DerGeist

23K posts

DerGeist

DerGeist

@Sanegeist

In the Public Interest Determined to hold AVZ et al accountable for misleading conduct.

Katılım Haziran 2014
804 Takip Edilen733 Takipçiler
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DerGeist
DerGeist@Sanegeist·
🧵 1⃣ I propose a change to the Corporations Act C of A, that makes it mandatory for ASX companies to include Gov supplied company registrations for entities represented in company announcements to shareholders @ASX @asicmedia @ASIC_Connect @Treasury_AU Currently this is only
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DerGeist
DerGeist@Sanegeist·
@stonewallll @LaRsDrank @JohnBro03967377 $AVZ never intended to go to mine on Manono. Klaus motto was: secure, define & sell. The rhetoric since Huayou invested in $AVZ August 2017 was ‘going to mine’ but was just market bait while CATL was courted for a TO prior to it’s JUN 2018 IPO. Klaus dumped Nigel scrummed since
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R@stonewallll·
@LaRsDrank @JohnBro03967377 Any companies planning future ops in Africa must study these cases and assess the risks.All these decades old 10%, 20% to the gov deals are long over. Unfortunately $avz found itself at this turnabout in history when looking for an ML and dealt it unprofessionally leading here.
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Lars
Lars@LaRsDrank·
$AVZ ann just confirmed back to begging for more funding. 0 interested parties. If a solid deal, why hire an expensive US middleman right now? Locke/CATH/Kobold all failed. Yet cheerleaders r out there twisting negative into positive+feeding the baggies fresh lies +false hope 😆
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DerGeist
DerGeist@Sanegeist·
@NeilRingdahl @stolen_hours @sparkes_dwayne @ScottNorth64736 Are you totally sure it’s so binary? Klaus Eckhof was $AVZ CEO / Chairman but then the ‘rock licker in chief’ stepped after relying too much on the Ninja concealing disaster with CATL then Klaus dumping on dubious grounds Nigel was never meant to do Klaus’ job in the DRC. $AVZ
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Neil Ringdahl
Neil Ringdahl@NeilRingdahl·
Maybe so, but $ivn & others dont have that issue. My dad went to look at Manono in 2005 and there were unsavoury types involved even then. The challenge is ppl think the DRC is the wild west and behave accordingly. But that is a wrong assumption. Really its more CRITICAL to make sure the legal process is followed to the the T, or you will find your rights dont actually exist and you open yourself to losing what you think you have. Having good lawyers is critical as is having oversight over them and personally engaging in the process rather than managing by remote control which was the sense I got of what they were doing.
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Dwayne Sparkes
Dwayne Sparkes@sparkes_dwayne·
Saw this article today on the Manono North Deposit and just couldn’t help myself but to make comment. I'll also give my opinion on the deposit as I've had a few people ask for it. Firstly, the deposit was stolen from AVZ shareholders. I hope AVZ holders get what they deserve for this deposit and it's absolutely pathetic by the Australian government to sit idle. Lots of hard earned Aussie dollars were put into exploring and developing the orebody and the government stays silent? This orebody needed to stay under the one company in order for it to achieve its maximum potential. Zijin gained control of what is now known as Manono North which predominantly consists of the The Carriere de l’Este Pegmatite, often referenced as the CDL Pegmatite. I do think it's the inferior part of the orebody. It's lower grade than the Roche Dure Pegmatite (not in Zijin's control and to the south) and from an early stage, it seems its metallurgy wont be as good. Personally I think splitting the deposit up was also a technical mistake. I think it was important from a metallurgy point of view to keep the both the north and south together. The article states that the Manono North mine will produce up to 130,000 tonnes of LCE per year. I’d argue it won’t be anywhere even close to this. 40.4/(0.82*6) = 8.2 tonnes of SC6 per tonne of LCE. 130,000 * 8.2 = 1.06 million tonnes of SC6. 6/(1.58*0.7) = 5.43 tonnes of 1.58% ore needed per tonne of SC6. I’ve used a very generous recovery rate of 70% and you’ll see why it's generous later. 1.06million tonnes * 5.43 = 5.75Mtpa This seems doable but the problem is, I don’t think Manono North is going to produce SC6 looking at historical met work and its grade. I think Manono will join the same club as LTR, PLS, MIN, in terms of recoveries. It’s not Greenbushes. I think it will produce somewhere around SC5.2. 