Avi

88K posts

Avi

Avi

@Rantaramic

Wordsmith, communications professional, aspiring Renaissance Man & Master of The Cultural Zeitgeist.

Canada, India, USA Katılım Mart 2010
1.1K Takip Edilen1.2K Takipçiler
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Elizabeth Tsurkov
Elizabeth Tsurkov@LizHurra·
Lebanese Facebook pages publish daily the identities of dozens of Hezbollah militants killed. After the end of the 2024 war, Naim Qassem announced that Hezbollah lost 5,000 fighters in the previous war and 13,000 injured. For the second time in 3 years, Hezbollah plunged its community into a highly destructive war, which thus far has only produced an Israeli occupation of about 300 square kilometers of Lebanese land, or 3% of its territory.
Lebanon News & OSINT@LebOSINT

🌲 - 🇱🇧🇮🇱🟨 New sample of Hezbollah fatalities released between the 30th of March and 3rd of April.

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Kabir Taneja
Kabir Taneja@KabirTaneja·
Maybe it is frustrating because nuclear and Hormuz dropped from this statement once again as far as list of objectives go. And will be added to this list again in a few hours. Then dropped again after few hours etc.
Department of State@StateDept

SECRETARY RUBIO: I hear these news reports that we don’t know what the objectives are, and it’s very frustrating. Our objectives are clear: destroy their air force, navy, missile factories, and degrade their missile launchers.

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Tom Nichols
Tom Nichols@RadioFreeTom·
Reports now that Hegseth oversold the war to Trump and underestimated Iran's willingness to fight back. It's almost as if he's unqualified for his job. Too bad the Senate didn't have confirmation hearings; those would have proven his manifest unsuitability to lead the Pentagon.
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Aaron Rupar
Aaron Rupar@atrupar·
GORSUCH: Do you think Native Americans are birthright citizens under your test? SAUER: Ah, I think ... so. I have to think that through.
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Brandon Weichert
Brandon Weichert@WeTheBrandon·
When POTUS tells the Europeans, Indians, etc., to open the Strait of Hormuz on their own, it's very simple what these nations will do: they will cut deals with Tehran, pay tolls to pass through the Strait, and they will pay those tolls in Chinese Yuan. End of Petrodollar.
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Kate from Kharkiv
Kate from Kharkiv@BohuslavskaKate·
ZELENSKYY to BBC: We went through difficult relations with Iran. We did nothing to them. They shot down our plane, killed our passengers and crew, didn’t admit it, and didn’t let experts in. Then the full-scale war started. They handed Shahed drones to Russians to kill our civilians. I asked them to stop. They promised there would be only one batch. They lied and kept supplying weapons. That’s why I consider them accomplices of Russia.
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B.H.Harsh
B.H.Harsh@film_waala·
She first instigates a content creator, compels her to give a blunt clarification, and then pulls this card. Otherwarya is literally the worst kind of human being possible.
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Sumit Ritolia
Sumit Ritolia@refineryritolia·
Iranian vessel en route to India over the past 3 days has dropped India as destination near arrival and is now signaling China. Per market sources, issue is likely payment-related, with tighter terms. If resolved, crude could still head to an Indian refinery. @Kpler #oott
Sumit Ritolia tweet media
Sumit Ritolia@refineryritolia

Iranian crude making a comeback to India? As per @Kpler tracking, the vessel Ping Shun carrying ~600 kb of Iranian crude is currently signalled for discharge at India. Given the past pattern of frequent destination changes, the final discharge location remains uncertain. #oott

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Amena Bakr
Amena Bakr@Amena__Bakr·
At this point and under the most optimistic scenario Hormuz will remain shut till May. Now brace for impact #OOTT
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Joumanna Nasr Bercetche
Incredible detail from the BBG team “If a vessel makes the cut then discussions over the toll begin. The people said that the Iranians have a ranking system of one to five for nations, with ships from countries that are seen as friendly more likely to get better terms. For oil tankers, the starting price in the negotiations is typically around $1 per barrel of oil, paid in yuan, or stablecoins — cryptocurrencies pegged to the value of hard currency.”
Bloomberg@business

Ships that want to transit through the Strait of Hormuz are being asked to pay fees in yuan to get a secret passcode bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

