Rohan J

Most Bitcoin investors fail because they only look at charts. I run a top-down model that looks at the full picture: 
Macro. Liquidity. On-chain. Valuation. Trend. Here’s this week’s opportunity and breakdown ↓

@seth_fin The pairing is that extreme fear + 200W is where selling declines. The war and tight liquidity still cap follow-through but these are sound levels to accumulate into. When the war settles and liquidity expands, these are the times you wish you invested.

$BTC SENTIMENT IS EXTREME FEAR. BITCOIN IS BELOW THE 200W. It will be interesting next week.

@KobeissiLetter Semis are carrying the South Korean market and economy. The impact of the war is being felt through higher oil and inflation - their broader equity markets have lagged.

South Korea's economy is seeing unprecedented growth: South Korea’s exports surged +41.9% YoY in March, the 2nd-highest in at least 2 years. This follows +49.3% in February and +14.0% in January, marking the strongest quarter since at least 2023. The surge was driven by semiconductor exports, which soared +151.4% YoY, to a record $32.8 billion, fueled by global AI and data center investment demand. Meanwhile, shipments to China jumped +64.2% YoY, the highest since the aftermath of the 2008 Financial Crisis, and exports to the US rose +47.1%. South Korea is seeing historic economic momentum.

@MartiniGuyYT Sentiment and risk allocation is in the trash with the war. These are the times you build big positions by entering at attractive levels.

💥INSIGHT JPMORGAN SAYS CRYPTO FLOWS DROP TO $11 BILLION IN Q1, DOWN 66% FROM Q1 2025

@Cointelegraph Decent uptick, but still not QE. Fed is still broadly tight, and liquidity is getting drained elsewhere through issuance and high real rates. Crypto needs this trend continue for weeks alongside falling yields.

🇺🇸 LATEST: Fed balance sheet assets rose to $6.67T, up about $18B week-over-week

Pretty much the market saying capital still earns a strong real return in safe assets. This keeps pressure on equity multiples, raises hurdle rates, and stops gold from fully expressing the macro stress. Until real yields break lower, liquidity stays trapped in cash and bonds instead of flowing hard into duration and risk.

10yr TIPS yield right in the middle of its 3-year range... near 2%

@Rajatsoni Currency debasement and inflation are what keeps people trapped. What’s the way out? Bitcoin.

But there's no inflation and we're still winning 😂

@Rajatsoni Bottoms are only clear in hindsight. Ultimately it depends on liquidity and macro fundamentals. The war will keeps oil and inflation high, and conditions tight. Best is to DCA gradually at attractive valuation and size up when liquidity and flows confirm.

Is the bottom in?

@jv_finance Long term, 100%. If US liquidity expands into the 2026 refi cycle, BTC snaps back hard. Right now liquidity will remain tight because of the war, so it’s likely we stay below trend.

Do you think Bitcoin will revert back into the power law in 2026?

@patientinvestor The thing is at 23x, returns are already pulled forward. Higher rates push WACC up and compresses multiples and future returns. Being selective is key. Look for undervalued cash flows and keep dry powder for better entry points.

Howard Marks: "When you buy the S&P 500 at a 23x P/E, your 10-yr annualized return has always fallen between +2% and –2%, IN EVERY CASE, EVERY CASE!"

@futurepedia_io From a market perspective, this expands the stack Models can now be guided internally, which reduces randomness and increases trust. That is critical for real-world deployment and pushes AI further into production use cases.

New Anthropic update: LLM “emotions” aren’t just vibes – they’ve found internal emotion concepts that actually steer Claude’s behavior. Anthropic shows how patterns for things like “desperation” or “calm” light up inside Claude and change how it codes, answers, and makes decisions. Not real feelings, but functional signals the model uses when playing the Claude character – and they’re strong enough that you can steer behavior by nudging these internal states. For builders, that means a new control surface beyond prompts: emotion-like vectors that can push agents toward safer, more prosocial choices and away from sketchy behavior. #AnthropicEmotions #AIUpdates #Futurepedia

@heynavtoor @modulate_ai @huggingface I work in equities, tech sector, so this is how I see it. It’s the trade-off between performance and price. If this is 98.9% accuracy at a fraction of the cost, usage will be huge. Incumbents with high pricing get squeezed fast.