40.4/(0.82*5.2) = 9.47 tonnes of SC5.2 needed per tonne of LCE. It becomes very different when you plug this in. So they are going to need far more than the 850kt of concentrate as stated within the article to produce those 130kt of LCE. At the time Zijin took control of the north section, the resource was entirely inferred. This is understandable given the lack of drillholes and met work that had been undertaken (AVZ were mainly focusing on the south and doing a great job). I could be mistaken, but I haven’t seen anything via satellite (generally signs of drillholes are easily identifiable) that suggest Zijin has done further work to progress the deposit from Inferred to indicated or measured. So there's a decent chance that the proper work hasn't gone into understanding CDL and it's getting rushed. One thing that is important to understand is that size of the deposit just one of the many criteria which should be used to rank a deposit. If the deposit is larger than 90-100Mt, I’d say it gets less and less important. Grade and metallurgy become king. So, Manono North is large, but lets talk about its grade and metallurgy. I dug into historical metallurgy testwork undertaken on the CDL pegmatite and it was average. I can’t find any flotation testwork done on CDL specifically, but the DMS testwork gave 55% recoveries for 5.6mm size and 66% for 3.35mm size. But here's the issue, the head grade used in these tests was 2.37% Li2O. The average grade of the deposit is 1.58% Li2O … What happens if you plug in the average grade of the deposit? So that rules out it being purely a DMS deposit and flotation will be required. Here’s some info from an old post on DMS and flotation from an older post of mine: x.com/sparkes_dwayne… So they’ll need to float it which means higher CAPEX and OPEX. There is some flotation test work done on the pegmatite to the south so I’ll use that as a bit of a guide (It’s a rough guide as metallurgy can change rapidly over 50 meters let alone kms). It came in at 81.5%. Lab work always comes in higher. Every single time. Also it's important to note that this test work was done on a higher grade pegmatite than CDL. One example which is comparable from a testwork and grade point of view is Kathleen Valley. Manono south's testwork for flotation comes in at almost identical to how Kathleen valley’s (whole of ore flotation not DMS + flotation) did. 81.5% vs 81%. Liontown’s recovery is now at ~63% for SC5.2, 18% less than what the test work gave and not for SC6 as their test work suggested. Just an example how lab tests don't equal what actually happens in practice. Summary: So in my opinion, Manono North will be somewhat similar to another Kathleen valley or Wodgina coming online. It's grade is somewhat above average @ 1.58% and I'd say its metallurgy is average. Yes it's large, but above 90-100Mt, this becomes less important. So overall a good deposit, but it's no Greenbushes and i don't believe it will spit out the tonnes as what many are suggesting. In order to get those tonnes you're going to need an extremely large capex and i don't think Zijin will invest that much given the nature as to how they got the deposit and also the jurisdiction (unstable). Those are my thoughts on the Manono North Deposit. Cheers for reading.
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DerGeist
DerGeist@Sanegeist·
PS: “utter bullshit” $AVZ
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DerGeist
DerGeist@Sanegeist·
$AVZ Four years ago, I told the truth: The project was experiencing Jungle Fever in the Congo, Nigel wanted you to stay “… for the ride.” Why me? I understood from the 2018 BNB lies and deception campaign someone had a taste for “utter bullshit” to keep the scrum running 🏉
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DerGeist
DerGeist@Sanegeist·
Important detail missing from strict legal argument, early 2022 $AVZ Int. was negotiating w/ Dathomir lawyers for settlement on Dathomir Dathcom % docs for this proposal existed by MAR ‘22 @asicmedia @ASX NB: Huayou cobalt owned Dathomir since AUG ‘23 x.com/masdragus/stat…
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DerGeist
DerGeist@Sanegeist·
$AVZ #BNBT Without basis $AVZ Langford posts #BNBT will rise to Nr. 4 - ranking by sales GwH Sales rank basis was never the norm but only for CATL IPO according to China’s GGII the statistical source for this tabulation. BNB @ 4% was only a China minor player👇compare to CATL
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Michael Langford@ML_SuperNinja

