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Let's make another post about Polymarket. I see a market for the Apple Vision Pro 2 Headset with a 75% expected release probability, which seems high. Last I checked, Apple was dropping or sidelining this project. They recently announced a new iPhone without mentioning Vision Pro 2, though Apple often keeps things hidden until the last moment. The rules state it doesn't need to be called Vision Pro 2 but must act as a successor to the current Vision Pro AND be available for public purchase by year's end. I think the money is in that last sentence. Even if announced by the end of year, I doubt it will be available before 2026. With 'NO' trading at ~20¢ (20% probability), I believe the fair value is around 40-50%, so I'm shorting this market with 8% of my bankroll. Good luck, everyone.