ? In the same way that he refuse to release the Epstein files, why? The logical answer, he doesn't want to public to see ..., again, why?
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T-Bone
T-Bone@somethingx2xsay·
@piersmorgan Do you even know the plan? Have you seen the signed memorandum of understanding?
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Piers Morgan
Piers Morgan@piersmorgan·
Best test for the Iran deal is what would Republicans say about it if Obama or Biden had announced this exact same plan….
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Ragnar_Bavari
Ragnar_Bavari@Ragnar_Bavari·
@saylor Why not daily ???? If SATA can do it, why cant strategy
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Michael Saylor
Michael Saylor@saylor·
$STRC now pays dividends twice per month. What is the clearest way to describe this?
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