Premonition

4.4K posts

Premonition

Premonition

@SepticTank53

As annoying as he might've been, Clippy never wanted your data.

Katılım Haziran 2013
25 Takip Edilen36 Takipçiler
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
Married women in the workforce was at 25% in 1945, at 58% in 1990, and is at 75.8% today. Woman in the workforce in general went from 25% in 1945 to nearly 60% today. Wages, labor, works on supply and demand too. It's one of, if not the, biggest impacts on income in the last century. Progressives and feminists did that. In fact, progressives and feminists, the left, has consistently pushed women towards independence. This isn't a political statement against women's rights, it's a simple fact of where pros and cons lie. Culture is now so much more acceptable of women in the workforce that wages shifted to match the supply and demand of that new economical reality, and a worldview on top "I don't need no man" will obviously impact marriage rates. You can blab all you want "republicans do this" but if you can't name a policy or cultural shift that directly relates then you're just posting to get seals clapping, not making any substantive point.
English
0
0
0
33
The Green Dragon Tavern
The Green Dragon Tavern@greendragonhq·
Almost everything wrong with our country can be drawn back directly to a Republican President. Recessions, inflation, home ownership declines, insurance premiums, high interest rates, broken banking systems, low GDP growth, declining employment… Literally almost everything.
The Green Dragon Tavern tweet media
English
184
433
954
15.6K
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
@ChrisCuomo Don't have vs significant presence. We have them. They aren't significant. Our significant issue is communists and other America-hating leftists.
English
0
0
0
1
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
California has the best GDP of any state. It also has the worst cost of living and the highest homeless population. The term "economy" can blur a lot of lines and as such a poll that uses the term is a pretty worthless poll. Many people would interpret it differently. I would never live in a Democrat state, nor vote for a Democrat in modern day. Also.. if polls were accurate we'd hire our representatives through them. They aren't, they at best ballpark things. Having a terrible question put to a poll is useless data.
English
0
0
1
34
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
Changing the metric. The video is counting encounters, not apprehensions. Using apprehensions to reframe the data as false is a blatant lie, or just ignorance of definitions. Between 2021 and 2024 there were 10.8 million encounters. The exact timing window of this unknown, I can't find this 14.7 million figure, but it's likely accurate or close, not "half" as you frame it to be. If you want to yell at the congressmen for misleading with a graphic that shows all those numbers actually flying *inside* the US, go ahead. That's truth, encounters don't all get inside. Still, encounters also don't include known gotaways, and obviously the unknown gotaways either, so the amount getting in is still significant. What you can't sell to anybody who actually cares about reality is that Biden was actually holding a secure border. That doesn't hold up under scrutiny of any kind.
English
0
0
0
111
Aaron Reichlin-Melnick
Aaron Reichlin-Melnick@ReichlinMelnick·
This data is FALSE. - From 2020 to 2024, Border Patrol recorded 7.7 million apprehensions of illegal entrants; not 14.7 million. - Over 3.7 million of those led to a quick deportation/expulsion. Others were deported after. - Many apprehension were the same person caught 2+ times
Congressman Randy Fine@RepFine

Foreign invaders are conquering us. America has refused to fight back. Until now. The invaders must all be deported. Every single one. By any means necessary.

