Michael Stancil

558 posts

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Michael Stancil

Michael Stancil

@STNC

Foreign Policy, Aviation, Tech, Diving, and everything else. Opinions are my own. 💍 @zpyeung

Phoenix, AZ Katılım Ocak 2008
226 Takip Edilen854 Takipçiler
Michael Stancil
@lulumeservey @anothercohen Someone better be cooking a great documentary about this; it can literally be a series at this point. Imagine a 30for30 version of it, from TBPN (or whoever)
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Lulu Cheng Meservey
Lulu Cheng Meservey@lulumeservey·
@anothercohen 30u30 to white collar crime pipeline an immutable law. No one is above it. It is the great equalizer
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Alex Cohen
Alex Cohen@anothercohen·
No fucking way Forbes 30u30 strikes again
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Whale Insider
Whale Insider@WhaleInsider·
JUST IN: Robinhood Chain flips Base in 24H DEX volume, hitting $905.4 million while Base reaches $899.2 million.
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Michael Stancil
It has been very good! The only thing that’s confusing is working within vs. utilizing design systems - not that’s there’s a difference really - it’s just sometimes hard to manage assets like emails and ads because they become a part of the system (sometimes) when I wish they wouldn’t, there should be a way to say “this is a one way read only project”
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nate parrott
nate parrott@nateparrott·
folks who’ve tried Claude Design — how was the experience? what works well and what could be better?
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Michael Stancil
Yeah, I'll keep an eye out and update you if it turns out to be fake. Couldn't agree with you more, though; computers are better drivers than humans, it's undeniable. On average, ~115 people die on US roads every day, the equivalent of a single A220 crashing. Every day. We collectively (and rightfully) lose our minds when any plane crashes - and yet, fixing a problem orders of magnitude that size on our roads really hasn't been a care until now, with Waymo, FSD, etc. (That's also a testament to the NTSB vs. the NHTSA)
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Sheel Mohnot
Sheel Mohnot@pitdesi·
@STNC @CamiloBAcosta Interesting! I’d assumed it was fake because it nags a lot… I still lean that it’s fake or the video is cut off purposefully because in 45 seconds or inattention it pulls you over to the side of the road I will say that on highways I trust FSD much more than human drivers.
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Michael Stancil
Yeah, I'll keep an eye out and update you if it turns out to be fake. Couldn't agree with you more, though; computers are better drivers than humans, it's undeniable. On average, ~115 people die on US roads every day, the equivalent of an A220 crashing. We collectively (and rightfully) lose our minds when any plane crashes - and yet, fixing a problem orders of magnitude that size on our roads really hasn't been a care until now, with Waymo, FSD, etc. (That's also a testament to the NTSB vs. the NHTSA)
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Michael Stancil
Happy to be proven wrong, but so far I can't find its legitimacy being challenged (yet) (cbc.ca/news/canada/br…) In my experience, there are a lot of workarounds for the monitoring technology (which isn't Tesla's fault, per se), but to me, the feature is sold and promoted as a big *wink wink.* It is named "Full Self Driving," after all. The number of people who flex "driving" a Tesla while pretending to be asleep, texting, with no hands on the wheel, etc. is numerous. Again, anecdotal, but I see it firsthand all the time. And as someone who wants the technology to rapidly advance, uses Waymos, etc. I'm just conflicted, because the data Tesla is gathering is huge - and that's great - but it's just increasing the risk that I don't think people fully understand. We here on X certainly know SAE levels, etc, but your average consumer sees "full self driving*" and thinks "neat," and of course not reading the * (no one is, though). I've certainly changed my tune on technological capabilities (nod to @bscholl's post yesterday) - I was a pretty big "IT MUST BE LiDAR" person, but again, computer vision will evolve, so I have an open mind now, especially when overbearing regulations are involved now. It just needs to be stated that Tesla FSD (non-cybercab) is a level 2, and Waymo is a level 4 - and most people don't think about the delta between that. Then again, I'm a new Polestar 4 owner, so I'm also just jaded that my car company doesn't stand up for its users like Tesla would/does.
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Michael Stancil
@ylecun The winning is just too much, please make it stop, my wallet is begging to be even thinner.
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Yann LeCun
Yann LeCun@ylecun·
Tired of winning
Bill Madden@maddenifico