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Bloomberg
Bloomberg@business·
Ships that want to transit through the Strait of Hormuz are being asked to pay fees in yuan to get a secret passcode bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Gregg Carlstrom
Gregg Carlstrom@glcarlstrom·
A lot of detail here on how Trump and his team failed to predict how the war would play out. Hegseth comes off particularly badly: - "Key Trump officials, including Hegseth, were surprised by the barrage of retaliatory attacks Tehran launched... in internal deliberations before the war's launch, Hegseth had pointed to Iran's muted reaction to Trump's past attacks as evidence that calibrated force could impose costs on Tehran without triggering a broader war." - "The administration also appeared to be taken by surprise when Iran reached for a source of leverage: control over the Strait of Hormuz, which roughly 20% of the world's oil supply passes through each day." - "Wiles was concerned aides were giving the president a rose-colored view of how the war was being perceived domestically, telling Trump what he wanted to hear instead of what he needed to hear." time.com/article/2026/0…
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Jonathan Lemire
Jonathan Lemire@JonLemire·
NEW: Military officials are planning for two potential high-risk ground assaults in Iran Assets are in place for a raid on Kharg Island and an operation to retrieve Iran’s uranium All they need now is President Trump’s go-ahead - if it comes theatlantic.com/national-secur…
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Gerard Baker
Gerard Baker@gerardtbaker·
Europeans gave lives in two US wars that were badly conceived and executed.They now have a US president who openly sides with their major continental enemy, a man who has threatened the annexation of one Nato member and the invasion of another.This is a difference of philosophy?
Melissa Chen@MsMelChen

Let’s be real here. Europe has spent decades freeloading on American security. Even now, with every NATO member finally hitting the 2% GDP target in 2025. But beyond the financial contributions, the real rupture is philosophical and the Iran crisis has shown a spotlight on it. Europe worships process. Endless committees, consultations, and “predictability.” Macron actually calls it a virtue. For Trump, this is paralysis as his style is to articulate a threat, fix a target, and act. The Americans are men of conviction and purpose. Europe on the other hand lives by bureaucratic liturgy and in high-minded abstractions. Sure, Americans might make mistakes when acting. But Europe never considers what the costs of not acting actually are. Just look at how their nations are doing on various fronts, especially on the border crisis, and you see the same cancerous rot that undergirds their foreign policy approach play out domestically. It's the same problem on a different scale. Iran is currently holding the Strait of Hormuz hostage, choking 20% of global oil and spiking prices past $100 a barrel. Meanwhile, the regime is bleeding from strikes, its nuclear ambitions are still alive despite degraded capability, and its proxies are firing missiles at allies and oil tankers. If this isn’t a clear and present danger to the global economy - of which Europe is a part - then I don’t know what is. Yet when Washington asked to use European bases to finish the job - bases the US has defended for generations, the response was hesitation and hand-wringing. The US did strike from RAF Fairford, but only after warnings that British soil could become a “legitimate target.” If you cannot agree that a theocratic regime with eschatological ambitions who have shown no restraint in hitting out at Gulf countries and threatening the world’s energy jugular is an enemy worth confronting, then what, exactly, are we allies about? Europe loves to preen about being tough on Russia. They issue condemnations and speeches and slap sanctions that hardly work to cripple the Russian economy. Now here was a chance to do something concrete: let the Americans use the bases they already pay for, help clear the Strait, and actually degrade the Iranian war machine that arms Moscow’s proxies. Turmp didn’t ask for boots on the ground or any kind of more offensive action. All he wanted was permission to operate from the infrastructure America has underwritten for decades. They couldn’t even manage that. So can you blame the Americans for seeing NATO for what it is? A paper-tiger alliance that expects Washington to bleed and pay while Brussels and London convenes and deliberates. If Europe refuses to treat Iran as the threat it is while happily letting American power keep the Strait open and the lights on, then the alliance is already dead. Trump is simply stating the obvious and the Americans are becoming very reluctant to subsidize the European delusion any longer.

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Matthew Yglesias
Matthew Yglesias@mattyglesias·
When you’re threatening to reduce civilian living conditions in a foreign country to stone age levels, you need to ask yourself some questions.
GIF
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Nate Silver
Nate Silver@NateSilver538·
We're used to Trump-related polling movement being very glacial, but the war with Iran is *rapidly* getting more unpopular.
Nate Silver tweet media
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