English
15
111
411
18.5K
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
@jmontforttx You see a post showing 9 states with significant republican population getting ZERO representation, and your retort is one state gives a significant democrat population an insufficient (but not zero) amount of representation?
English
0
0
0
27
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
What has validity to me is how Georgia's audits went. They enacted REAL ID compliance and database crosschecking in 2012. An audit found 20 noncitizens registered prior to 2012, 9 of which voted. They were found only through jury duty questionnaire, random selection process, where they admitted to being noncitizens on those questionnaires. After 2012, cross-referencing registrations with the database they started building that actually tells immigration status, they blocked more than 1600 noncitizens from registering. That's the difference between having a proper detection mechanism and not having one. Sanctuary states, of which Georgia isn't one, that attract illegals and host nearly half of all noncitizens in our country, do not have such detection mechanisms. Every single one of them has automatic voter registration, changing the system from opt-in to opt-out. They don't cross-reference against databases to confirm anything more than identity. 9 actually voted in Georgia. If that were the average across states, there would be 450 illegal votes. All 9 of those voted prior to 2012, over a decade and a half ago, and sanctuary states have worse detection mechanisms than pre-2012 Georgia. There's likely 1000's of votes in the past several decades, and that's more the floor than the ceiling of possibility. We can't know, not without some crazy bill that will do something like.. I donno.. require citizenship verification for getting on the register and strong photo ID at the polls? Something like that.. something act that will SAVE America.
English
0
0
0
23
Brenda Weese 🇺🇲🇺🇦🥥🌴
@micyoung75 Why not also share the Heritage Foundation's voter fraud statistics over ~20 years that also demonstrates close to nil voter fraud in that period? That has more validity with MAGA, IMO, than other stats.
English
1
0
1
41
Mike Young
Mike Young@micyoung75·
The Vice President is rallying at a Turning Point USA event, in a clip shared by Elon Musk's America PAC, to pressure senators into passing a bill to solve a problem that has been measured and found to be 77 cases. That is not a rhetorical point. That is the Bipartisan Policy Center's documented count: 77 confirmed instances of noncitizen voting across 24 years nationwide. Utah spent nine months reviewing its entire voter roll - more than 2 million registered voters - and found one confirmed noncitizen registration and zero noncitizen votes. Zero. The USCIS citizenship verification program that states have been using since 2025 flags 0.04 percent of cases as potential noncitizens. The SAVE Act's remedy for that 0.04 percent rate: require in-person documentary proof of citizenship for every American who registers or updates their registration. For 146 million Americans who do not own a valid passport, that means a certified birth certificate - which many people do not have ready access to, and which does not help voters who have legally changed their name. REAL ID does not qualify in 45 states. Online and mail-in registration effectively end. Election officials who register an eligible American citizen but fail to collect the required paperwork face up to five years in federal prison. Senator Mike Lee publicly connected the bill's passage to Republican midterm prospects. That is not an opponent's interpretation. He said it. The answer to 77 cases in 24 years is not a system that puts five-year criminal exposure on a county clerk in Hamilton County for a paperwork gap.
America@america

VP Vance says to keep pressure on Senators to support the SAVE America Act: “The answer to frustration is engagement. Don't give up on this process—get more involved in this process and demand more from people like me. That’s how we take our country back”

