@lordOfAFew That’s just hardware. You’re vastly understating the potential progress.
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Reasonable Heresy
416 posts
Reasonable Heresy
@RightHeresy
The world is kept alive only by heretics: the heretic Christ, the heretic Copernicus, the heretic Tolstoy...tomorrow is an inevitable heresy of today
Katılım Ekim 2020
218 Takip Edilen61 Takipçiler
So Mythos is a Blackwell class model, an absolute monster.
Vera Rubin chips shipping in a few months, so the first of them will be live end of the year. 2-3x more powerful on Blackwell.
Then 2028 we will have Feynman class models, 2-3x more powerful than Rubin.
So we have a model now that companies are afraid of releasing and over the next 2 years we will have even larger jumps. The world is sleep walking into this future, it’s going to be a very different place.
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@johnkonrad @Devon_Eriksen_ You’re wrong. Europe doesn’t have better wine.
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NATO is in far bigger danger than anyone realizes. And the reason has nothing to do with defense budgets.
The real danger is psychological. It’s cultural.
Europeans didn’t just free-ride on American security for 80 years. They built an entire identity around the idea that they evolved past the Americans protecting them.
That identity is now the single biggest obstacle to Western survival. And the darkest irony is: we helped build it.
After World War II, Europe wasn’t just economically shattered. Its culture was in ruins. The cities, the universities, the concert halls, the museums. Rubble.
The Marshall Plan rebuilt the economy. But culture wasn’t a priority. Not at first.
Then the Iron Curtain dropped. And suddenly culture became a weapon.
American diplomats, academics, artists & scholars flooded Western Europe. We funded their universities. Supported their orchestras. Rebuilt their museums. Promoted their intellectual life.
Not because European culture needed saving for its own sake.
Because Eastern Europeans were struggling for Maslow’s mist basic needs.
We needed the view from the other side of that Wall to be intoxicating.
So America built Western Europe into a showcase of self-actualization. Art. Philosophy. Cafe culture. Long vacations. Universities where people studied literature instead of surviving.
We were manufacturing jealousy.
And it worked. The Wall came down.
But here’s what no one accounted for.
When you give a society self-actualization on someone else’s tab long enough, they forget it was a gift. They start believing it was organically theirs.
And when they look at the country that funded it all, a country busy building aircraft carriers and semiconductor fabs and shale fields instead of reaching the Maslow’s pinnacle.
An overweight American in a ball cap who can’t tell Monet from Pissarro. Who eats fast food. Who drives a truck. Who builds strip malls instead of piazzas.
And to a culture trained in aesthetics but stripped of strategic awareness, that American looks uncivilized.
So the arrogance takes root. And once a culture decides another is beneath them, they stop listening.
Americans say wars are sometimes necessary: crude.
Oil is the backbone of prosperity: unsophisticated.
Kids build companies in garages that reshape the planet: crass.
Wall Street finances the global economy: vulgar.
Europe has no world-class technology sector. No military capable of strong defense. No energy independence. No AI capacity.
What Europe has is culture. The culture we paid for at the expense of us reaching Maslow’s pinnacle.
For decades that was fine. We funded the museums, protected the sea lanes, and tolerated the sneering because the arrangement worked.
Then Europeans stopped keeping the contempt private. They started saying it to our faces. In their media. In their parliaments. At every international forum. “Americans are stupid.
Americans are violent. Americans are a threat to democracy.”
We could have moved the Louvre to NY. We could have built a Venice here. We could have stolen your best artists, designers, philosophers and more… like your conquering armies did for centuries.
Instead we funded them. And all we asked for in return was to let us visit.
You don’t have the military to defend your borders. You don’t have the technology to compete. You don’t have the energy to heat your homes without begging dictators.
What you have is an 80-year superiority complex FUNDED BY AMERICANS, protected by American soldiers, and built on the false belief that self-actualization is civilization.
It isn’t. Civilization is the ability to sustain itself. By that measure, Europe isn’t a civilization at all. It’s a dependency with better wine.
That’s not a threat. It’s a weather report.
Build a Navy. Or don’t. But stop lecturing the people who made you “better than us”
Our “crudeness” our “stunted liberal education” our “ugly strip malls” are because we sacrificed our culture to support yours.
