@RedEaglePatriot Blue states have lost millions of residents but you don’t see republicans flipping them or coming close, while Dems have won or have come close in winking statewide races in red states
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Ruben
106 posts
"Blue states are better than red states" is completely irrelevant as a talking point when you look at the fact that blue states keep bleeding residents to red states, including those in the deep south.
Even Colorado and the PNW are bleeding more residents than they take in.
Delaware is the outlier, because they are getting a lot of liberal retirees from NY/NJ/PA.
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@RedEaglePatriot The quality of life is better in blue states. Thats a fact. Blue states bleed population because republican voters are fed up and because the cost of living is high compared to red states.
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@Pat_RickUSA Go look at early voting numbers for the redistricting referendum
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Republican turnout and enthusiasm are at record highs and I’m supposed to believe that 2026 is gonna be a blue wave?
OSZ@OpenSourceZone
California Early Voting Now vs at this point in 2022 (Primary Election is in 4 days) At this point in 2022: 🔵 54% 🔴 27% 🟡 20% (1,934,270 Voted) Now: 🔵 44% (-10) 🔴 35% (+8) 🟡 21% (+1) (2,521,085 Voted)
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@liberscravola @RedEaglePatriot CA moving to right by 1 point is as significant as Ohio moved 1 point left in 2020. Look at these results. Trump made no significant gains during that 4 year gap
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@Rubencp2h @RedEaglePatriot The country moved 4 points to the left in 2020 and CA still moved 1 point right. in 2024 it moved 9 to the right.
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This isn’t something to just brush off.
That’s a 23 point shift to the right.
Republicans have been overperforming ever since the Wisconsin disaster, it’s honestly pretty weird.
OSZ@OpenSourceZone
California Early Voting Now vs at this point in 2022 At this point in 2022: 🔵 54% 🔴 26% 🟡 20% (1,611,418 Voted) Now: 🔵 42% (-12) 🔴 37% (+11) 🟡 21% (+1) (1,942,852 Voted)
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@liberscravola @RedEaglePatriot In 2024, CA moved right 10 points, but for the wrong reason. CA moved right because Harris got 2 million less votes than Biden, whereas Trump 2024. Trumps got only 80k more votes than Trump 2020. The rightward shift was caused by a massive drop in dem turnout, not by persuasion
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California moved to the right in 2020 despite the country moving to the left and moved further right in 22 and 24. I think 2026 and 18 were the Dems high water mark. CA dems have no interest in governing well and clearly see their voters a gullible fools they can scam. I suspect the will continue to see their support erode. The days of D+30 are over.
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This is what redistricting does. California Democrats redrew my district in coastal South Orange County to replace an accomplished policy-focused Republican with a Democrat known as one the "least civil" members of Congress according to data from the Polarization Research Lab.
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@Pat_Haggerty @RWPopulism Exactly. She was only doing her job. The difference here is that Maryland Dems are going to make it constitutionally possible for them to redraw
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@RWPopulism I don’t know the exact party affliation of the judge who struck that map down, but she was appointed to the court by Democratic Governor Parris Glendenning and was Chief of Staff to Democrat Barbara Mikulski.
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Hey guys who has a 5-2 majority on the state supreme court? Better yet, what party affiliation was the judge who originally struck down 8-0 in 2022
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022
NYT: Maryland Dems close to eliminating state's only GOP congressional seat for 2028. MD Senate leader Bill Ferguson flipped: SCOTUS VRA ruling — letting Southern Republicans dismantle majority-Black districts — now forces Maryland to redraw Current map: 7D-1R Proposed map: 8D-0R t.co/iVpzi1MBMG
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@RWPopulism They’re pushing for a constitutional amendment, which enables them to do so without the Supreme Court stepping in. It’s the same thing that Dems did in CA and VA. They had to push for constitutional amendments to prevent their respective state supreme courts from intervening
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@RedEaglePatriot Obama and Biden achieved a level of electoral dominance that not even Trump has achieved. Obama was elected in a landslide TWICE, and while he did suffer major blows in both midterm elections, Biden’s Democratic Party managed to erase those gains in 2018 and 2022.
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1976? Try 2005, even.
The damage Obama and Biden did to this country was catastrophic.
End Wokeness@EndWokeness
Coca-Cola commercial from 1976 The past is a foreign country
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@jrl_josh @YouTubeNerdNick @RedEaglePatriot That pattern died in 2018. Trump won the state twice, but down ballot wise, democrats have essentially erased all the gains that republicans made in 2010 and 2014. Whether you’re looking at the senate races, statewide offices, state legislature, house races, etc.
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@YouTubeNerdNick @RedEaglePatriot Republicans won the Michigan Gubernatorial election in 1990, 1994, 1998, 2010, and 2014.
Michigan has a pattern of going R, D, R, D.
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Well, Dems catch a break with this one
Confusing, as polls showed he actually had a real shot to win, too
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022
🚨 BREAKING: Former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan is ending his independent bid for governor.
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@erickson_68 @TonerousHyus It happened there too for the referendum in November last year. And the results weren’t pretty
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@TonerousHyus “For some reason” it’s happening in California too
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@erickson_68 @ZhouJaron And then the tens of millions of dem voters start pouring in lol. The same happened in VA and CA leading up to their redistricting referendums. Republicans were more engaged with voting at the beginning but then got crushed when more votes started to be counted later on
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@ZhouJaron Republicans are showing up in California too. Clearly GOP enthusiasm is holding on the west coast.
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For some reason Republican turnout in Oregon appears to be super strong
Not sure why this is the case, the Republican primaries are more competitive but still seems disproportionate compared to the rest of the country.
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@RedEaglePatriot The only reason for why voters may be swayed to vote to keep the incumbent party in power is when the alternative is really bad, like how republicans barely won the house in 2022, failed to win the senate, and lost most statewide races in swing states
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I’m still thinking no blue wave this November
Trump isn’t on the ballot btw, Dems are, and their approval rating is half of Trump’s
OSZ@OpenSourceZone
Democratic Party Approval Rating 🟢 Approve: 20% (-52) 🔴 Disapprove: 72% Quinnipiac poll | May 14-18 | 1,106 RV
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@RedEaglePatriot I’m genuinely curious as to how you think like this? Like you know damn well that voters in midterms vote AGAINST the status quo, even when the alternative is lack luster. This is why the out of power party by default wins the house all the time.
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@davidslosttt Exactly. Republicans were out cheering when Ted Cruz barely won, but lost sight of the fact that Dems picked up two historically red house seats, a dozen state legislative seats, several local offices, etc
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@CV__Politics Californians literally voted to fire 5 house republicans on a margin of 2-1 and voters in three of those gop districts actually voted to oust them too😭. CA is definitely not going to go easy on republicans in November.
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california republicans are currently killing it in the early vote, so i decided to map it out.
first map is returns by party. second map is returns relative to the party registration advantage of each county.
we’re punching above our weight in all but two counties so far.
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@NapoleonBonabot I don’t get it. So what you’re showing us is that he almost lost against a no name candidate in 2018, when turnout was higher, and then performed better against another no name candidate in a year with lower turnout? Paxton underperformed all statewide republicans that year too.
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The “hated GOP nominee” in question
Alicia Smith@Alicia_Smith19
So Talarico probably the odds-on favorite to win in TX Sen now: Hated GOP nominee, pro-Dem environment, GOP erosion with Latinos etc MI remains a big question mark for me (El Sayed probably wins primary, which gives Rs a chance) but Dems could be on their way to a Senate flip.
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Just so you know… this was when Trumps approvals were higher than it was today, with a better economy
Some of you need reminding since you guys are so complacent.
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