> Top 10 #Battery Companies Globally: Document from $CATL #IPO. In 2018 Beijing National Battery Co. adds 6GWH global battery sales & jumps LG 2 #4. Massive expansion in battery production ongoing to 2020 = #lithium critical. $AVZ #SaudiArabiaofLithium note.youdao.com/share/index.ht…

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DerGeist
DerGeist@Sanegeist·
$AVZ #BNBT Langford addresses CATL IPO “list of critical suppliers”. - doesnt tell us CATL just released on March 12 it’s 2nd IPO prospectus - doesn’t tell us CATL head Robin Zheng, invested in Tantalex Manono in February 2018. AVZ shareholders can’t see $AVZ’s failure emerging
Michael Langford@ML_SuperNinja

> $CATL Critical Suppliers: Interesting to note in CATL's IPO list of critical suppliers, does not include any #lithium provider. Critical issue for CATL is supply security & price certainty. Their preference is hardrock. $AVZ the #SaudiArabiaofLithium note.youdao.com/share/index.ht…

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DerGeist
DerGeist@Sanegeist·
$AVZ #BNBT Langford AVZ’s China Strategic Advisor continues to redirect away from content of @AvzMinerals MOU on State Power as SPIC in@ASX announcement @asicmedia by constructing a forward looking scenario involving BNB as a purported JV partner with BTR.
Michael Langford@ML_SuperNinja

> Beijing National Battery Technology $BNBT: 2 groups larger now, $CATL & $BYD. BNBT larger than #Gangeng / #Optimumnano, etc. JV with BTR puts the group in a very dominant position relative to other industry players. This puts other holders on notice. mp.weixin.qq.com/s/8FuwRlR7AkAo…

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DerGeist
DerGeist@Sanegeist·
🧵 #BNBT $AVZ Dear @asicmedia @ASX On this day, @AvzMinerals w/ no Acc ‘tolerated’ its China Strategic Advisor Airguide Michael Langford promotion of his insider perspective on AVZ Manono. While AVZ was still in a trading pause Langford tweets👇 x.com/ML_SuperNinja/…
DerGeist@Sanegeist

🧵🧵Langford doesn’t address any of the claims that BNB is a subsidiary of State Power Group w/ eng.SPIC.com.cn both of which were / are fraudulent claims lists #BNBT “player #5” a ref. to his cryptic tweets on industry % in $AVZ #Manono And asks Emil Jens to pump👇

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DerGeist
DerGeist@Sanegeist·
🧵🧵Langford doesn’t address any of the claims that BNB is a subsidiary of State Power Group w/ eng.SPIC.com.cn both of which were / are fraudulent claims lists #BNBT “player #5” a ref. to his cryptic tweets on industry % in $AVZ #Manono And asks Emil Jens to pump👇
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DerGeist
DerGeist@Sanegeist·
But is it for director misconduct? $AVZ “ This does not include such liabilities that arise from conduct involving a wilful breach of duty by the officers or the improper use by the officers of their position or of information[...]” x.com/emil_jens/stat…
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DerGeist@Sanegeist·
@IntBystand @AlboMP The video audio streaming is failing and video in expanded view shows “no item “
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Interested Bystander 🇵🇸
Interested Bystander 🇵🇸@IntBystand·
The only real journalist in Australia who’s prepared to call out the appalling bullshit @AlboMP has said in our name, effectively condoning the blatantly illegal, disgraceful US-Israel slaughter of yet more civilians, this time in #Iran #auspol
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