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Happy Bammer

Happy Bammer

@RyanKahn3

Bama Alum | High Tide Fan | Bagel Enthusiast | Auburn Hater | ✡️🇮🇱

Houston, TX Katılım Nisan 2021
1.5K Takip Edilen1.9K Takipçiler
Happy Bammer
Happy Bammer@RyanKahn3·
@cfbpredictor @IAKOWDustin @shttydata @CollegeFBonX But every model has Michigan beating bama by 15 plus. This is very interesting. Are you able to factor how other players can still generate offense for us and will get more points and add the facts he’s one of our worst defenders
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FOX College Hoops
FOX College Hoops@CBBonFOX·
REPOST IF YOUR TEAM IS STILL DANCING 🕺🏀
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College Football Zone
College Football Zone@CollegeFBonX·
16 teams left. Who do you WANT to win the national championship?
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Ghost of Texas Football
Ghost of Texas Football@FortyAcreVibes·
Good morning to everyone out there whose men’s and women’s teams are both playing in the Sweet 16. Have a day, y’all.
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Gavin McHugh
Gavin McHugh@gavinmchughh·
Update: Alabama was either winning this game by 25 with 20 threes. Or losing by 20. they won by 25.
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Graham Coffey
Graham Coffey@GrahamCoffeyDC·
With Alabama through, it means that Georgia went 3-2 against the SEC’s four Sweet 16 teams this season. That included wins against Alabama and Texas within the past month Georgia going down by 40 to a 9-seed from the A10 makes no sense. We know the players said that the team didn’t play hard, but we still don’t know what internal or external factors created those dynamics. We will probably never gain a full and detailed understanding of what exactly happened, but the results of the last 4 days add another layer of reasons to make it feel like something odd occurred with this UGA team to make it check out on this season as it hit the tournament it worked all year to reach. Considering what we saw from this team on its best nights, and the fact that it lost by more than 15 points just once in the regular season and never got beat by more than 20, UGA’s performance as the betting favorite on Thursday night feels like one of the strangest showings we’ve seen in an NCAA Tournament in recent memory.
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Happy Bammer
Happy Bammer@RyanKahn3·
@bamaperspective Even though there will be a good showing of Michigan fans. Atleast half of the United center will be Iowa state fans. Trust me. Also we were able to beat Illinois in the same building with 95% of the arena being Illini fans.
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Bama Perspective
Bama Perspective@bamaperspective·
ALABAMA vs. MICHIGAN EARLY PREVIEW Big picture, as well as we played in Tampa, our realistic chances against 1 seed Michigan are ... not great. Maybe (probably?) slightly better than Alabama's chances against Indiana in the College Football Playoff. Still, everything has to go perfect, as I'll explain. Consider that two years ago, when we beat 1 seed North Carolina as a 4 seed, we were a 4.5-point underdog -- 4 points in spots close to game time. We opened as a 10.5-point underdog against Michigan despite back-to-back beatdowns of Hofstra and Texas Tech. KenPom has us as a 7-point underdog (24% to win) and doesn't "see" that Holloway could be out -- or that we've struggled most against exactly the type of team Michigan profiles as. Favorites of 8+ points are on a 46-2 run in the NCAA Tournament. So we're trying to do something that 46 out of the last 48 teams have failed to do. Michigan played the first Round of 32 game Saturday at 12:15 p.m. ET. They finished their Round of 32 game ~33 hours before Alabama. Chicago is about a four-hour drive from Michigan. So they get 1.5 extra days of rest/preparation, easier travel and will have home-court advantage with their fans. Now let's look at Bama this season. We're 12th in KenPom. Entering the Tournament, the great Evan Miya put us in the category of "high floor, low ceiling" ... not upset-prone at all, but not super likely to pull off upsets either. Makes total sense based on the season. Against teams better than us in KenPom, we're now 1-4, losing by an average of 10.6 points per game. Against teams right below us -- currently 14-17 in KenPom (where we've been most of the season), we're now 3-2 with a 2OT win and a 2-point win. Average margin: -1.0 points per game So essentially coin flips. Against teams ranked 20+ in KenPom, we're now 21-3. Losses: Texas (made the Sweet 16), Georgia (NCAA Tournament team on the road in a dead schedule spot after winning 8 straight games) and Ole Miss (generational run in the SEC Tournament). Average margin of victory: win by mid-teens. Michigan is No. 1 in KenPom. The closest comps are Florida (No. 5 in KenPom, lost by 23) and Arizona (No. 2 in KenPom, lost by 21). We were +12 in rebounds vs. Texas Tech with 18(!) offensive rebounds. The Red Raiders are 85th and 185th in offensive and defensive rebound %, and were trending down since the Toppin injury (so really, worse than that). Michigan is 47th and 40th. Not exactly Florida and Tennessee, which held us to 73, 77 and 71 points. But similar. The Wolverines are fourth in the country in 2-point % defense. Aday Mara anchors their rim protection at 7-foot-3, 255 pounds. His 12.6% block rate is the fourth-highest in the nation. Former UAB star