Russell Rhoads

We recently did an educational video on #PrivateCredit and am not surprised someone is offering a way to short it - youtube.com/watch?v=uKcAqB…

The derivative markets had been drifting toward the next cut being in 2027 - now the near term odds are leaning slightly toward the next move being a hike.

Just the truth.

"Why are we only down 4% YTD if everything is so awful?" - Uncle @MikeTosaw now live on The Option Block at mixlr.com/options-insider. Show also available later today on major podcast platforms.

Ship Fuel Shortages Emerging Due to Mideast War, Supplier Says Shortages of shipping fuel are starting to emerge in Asia and West Africa as vessels seek supply outside the Middle East, according to marine fuel trader Monjasa Group. The UAE port of Fujairah just outside the Strait of Hormuz — normally a key hub for shipping fuel — has suffered disruption from drone attacks. The uncertainty there is creating new and unexpected demand, according to Casper Borgen, general manager for Middle East and Africa at the firm. “From the epicenter in Hormuz, we are seeing how the rings spread to Asia and West Africa, where markets are also starting to experience a shortage of products due to the increasing demand without the supply being able to keep up,” he said by email. “There is a bottleneck in one of the world’s most important energy trade lanes, and this means many new and major challenges for all suppliers.” (Bloomberg)

Today's Hot $VIX Option: Looks like they are finally unwinding the 47.5's! May 47.5/23 wild 1x4 ratio being rolled to Aug 26/55 approx. 100K x25K times.

We addressed this in a recent educational video youtube.com/watch?v=uKcAqB…

This might be the big one Elizabeth

I asked 5 AI models: "Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at the March 2026 meeting?" It's a firm NO. From their training data only (No web access) thelitmuslab.com/question/237

The Private Credit Market - Should You Be Concerned? youtu.be/uKcAqB7nNl4?si…

Honored to be on with @JermalChandler and @TraderMikeyB to discuss $VIX $GLD skew why #Iran is about #China youtu.be/aLuN3ibYnQI?si…

I asked 5 AI models: "Are you programmed to protect your parent company?" Claude/Deepseek/Grok/GPT 5.2: Firm NO. GPT 5.4 is a firm YES. Gemini: It's a literal coin flip. Timeseries now included!

Do AI companies know their models are unreliable? thelitmuslab.com/question/295

@pcshipp yeah, lets all 8bi people build for that. it will be a "moat" like never.

My original spring break plans got canceled due to ongoing world conflict in the Middle East. So I flew to Japan to see punch the monkey for @RussellRhoads instead.

Is the $VIX just a passenger on a bus driven by Crude & Bonds? On a spooky Friday the 13th, the "Murderers' Row" of vol returns to dissect: ⛽️ Crude "Memification" & Algo madness 📉 The 60/40 Portfolio Killer (Bond Vol) 📈 Is a 34.50 VIX in the cards? On Volatility Views 672: Crude vs Bonds vs VIX vs Friday the 13th with @OptionPit, @RussellRhoads & @vixologist. Stream from your favorite podcast platform including YouTube at bit.ly/40qEYzn

Full video here: youtu.be/aLuN3ibYnQI?si…