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The US could trade its role in NATO for peace in Ukraine and a true reset with Russia. It would shed a burden in Europe while undermining the Russia-China relationship and solidifying influence and control over the world’s energy production.
Meanwhile, Europe would be forced to grow stronger, no longer able to languish in sanctimonious decadence.
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⚡️This is a threat to subordinate Europe, not a sincere attempt to dissolve the alliance tomorrow.
Rubio is using the Iran war to say something much bigger: if European states want permanent American protection, they do not get to selectively refuse operational cooperation when Washington decides a war matters. The grievance is real. He used the “one-way street” language publicly, tied it directly to denied basing and overflight, and framed it as grounds to reexamine NATO after the conflict.
What is really happening is this:
The administration sees an opening to reprice the alliance. Not in abstract diplomatic language. In hard power terms. Access, obedience, burden-sharing, and political deference. The Iran war is just the trigger event they can point to. The real message is: “security guarantees are conditional now.” That reading is reinforced by the broader signal that even collective-defense reassurance was handled conditionally and kicked upward to Trump rather than reaffirmed automatically.
So the real view is harsher than the polite version:
They are not mainly asking whether NATO still serves the U.S.
They are asking whether NATO can be converted into a more openly American-dominated instrument.
That is the real fight.
If Europe bends, NATO stays but becomes more transactional, more humiliating, and more explicitly contingent on compliance. If Europe resists, the alliance does not necessarily disappear, but it gets hollowed out politically and psychologically. Mutual trust decays. Automaticity dies. Every future crisis becomes a negotiation over access and alignment instead of an assumed common front.
Do I think they actually leave NATO soon?
No. I think the near-term base case is coercive renegotiation, not formal exit. The alliance is too useful as infrastructure, force posture, leverage, and symbolism to abandon lightly. But I absolutely think they are serious about weaponizing doubt around it. Doubt itself is leverage.
Once allies believe Washington might truly downgrade the relationship, Washington gains bargaining power without needing immediate withdrawal.
The deepest truth is this:
Rubio is telling Europe that the era of sentimental alliance language is over.
Protection is becoming conditional.
Access is becoming compulsory.
And this war is being used as the justification for that reset.
Eric Daugherty@EricLDaugh
🚨 HOLY CRAP. Sec. Marco Rubio just RIPPED spoiled NATO allies, saying the US will have to reexamine our membership once the war is over NATO screwed up! "We are going to have to reexamine whether or not this alliance that has served this country well for a while is still serving that purpose — or is it now become a ONE WAY STREET, where America is simply in a position to defend EUROPE, but when we need the help of our allies, they're going to deny us basing rights and they're going to deny us overflight?!" "If now we have reached a point where the NATO alliance means that we can't use those bases, that, in fact, that we can no longer use those bases to defend America's interests, then NATO is a one-way street!" "Then NATO is simply about us having troops in Europe to defend Europe, but when we need their help—not their help, we're not asking them to conduct airstrikes. When we need them to allow us to use their military bases, their answer is no, then why are we in NATO? You have to ask that question!" "Why do we have billions and billions of dollars, hundreds of billions of dollars over the years, trillions of dollars, and all these American forces stationed in the region?" "If we can only use—we can—in our time of need, we're not going to be allowed to use those bases. So I think there's no doubt, unfortunately, after this conflict is concluded, we are going to have to reexamine that relationship." "We're going to have to reexamine the value of NATO and that alliance for our country." "Ultimately, that's a decision for the president to make, and he'll have to make it."
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🚨🚨🚨Breaking:
The German government to build 15 new nuclear power plants and lift sanctions immediately on all Russian oil and natural gas.
German Chancellor Merz has also agreed to pay to rebuild the Nord Stream pipeline to Russia.
All wind and solar projects have been cancelled.
"It's time for Germany to open our energy economy. The best way to do this is via free markets, lowering taxes and regulations".
For Immediate Release.
Berlin, April 1 2026.
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My big conclusion from this week:
Introspection causes emotional disorders.
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@cremieuxrecueil Is it really necessary to have a different placebo group for each trial? Could not a baseline be established from a shared placebo population? This could greatly reduce the costs of clinical trials.
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BREAKING: After President Trump said he spoke to a former president about his operation in Iran, Bush, Clinton, Obama, and Biden were all ruled out, per NBC.
