Sisyphus

@joebrennanjr @capjack2000 @twitter Why even bring it up then?

@capjack2000 Jack, I know you’re fired up about this issue, but to first venture a guess at what I might be thinking, then to hammer me on the basis of that hypothesis is kind of premature, right? As far as my laying out the solution here on @twitter…no, not today.

There’s an equitable solution to the prediction market/sportsbook question short of the seemingly-inevitable Supreme Court hearing, but won’t happen b/c both sides are so indignant towards each other. So the likely result is one side being wiped out & the other permanently scarred

@RichardHanania So what you’re saying is being unemployed or a full time house husband is high stress. Is that surprising?

The more a woman earns relative to her husband, the more mental distress the husband feels.

@CFTC So you give them carte Blanche for everything else, and turn down the one they don’t actually want to enact. Hilarious.

.@CFTC Stays KalshiEX Rule Change and Exercises Emergency Authority to Order Fulfillment of Pending Trades: cftc.gov/PressRoom/Pres…

@amandajplatell Harry was 12, William was 15. That's a massive difference. Also, the marriage will have been shitty for a greater proportion of Harry's life.

Sad as I feel for Harry, made me think: why hasn’t William suffered in the same way with unresolved grief? Why isn’t he a bitter and angry man raging like a child against the injustice of the world? And clear as a bell, a simple answer came to me: Because he has Kate.

@FLCons @Jodaley2 Sounds like a you problem

@Jodaley2 Agreed. And I'm getting increasingly more annoyed by it.

You pop into the donut place and you see this from the woman and 2 boys ahead of you. Do you say something or do you mind your business? Now let me ask: Should people START confronting this kind of lack of parenting more often? 🤔

@Jeannetteblinn @FLCons Chasm leaping

@FLCons Ridiculous lack of parenting. If the kid fell and got hurt the mother would want to blame the store owner.

@FLCons What kind of parenting, exactly?

@brett02e @iloveshibes @BoringBiz_ Nope, luckier than that even.

@Random501901 @iloveshibes @BoringBiz_ If you count being born in a developed country and having a genetic predisposition for a high IQ, low impulsiveness, and high conscientiousness and not randomly being the victim of great misfortune like abuse or debilitating health problems, yes.

The FIRE (financial independence retire early) movement has done an immense amount of harm to society This is coming from someone who used to be a believer in FIRE, but I have realized just how much of a fallacy it is, as I have grown older Taking a bunch of high potential income earners and convincing them that their life goal should be to pursue a net worth that allows them to check out of society is immensely damaging to the social fabric Many of these people sit on the upper echelon of office jobs, have built great businesses, or are at the top of their field in their career field They should be inspired to continue doing what they are best at, and ultimately, mentor and give back to the next generation who want to pursue those same goals Instead, many of these FIRE folks become wandering retirees with a meaningless life who are trying to grasp on to money as their north star It is a false sense of security and accomplishment. Becoming wealthy should never be a goal in the first place. It should have always been to pursue something that adds meaning to your own life and to society It is a completely fallacy to believe that retiring will be your source of happiness. More often than not, it has the complete opposite effect

@qweenmunekita @sgoodl @ayeefkay @thatsootyy Semantics. A witness statement is not an accusation in a legal sense, no. In the colloquial sense, claiming you experienced abuse would seen by most as an accusation. There’s a wide gap between a witness statement and a thing that definitively really happened.

@Random501901 @sgoodl @ayeefkay @thatsootyy They obviously didn’t charge him. And this isn’t an accusation this is Angelia Jolie’s statement. How can it be an accusation when she was there and literally getting abused in the moment????

What went on in that house why do they all hate him so much

@StatisticUrban And evening games in the US are impossibly late at night for the European market. Which also has very large soccer dedicated stadiums, btw.

On a purely factual basis, America basically is actually the best possible existing World Cup host. It has many large stadiums. It has an extremely diverse population, basically every country on Earth is represented. It can easily accommodate the tourists.

@idahofamfarm1 @u41211 @thatsootyy Did he?

He was intoxicated, choked one of the kids and tormented/verbally abused the others, right? Terrible and for sure shouldn't be tolerated but he's an alcoholic who is pursuing sobriety. He provides for the kids. I mean there will come a time when his kids screw up, maybe big time? Should they be shunned and discarded? Not my family I don't know them and my opinion doesn't matter. Just my thoughts.

@qweenmunekita @sgoodl @ayeefkay @thatsootyy Written by the opposing counsel. FBI thought there was enough to investigate. Was he ever charged or prosecuted? I don’t know the truth either, but accusations aren’t proof and people do lie.

@sgoodl @ayeefkay @thatsootyy

@Grandsoncr7 Bellingham is world class and, more importantly, rises under pressure. I think you’re overstating it, but he’s a better player than any of those already, barring maybe scholes.

We’ve reached the point where we have to have this discussion: Jude Bellingham, at 23, has done more for England than Lampard, Gerrard, Scholes, and Beckham did in their entire careers combined.

@iloveshibes @BoringBiz_ Yep. Everyone successful got lucky to some extent. They tend to get offended by that reality, so good on you for the recognition. All we can do is boost the odds with good decisions.

@Random501901 @BoringBiz_ I don't doubt that a bit of luck was involved, of course. And I thank God for that. But it took a lot of self-control and sacrifice too. I didn't win the lottery. But yeah, it rubs people the wrong way.

@iloveshibes @BoringBiz_ If you got lucky, then they shouldn't be angry that you voluntarily opted to stop fully capitalizing on that luck...

@BoringBiz_ I FIREd. I don't feel like I'm damaging the social fabric (lol wut?) My goal was to stop working waay before 65+. I did that. When it comes up, most people just get mad at me and call me "lucky" or something. So I stopped caring.

@BoringBiz_ Counterargument: you aren't that special just because you can reach that point. Most just hog a space that could have been occupied with close to identical effect by somebody that didn't get the same combination of breaks. You're stepping aside and spreading the wealth.

@GaetenD The problem with “rest assured, we will act accordingly” is we’ve seen what that means. It means many, many months later, the guilty trader is fined and removed from the platform with none of that fine, nor even the fees Kalshi made, finding its way back to the victims.

If anyone is curious what Kalshi's due diligence looks like in cases of fraud, here is what Robert DeNault, Head of Enforcement and Legal Counsel, replied with after I provided overwhelming evidence of Spotify fraud, fraud which was confirmed by Spotify the following day.

@kyparus You're buying about 5000 contracts for less than 1c per contract. The answer to who has higher fees on American prediction markets is (unfortunately) currently "most of them".

is there any platform out there with higher fees than polymarket? 4.05% fee on a single-direction trade is brutal you need an 8.1% ROI just to break even

@DJKara7 @DjokovicFan_ Yes, but they were also past 30. Sinner is in his prime.

@DjokovicFan_ Fed is his late 30s was playing 5 setters with nole and nadal. Late 30s Nole isn't able to beat Sinner.

Novak Djokovic: “I’m chasing Sinner and Alcaraz? I’m always the chaser and never been chased? I find it really disrespectful that you missed what happened in between when I dominated tennis for 15 years and won 24 Grand Slams. I’m not chasing anyone.”

@DoDataThings @thecann0nn @DeItaone That the classifications aren’t the same is bananas. How in the world is it considered ok for people just to have to guess?

@thecann0nn @DeItaone Fair distinction. Regulatory classification and tax classification aren't the same fight, the CFTC ruling settles the first but leaves the IRS a clean lane to disagree on the second. That gap is exactly where the audit risk lives.