Rick P33LED

Anthropic’s Claude says Charlie Kirk wasn’t a good person, but convicted criminal George Floyd was. Claude is woke

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*THIS IS YOUR WARNING* I just left a private meeting with three UHNW individuals. The situation is significantly worse than I thought. They’re aggressively liquidating public equity positions to cover margin calls and holes in their private portfolios. They believe the cycle is officially over. We discussed the current state of valuations. It’s all fake wealth. Pure paper gains. These valuations only exist to provide exit liquidity for the top 1%. Here’s how it works: – Start a company. – Issue 1B shares. – Raise a seed round of $10m at $1/share. You just created $1B in implied market cap out of thin air. You then use that inflated valuation as collateral to leverage up further. And just like that, monopoly money becomes spendable liquidity. Do you understand the gravity of this? Most people think the Fed is the only source of inflation. WRONG. Private markets are printing phantom collateral, and the bill is coming due. Trillions in corporate debt will have to be refinanced in 12-24 months. This debt was issued at near 0% interest. It’s refinancing at 5% to 8%. This is extremely BAD, and things get even worse… Take a look at the buffett indicator. This is the ultimate measure of valuation vs. the real economy. – Dot Com Bubble Peak (2000): ~159% – Global Financial Crisis (2008): ~110% – Today: We’re close to 200%. That’s right. The stock market is currently at the most overvalued level in HISTORY. We’re pricing stocks at DOUBLE their true value. This is mathematically unsustainable. AND IT GETS WORSE, AGAIN… Household equity allocation is also at all-time highs. This metric tracks how all-in the average investor is. We’re sitting at 48%. Think about what that means. If everyone is already fully invested, who’s left to buy? I know this sounds scary, because it is. But don’t worry, I’ll always be here to help you. I’ve been in this game for more than 20 years, and I publicly called the last 3 market tops and bottoms. When I make a new move in the market, I’ll share it here like I always do because I want you to succeed. Many people will regret not following me sooner.