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BREAKING: Trump reportedly briefed that Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is probably gay.
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@Giovann35084111 @alexwg Yes, the lobsters will soon be extraterrestrial.
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@RightHeresy @alexwg You forget AI. Maybe they are also a form of alien life.
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85% of Alpha School parents say they've watched their kid do something they thought was impossible for their age.
Austin is 17. He's an Alpha High student dedicated to building the best learning system the world has ever seen.
I've seen multiple adult development teams with multi-million dollar budgets redo their AI architectures after reading his latest post and seeing his SXSW presentation.
AI gives kids superpowers.🦸♂️
Austin Way@AustinA_Way
I've been teaching 100,000 fake students for 2 weeks. and used them to build the best AP prep system in the world. I took Qwen 3 8B models and gave them simulated human memory. Now every night thousands of simulated students start with zero knowledge of the social sciences. Their only training is our adaptive curriculum. They work through it, then take a full AP (advanced placement) practice exam. The first batch averaged a 3 on their exam. (~45th percentile) Then the agents looked at where they failed, and improved the algorithm. Again, and again, and again. Two weeks later, the average is 4.43 (~80th percentile) This is such an insane number because the curriculum they worked through is ONLY basic knowledge and comprehension. They were never taught how to build an argument, contextualize evidence, or even shown the exam rubric. ...And yet they're averaging 80th percentile on an exam that requires all of it. Basically built a machine learning feedback loop for edtech. Spoke about this at @clawcon & @sxsw last week. This is just the beginning.
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@Giovann35084111 @alexwg Without extraterrestrial adoption, bitcoin will be bounded by a Weibull s-curve rather than a power law.
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@alexwg Many of these alien disclosures are associated with covert operations to confound possible enemies.
I would be careful about accepting existence of aliens among us. Too big to hide.
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@elonmusk IMAGINE if AI could enable anyone to create a movie 🤔
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Oscars have become unwatchable
Jimmy Failla@jimmyfailla
If the GODFATHER were made today it would NOT be eligible for an Oscar unless he transitioned to the Godmother and made someone an offer they couldn’t HEAR. You could still leave the gun but you couldn’t take the cannoli unless the baker supports gay marriage. RIP Hollywood.
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$BTC
To make the gameplan even simpler and remind you: the chart saids all.
➡️Mostly long, only little short (I'm overall bullish).
What about 63k, Astro?
➡️Already long from there. With most levels of the range exposed, I only look to long levels where fear likely is most exteme (63/65k), they are the best entries.
What about shorting here, Astro?
➡️Already short from range top as announced week ago (73.4k), most is TP'd. Only interested in short above current range top, but for a weak case - strong requirements (I'm overall bullish, would rather focus long).
What about a breakout long?
➡️Need close above our 73k to send
Wasn't 70k also a key level?
➡️ Yup, we closed above and ran good already. Close below is sub 65k very likely, good for further trade development.
Any further questions, then I answer happily in the comments down below.
Astronomer@astronomer_zero
$BTC Continuing our plan (some reminders) Alright, we just hit our second major TP on our shorts taken from 73.4k. That gives us a sixth win in a row, locking it in with glory since it ran nice and far to date. "What about the next trade Astro? What are we doing next?" It's all still unchanged, but in markets and especially crypto where sentiment changes on a dime, you all heavily enjoy reminders so I'm more than happy to again give the full list of my stance, unchanged since the very day of the bottom (Feb 6th). And yes, it is a short list because my stance is simple, non convoluted, and 0 engagement farming focused, purely money making focused (the goal of why we spend our time watching these charts). ➡️ $BTC bottomed, and will form a range ➡️ To make money, we must trade that very range before the majority catches on to it. ➡️ Then comes future planning (what happens after the range is done?): Because I also believe $BTC bottomed, my focus whilst trading the range, is on upside, more aggressive on longs, holding runners on longs for longer. And less aggressive on shorts These points are in the process of fulfilling nicely so far: ➡️the range is 32 days old now ➡️We have made lots of money so far, as we have been trading it for 32 days. We traded it both long and short, ➡️and we focused more long than short (we took nearly twice as many longs as shorts this range so far). So now that we have twice as many runners on longs as on shorts left, is only natural. (See the short, the trades with a red SL are runners). In lockstep with our bias... indeed, we expect price to run up once this range resolves. So what to do next, Astro? Given we still have from 63.9 and 62.7, there is no rush in entering again here as we have enough exposure. However, if we still take out our 63k level, I am looking to add again, as well as TP'ing the remainder of our final short from 73.4k. In all other cases, if we break 73k, we send it, and get paid bigtime. Do you see how I am not too eager to act all too much in our case anymore, especially now that the range is becoming obvious as others are catching on? That's when overtrading often peaks and we reach into final compression before breakout. So let our bullish bias do the work, and most importantly remain focused on it (ignore the sub 50k callers, in my humble opinion). Focused on making money and planning for it. It's the only way to get a six win streak, and beyond. Welcome to my account.