Trump's Beef Catastrophe: Incompetence, Blithering Idiocy, and Blatant Lies Have Obliterated America's Beef Industry In yet another humiliating display of incompetence, the authoritarian Trump regime has turned America's once-mighty beef industry into a national punchline. After months of touting "record" export numbers as proof that his chaotic trade policies were somehow working, the U.S. Department of Agriculture has been forced to admit it inflated beef export sales by a staggering 90 percent. According to a bombshell Reuters report, the USDA bragged in early July that U.S. exporters had sold more than 126,000 metric tons of beef to foreign buyers for a sales period ending in late June. The actual number? Just 12,000 metric tons. That's not a rounding error. That's a catastrophic fabrication that would embarrass a high-school bookkeeper. The fake numbers were so absurd they should have raised red flags immediately. The USDA claimed record sales of more than 38,000 metric tons to Chile and over 32,000 metric tons to Italy — countries that aren’t even major markets for American beef. Reality? A pathetic 367 tons to Chile and 350 tons to Italy. Fourteen other countries saw their numbers slashed as well. This isn't just bureaucratic sloppiness. This is the Trump regime's signature brand of hype, lies, spin, and propaganda colliding with economic reality — and the American cattle industry is paying the price. U.S. beef prices have hit record highs this year thanks to tight cattle supplies and strong domestic demand. Exports have been declining since 2022. Higher prices have priced American beef out of the global market, as commodity analyst Austin Schroeder bluntly told Reuters: "We're priced out of the world market to a certain extent. It wouldn't make a lot of sense for that big of an export number." Meanwhile, domestic supplies are so low the U.S. has had to ramp up beef imports. Earlier this year, a screwworm outbreak forced Texas to declare a state of disaster, further hammering producers already squeezed by Trump-era chaos. Instead of acknowledging the mess his administration created — from trade wars that disrupted markets to regulatory neglect that left ranchers vulnerable — Trump and his sycophants simply let the USDA pump out fantasy numbers and call it a win. This is the same pattern we've seen across the board: brag about successes that don't exist, then quietly revise the data when caught. Only this time it's not some abstract economic indicator. It's the backbone of rural America — cattle ranchers, feedlot operators, processors, and exporters — watching their industry get trashed by incompetence and covered up with lies. The revised numbers aren't just embarrassing, they're devastating. They confirm what ranchers have been screaming for months: America's beef sector is in serious trouble, and the people running the show are too busy tweeting victory to notice or care. The only question left is how many more "record" numbers will have to be walked back due to Trump being a serial lying sociopath who is too psychologically fragile to handle the truth.

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Michael Stancil
The vast majority of Teslas on the road are indeed just level two: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tesla_Aut… The Tesla Cybercabs, which are just barely rolling out (I've seen three in Phoenix so far), have been certified as level four (in Texas): x.com/ICannot_Enough…, and Tesla themselves say that it is level four: driveteslacanada.ca/news/tesla-rob… Autonomy for consumer vehicles is still based on the vehicle, not the brand. Certainly Waymo and Zoox buck that trend, but they are purpose-built brands. While Tesla is certainly rapidly advancing the tech and working towards being the first US brand that offers a majority of high-level autonomous cars, that pales in comparison to brands overseas, mainly because the US auto industry isn't motivated to care, since it benefits from protectionism. That said, we're about 10 years behind Elon's prediction that Tesla would be a majority-Level-5 brand.
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James Stephenson@ICannot_Enough

🚨BREAKING: Tesla has been authorized by the State of Texas to operate driverless vehicles commercially under the new law that took effect today, May 28th, 2026. Tesla has officially self-certified the software running on its robotaxis as Level 4. $TSLA

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FreeAsInSpeech
FreeAsInSpeech@FreeAsInSpeech7·
@STNC @bscholl @ChrisNakTaylor Tesla can’t be just level 2 when they have driverless self driving taxis and are starting the same in cars without a steering wheel or pedals.
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Michael Stancil
Man, @eliano, you are killing me (in a good way) with these Palantir merch drops.
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Michael Stancil
@signulll I don't think meta and support belong in the same sentence, in any context, ever (obviously not the point of your tweet - they just suck.)
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signüll
signüll@signulll·
i remember when the joke inside fb was that twitter had fewer monthly active users than meta’s support docs. which makes it pretty funny that zuck now posts here cuz he owns 3b+ users & still has to walk into his competitor’s building to announce a model launch. whether it’s actually him or some pr person it doesn’t really matter. this platform is significant because the most interesting people, the most important people, & the people shaping the next thing still congregate here like it’s a 24/7 sermon.
Mark Zuckerberg@finkd

(1) Today we're releasing Muse Spark 1.1 -- a strong agentic and coding model at a very low price. It's available through our new Meta Model API and in Meta AI.

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Michael Stancil
I wouldn’t say it’s “far from settled.” It’s more that the technology for computer vision is rapidly advancing, and will likely get close enough to LiDAR, given the textured vs. flat sensing. As it stands, though Tesla FSD is Level 2, Waymo is Level 4. Mercedes has the first Level 3 product with some S-Class and EQE’s. Certainly LiDAR has its issues too. As a Polestar owner, we were promised LiDAR in the 3 thanks to the partnership Luminar, but that blew up when Volvo terminated the partnership and Luminar basically fell apart. Living in a city where Waymo’s have been since almost day zero (and where there are now Cybercabs testing), I cannot stress how much better and safer they are vs. human drivers, and the Waymo stats prove that. And I agree, we should be getting most people out of the drivers seat (but as a gear head I’m still always going to want to drive.) While I appreciate that Tesla is speed running their FSD, there have been a lot of missteps - which to be fair, is mostly due to human misuse, because most normies put too much trust in their technology, which we see with them constantly being distracted/texting/sleeping. That said, I agree that the proposed regulations are your typical overreach from people who don’t understand (after all, the internet is a series of tubes).
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Blake Scholl 🛫
Blake Scholl 🛫@bscholl·
@ChrisNakTaylor Nope. 1/ this is far from settled. 2/ we should mandate only things when there is an objective threat to other humans. And in this case the first thing to ban is actually human drivers, which should go the way of horses as soon as any kind of autonomy is ready.
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