English
1
6
41
1.4K
Rep. Pramila Jayapal
Rep. Pramila Jayapal@RepJayapal·
As one of the few naturalized citizens to serve in Congress, it is difficult to constantly listen to the anti-immigrant rhetoric coming from Republicans. The reality is that immigrants contribute so much to our communities. I'm grateful to everyone who understands that.
English
1.6K
492
2.2K
100.1K
JimmyButtz
JimmyButtz@JimmytheButt202·
@SepticTank53 @Kylestevie1 @JamesSurowiecki Why would I respond to a bunch of generic assertions that boil down to "would have money if no taxes." It's a stupid assertion that ignores what services are being provided and why.
English
2
0
0
20
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
This "do you have a job" deflection isn't what you think it is. It makes you look dumb, especially when your retort is a product of reading comprehension issues. I made it clear you don't collect medicare. Feel free to expand on the "why" people are poor, rather than just one-liner "nuh-uh" responses. Educate us, o-wise one.
Premonition tweet media
English
1
0
0
15
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
@Kylestevie1 gets it slightly wrong. SS is 6.2% from you, 6.2% from your employer. The employer doesn't calculate how much they pay you, they calculate how much you cost them. So, in other words, 6.2% is taken from your paycheck by the government, and 6.2% is taken from your paycheck by your employer because they just lower your pay to accommodate that. If you make $50,000 a year before any taxes, Social Security alone is stealing from you $6,200. Ignoring state specific taxes, a person making $50,000 is paying $11,460 in taxes (federal + medicare + SS). Removing SS alone is reducing your tax burden by more than half. Another $1145 from medicare, and you're making an extra $600+ every month. However, this is all ignorant of state taxes, sales tax, property tax, etc. People would more accurately shave 25% of their tax burden, and as income rises and it becomes a smaller share of the federal and state tax (brackets), those people benefit better from the flat taxes on gas and such.. so it should overall still be a fine enough example. The point Kyle is making tho is that he probably doesn't actually use medicare, so *his cost* is the SS retirement savings. And he's smart. The reason people are poor is because they pay for things they don't immediately benefit from. Without SS, Medicare, health insurance, and all the other bills you don't benefit from monthly (or decade-ly), you would have the money to fix your car when it breaks down and money for food. You'd invest for your own retirement, likely way better than daddy government is. The problems these social safety nets solve is problems they created. The problem before was human choice, and many irresponsible people made bad choices. That should be a problem of culture and schooling, not for safety nets to solve.
English
1
0
0
12
JimmyButtz
JimmyButtz@JimmytheButt202·
@Kylestevie1 @JamesSurowiecki Yeah, none of the entitlements would allow you to decrease your tax burden by 4.5x if eliminated. Do you have a job?
English
2
0
1
30
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
That isn't an argument to the post you're responding to. It's basically saying "if Kamala was better than she actually would've been..." If there's anything Republicans wanted that they are getting from Trump that Kamala showed she wouldn't deliver on, it's a secure border and deportations. She also ran on free money (1st time house purchase), which no republican supports.
English
0
0
0
50
CarNP16
CarNP16@cnnp16·
@OGgingerdeluxe Oh please… if Kamala would’ve done everything Trump has done to this point, play for play, Republicans would’ve wanted her out of office asap. Such hypocrisy I swear… 🤦‍♂️
English
1
0
1
232
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
@cturnbull1968 Even under a generous analysis that would lead to agreeing with such a statement, he's still way better than Kamala would've been.
English
0
0
0
2
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
I support legal immigration. That said, legal immigration in no way "improves" our security. There's no metric that leads to that as a generalization. Unless we bring immigrants into actual security positions, that would technically be accurate, but 99% of immigration (or 100%) is not that. To suggest such a thing is a sign of ideology, not science. Legal immigration needs to be turned off for a while. We have to deal with the problems caused by the Biden open border. It wasn't but days ago that someone got killed by an illegal let in by Biden. Regain control over our illegal population, then we can talk about opening back up legal immigration systems.
English
0
0
0
19
Cato Institute
Cato Institute@CatoInstitute·
President Trump reposted Cato’s immigration research. In this piece, our Director of Immigration Studies @David_J_Bier breaks down what the data actually show. “We do publish the facts, regardless of what they show, because that’s what intellectual honesty requires,” says Bier. ow.ly/NTqm50YK0qx
Cato Institute tweet media
English
21
29
60
4.2K
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
An absurdity that upon fixing would likely kill the democrat party. That SCOTUS ruling that made attestation the ceiling of what the states could take as proof of citizenship was 2013. In less than a couple years after that ruling, Oregon passed the first automatic voter registration law, making being added to the register opt-out instead of opt-in. Every single DOJ-listed sanctuary state passed automatic voter registration over the course of years since, most jumping immediately to doing it. 10 of the 13 had it enacted before the "most secure election in history". Additionally, sanctuary states was once sensible - they wanted illegals to not be afraid to report crimes or engage in some of their programs so the sanctuary status effectively existed for that purpose (there's more history departed from that, but that's the original reason to do it for illegals). California started it's own wave of a specific shift in October 2017 with it's "California's Values Act," where they officially stopped honoring ICE detainer requests unless they had a judicial warrant explicitly. Effectively, they would protect known criminals from that point. Most sanctuary states have taken on that hardline stance. I have no doubts in my mind they are cheating elections. Not "illegals are voting", but that there is systemic use of the available names on their registers to vote democrat.
English
0
0
0
13
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