Deepfake detection just got a new #1 model. @modulate_ai's Velma hit 98.9% accuracy on @huggingface Speech Deepfake Arena. Top of the leaderboard. But here's the real story: it costs $0.25/hour. The next best option? $29 to $144/hour. That's not a discount. That's a different industry.

@ShaykhSulaiman The MAGA crowd call this 4D chess which we aren’t smart enough to understand.

TWO STATEMENTS BY TRUMP 7 MINUTES APART: Trump at 9:00: "Regime change was not our goal. We don't want that" Trump at 9:07: "Regime change is what we want. It is needed" These statements were made 7 minutes apart in the same speech

@vkhosla From an investment pov, healthcare delivery gets more efficient, cost per diagnosis falls, and access expands. Value shifts to those who own the interface, data, and decision layer.

I said years ago AI would outperform most doctors on diagnosis and medical decision-making. Many thought that was crazy. This despite a poorly done comparison Now research comparing AI systems on real clinical cases shows the best models already outperform generalist physicians. Still early. But the direction is unmistakable! forbes.com/sites/jessepin…

@cryptomanran “They have no anti-aircraft equipment, it’s all been blown up” - Trump not too long ago. His cult will defend his lies and the blood on his hands no matter what but the truth of his incompetence is there for all to see

The US lost 2 planes tonight in Iran and there is one pilot missing. If the Iranians find him first it will become a nightmare for the US. The last thing they can afford is a face and a hostage! This is not going well!

@cryptofergani When the war ends, macro settles, liquidity expands. Crypto rockets.

The entire crypto market is about to explode. All you need to do is be patient.

AI compresses the cost of intelligence. Usage increases, agents start transacting, paying for data, compute, services. This needs digital money built for machines. Bitcoin stores the value and crypto moves it between agents. We are just beginning. $BTC is the future.

@cryptorover Yuppp, the war keeps oil high, liquidity tight, and sentiment depressed. Scaling gradually every week. Huge upside awaits when macro stabilises and liquidity returns.

This is insane: Retail activity has reached a record low. Sentiment in Crypto is down BAD.

@AshCrypto Yeah this is proper shock now. This will feed straight into inflation, real rates, and tighten conditions. Energy, commodities, and infra are the investments to make for now.

🚨 THIS IS REALLY WORRISOME Dated Brent Oil has surged to $141/barrel, its highest level since the 2008 Financial Crisis. This is the price of actual physical oil and not futures or paper prices. This means the price is now higher than: 2011 Oil price shock 2014 Global oil shortage 2022 Russia-Ukraine war How will this impact the markets? First of all, the price you pay to buy oil will go up. Also the cost of transportation, farming, petrochemicals, etc. will go up, thus pushing inflation higher. And what happens when inflation goes up? The Fed tightens the economy, businesses do layoffs, and the entire economy goes into a downtrend.

@BitcoinMagazine Yep but the thing is maturity reduces downside, but liquidity still drives cycles and strength. War, oil, and rates are still setting the ceiling here. Drawdowns compress over time, but the upside expands when liquidity turns.

NEW: Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood says on CNBC that Bitcoin's usual -85% collapses are "DONE" 👀 "This is a prove technology, it's a proven monetary system, and it's a new asset class." 🚀

@scottmelker Huge. This pulls $TAO into institutional rails and will drive flows. Really shaping up to no longer be a nice AI play. Continue building positions and size when macro and liquidity improve.

GRAYSCALE FILES FORM S-1 AMENDMENT FOR BITTENSOR $TAO TRUST $GTAO