Yaxel Lendeborg is a taller Herbert Jones with better offense at this stage in his career. Jones was an early second-round pick. Lendeborg is likely a first-round pick. Like Jones, he won conference player of the year in the Big Ten while not scoring too terribly much (a bit more than Jones). But he's 6-foot-9, 240 pounds and can switch on almost anyone. He just also shoots 64.8%/36.1%/83.0%. He also rebounds and blocks shots. Then there's Morez Johnson, who is 6-foot-9, 250 pounds. He also rebounds at super high rates and shoots 66.9%/37.5%/79.3%. Former Alabama guard Nimari Burnett is a 6-foot-5 3-and-D guy hitting 39.5% of his 3s and bothering guards with his length on the perimeter on defense. Lendeborg and Burnett especially are huge pests at the 3-point line on defense at 6-9 and 6-5. With Mara, in the convo for best shot-blocker and rim protector in the country, behind them, they can push out hard on shooters and not worry. As such, Michigan's 3-point defense is also 30th in the country. So they're a long, versatile, switching defense with great rim protection that's thicker and stronger than we are. They rebound well and shut down everything in the paint. Essentially, Bama may be forced to shoot 40+ 3s. But Labaron Philon is going to have to be magic off the bounce. Because we need those drive-and-spray open looks against Michigan's length and pressing 3-point defense. Aden Holloway at 43.8% from 3 is one of the best shooters in the nation. I assume he won't play? If I'm right about that, we're relying on the "others" to come up big yet again. Amari Allen's jumper has abandoned him. Philon can light it up at times from 3 and when the stars align and Trelly is in rhythm and healthy, he can light it up from 3 as well as anyone. Michigan can stick their best perimeter defenders on Philon/Trelly and dare them to drive inside against Mara or shoot over the top of 6-5 or 6-9 defenders. So Houston Mallette, Taylor Bol Bowen, Aiden Sherrell and London Jemison are going to have to continue to make shots at a good clip (probably better than their season averages) against a much better defense, likely with less open looks. Michigan's defense is like Tennessee's on steroids. They're better at blocking shots, they're longer, they're just as strong and they rank second in KenPom defense (Tennessee is 14th). They limit opponents to the 329th-fastest offensive possessions. But Michigan is nothing like Tennessee on offense. They're 14th in offensive tempo. They shoot 3s at a higher % than Bama does. So we're playing a defense that's better than Tennessee's with an offense that can shoot better than we can. Is there a path to win? Absolutely. KenPom says 24%, but given the gap between KenPom and the betting line -- assuming no Holloway, and looking at how we've performed against similar comps this season -- I'd put our chances at 15-20%. We've made more 3s than all but one team through two rounds in the modern NCAA Tournament. (I believe Loyola-Marymount in 1990?) We've been rebounding like maniacs to a man. We've played much better defense and paid very close attention to the scouting report in the Tournament. That's become a hallmark of Oats teams. But we can play a B- type game against Michigan and still lose by 15+ points. We need pretty much everything to go right. Aiden Sherrell can't get 4 fouls and play 17 minutes like he did tonight. Our non-Philon, non-Holloway shooters have to sustain what they did in the first two rounds. Our defense needs to match what it did tonight. Will of course LOVE it if we successfully pull off this challenge. I think I was a little too "PC" before the Indiana game when I thought they were a much, much better team in football. So I thought I'd be a little more realistic/honest here. I do not expect us to win against Michigan. But making the Sweet 16, after what we lost last season, with the transfer portal class we brought in, with the injuries we had, in such emphatic fashion, is incredible. If we do happen to get smacked in Chicago, remember how awesome it is that this team finished second in the SEC and made another Sweet 16. I think we've maxed out our talent. And depending on how the personnel decisions shake out, if things break the right way for us, we could be back to contending for a Final Four (or even a national title) next year. Roll Tide and thanks for reading!
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FOX College Hoops
FOX College Hoops@CBBonFOX·
ALABAMA ROLLS INTO THE SWEET 16 🔥 No. 4 @AlabamaMBB handles No. 5 Texas Tech in dominating fashion.
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Happy Bammer
Happy Bammer@RyanKahn3·
@TexasTechMBB Roll fuckin tide on that azz. Belt to ass. Belt to azz. Raider wrecked.
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NCAA March Madness
NCAA March Madness@MarchMadnessWBB·
For the first time since the bracket was expanded to 64 teams in 1994, we enter the Second Round with all Power Four and Big East teams. #MarchMadness
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Happy Bammer
Happy Bammer@RyanKahn3·
My goodness Nebraska fans have the IQ of a kindergartner
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Penfield
Penfield@BpenfieldJ·
We need to start petitioning @MarchMadnessMBB, @CBSSports, and @turner to start the Sunday opening weekend games earlier. No reason they shouldn’t start the games at 12 stagger the tip times by an hour. Last game tips at 7 and we can all go to bed by 10.
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