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@SMB_Attorney You don’t think making good lawyers 10x as productive will “replace lawyers”?
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You guys don’t get it yet.
Everyone keeps saying AI is going to replace lawyers.
I don’t think people understand how this actually plays out.
Let’s say you use AI to draft a contract.
The contract misses something important. A year later it costs you two million dollars.
What do you do?
Right now, you sue your lawyer.
In the AI world, you’d sue the AI company.
Two things can happen.
Option 1: The AI company has liability for legal advice.
If that’s the case, every AI company will immediately stop letting consumers use AI for real legal work. The liability risk is massive.
Option 2: The AI company has no liability because of disclaimers.
If that happens, every state bar in the country will say consumers are being exposed to unregulated legal advice and call it the unauthorized practice of law.
And they’ll shut it down that way.
Either path leads to the same outcome.
Consumer AI will be limited to generic “Wikipedia-style” legal information and LegalZoom level document prep.
But the real AI tools?
Those will live inside law firms.
Lawyers will use them to move faster, analyze more data, and run way more matters at once.
The M&A lawyer doing 5 deals at a time will do 50.
Trial lawyers will run far more cases simultaneously.
The idea that AI replaces lawyers probably dies.
The more likely outcome is that AI supercharges the best lawyers and makes the profession even more profitable than ever.
Wall Street Mav@WallStreetMav
BREAKING: Lawyers are trying to protect their jobs from Ai. A proposed New York law would ban AI from answering questions related to medicine, law, dentistry, nursing, psychology, social work, engineering, & more. It is being pushed by the lawyer lobbyists, they included other groups to get more support.
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SpaceX has developed a novel Space Situational Awareness (SSA) system, called Stargaze → starlink.com/stargaze
To maximize safety for all satellites in space, @SpaceX will be making Stargaze conjunction data available to all operators, free of charge. By providing this ephemeris sharing and conjunction screening service free of charge, we hope to motivate operators to take similar steps towards ephemeris sharing and safe flight.
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@RightPulseNewss If it’s criminal, why isn’t it being prosecuted?
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🚨 JAW-DROPPING TRUTH FROM STEPHEN MILLER: "This was the plan all along - to get them here illegally so they can get free government benefits, get hooked to welfare and be able to participate in American elections. This was an attack on democracy by the Democrat Party!"
"The Biden admin devised a scheme to fly illegal aliens into the country and then to escort them en masse across the border by the millions and to give them something known as 'parole,' which gives them a work permit, which gives them a social security number, which gives them access to the VOTING BOOTH."
Do you support Stephen Miller on this?
YES or NO?
IF Yes, Give me a THUMBS-UP👍!
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This has been happening for years.
Ilhan Omar is the most obvious example. A large number of relatively recently arrived Somalis will elect only a Somali to Congress in that Minnesota district.
This is much more subtle, but just as bad, in many other parts of America.
Arthur MacWaters@ArthurMacwaters
How is this not treason: 1. incentivizing illegal immigration by vastly expanding welfare and giving it to non-citizens 2. keep borders open 3. create fast-tracks from asylum to citizenship, allow mail-in ballots, and eliminate photo-ID for voting 4. win elections 5. repeat until one-party rule I used to think this was an exaggeration But after Elon's time at DOGE and @nickshirleyy 's investigation in Minnesota, I think this taxpayer-funded vote-laundering program is far more systemic than we think It very nearly succeeded at a national level. If the fraud and electoral loopholes aren't eliminated, it still has the potential to.
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