45% of the nations homeless is in California and New York. The Billions spent in California for the homeless doesn't even stop it from rising. The only way it falls is when they die. Meanwhile.. the way the federal poverty rate is measured is in a flat income value compared to family size. It doesn't take into account things like cost of living.👇
Premonition tweet media
English
0
0
0
19
RealPatriotsAskQuestions
RealPatriotsAskQuestions@RightToQuery·
@greendragonhq And to be clear, most of the money those states receive goes toward public assistance programs. Five of the ten states listed are also those with the highest poverty rates: 🔴 Louisiana 🔴 Mississippi 🔵New Mexico 🔴West Virginia 🔴Kentucky So, yeah… be quiet, MAGA.
English
3
0
2
110
The Green Dragon Tavern
The Green Dragon Tavern@greendragonhq·
MAGA should be quiet every year on April 15th. They should just bow down to Democrats who fund their state. Without us, most red states would be vast uninhabitable wastelands! Look at the states that receive the most money back per $1 paid to the federal government: 🔴 Kentucky — $3.45 🔴 West Virginia — $2.74 🔴 Alaska — $2.52 🔴 Mississippi — $2.52 🔴 Louisiana — $2.39 🔴 South Carolina — $2.37 🔴 Arizona — $2.30 🔴 Indiana — $2.29 🔵 New Mexico — $2.23 🔴 Montana — $2.20
The Green Dragon Tavern tweet media
English
20
28
80
2.2K
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
@SaraForTexLege There's 3 black people she's calling innocent souls, right there in the image. The racism card doesn't work here. Also.. where ever has a republican supported murder by legal citizens? Does the democrat party know how stupid it sounds every time it tries this racism narrative?
English
0
0
0
27
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
Unhire this corrupt politician. He's either that or an idiot, either justifying his position being replaced. Georgia has 9 of those 77. Their audits revealed that prior to 2012 "only 20 noncitizens were on the register" and 9 of them voted. In 2012 they became REAL ID compliant and started testing registration attempts against a database, actually verifying known noncitizens by the documents used to get a license. The effect? Over 1600 noncitizens *blocked* from being added to the register. It didn't become a popular hobby for the following decade for noncitizens to register. What changed is having a detection mechanism. Those 20 they discovered prior to 2012 were only discovered because they answered "no" to the citizen question on jury duty questionnaires. Random selection and a different form found them. Happenstance found them. Detection mechanisms in sanctuary states are *worse* than pre-2012 Georgia. They have automatic voter registration, changing an opt-in system to an opt-out system, putting the effort on illegals whose English fluency is likely lacking to opting out of being on the register. These states do no audits looking for noncitizens. They at best verify identity, "are you real", not immigration status. Most of these states don't have voter ID.. how do you know if Jose Garcia is an American or not? This damn "illegals aren't voting" propaganda needs to end. We don't have the detection mechanisms in MOST states to even say that. To even say "Democrats are cheating" is speculation, grounded in a very obvious pattern of destroying any security measures around our elections they can, beyond plausible but until we actually have citizenship verification on the voter registers and proper audits we won't know. And do I believe illegals are actively going to vote? Georgias audit revealed a small selection at 45% register -> actually voting, but I doubt it's actually them making the choice. I wholeheartedly believe that democrats are using the names. Election challenge audits, at worse, compare the names on the ballots to the register. That's why they need names.. security against election fraud claims. I don't know how many states will flip red when we remove illegals and noncitizens from voting in elections, but I question if even California could flip as a result. I would not doubt the fraud is that extensive. Vote the damn bill through.
English
0
0
0
6
Senate Judiciary Democrats 🇺🇸
Sen. DURBIN: In a 20 year period of time, think about all the possibilities of voter fraud. How many do you think? 7 million? No. 700,000? No. 70,000? No. 700? No. It’s 77 people in 20 years.
English
2.8K
4.1K
11.3K
263.1K
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
I see now, and you're right. Gary makes a bad argument, but he's still on the right side of things imo. The problem with college ID is that they aren't unified on any standard. The data on them and the anti-counterfeit technology in the card will be different from other colleges, if there's any. There's no state level regulation on college ID's to ensure anything, and I would be opposed to such regulation anyways, business freedoms. One ID might have photo, another not, and that matters to what I would consider photo as a necessity anyway (can't simply steal someones ID to take their vote). Some states handle it partially by setting minimum requirements on the card itself, and colleges might adhere or not, but then you get this ever-expanding complexity that touches both the voter and the poll worker directly. The voter needs to know the specifics so that they know if their ID is valid, and the poll worker needs to know the same. The more ID verification methods, the more security vulnerabilities that can exist. If everything is concentrated into one system, government issued ID, all those security vulnerabilities are handled by the interest group of keeping those vulnerabilities in check. If a college that once was valid but no longer is because they changed there methods (supply chain issues can happen), the government doesn't know that immediately unless they set up additional infrastructure to capture those changes, which might be put on the college itself, expanding the chain of error points further. Complexity, complexity, complexity. KISS. Let the security concerns be controlled at a single point instead of distributing it across multiple parties. Government issued ID with photo, nothing more, and then the government can ensure across all ID variations that they have sufficient anti-counterfeit measures in place, poll workers don't have to bother with a potentially growing list of acceptable ID's with varying visual distinctions, and the voter knows exactly what is valid and what isn't.
English
0
0
0
18
Caitlin Coakley
Caitlin Coakley@CommuniCaitVA·
@SepticTank53 @GTeaman @notcapnamerica The topic at hand is why a college student ID is insufficient to vote. The person I responded to claimed it was because a college ID doesn't prove citizenship. I was pointing out that the purpose of showing ID at the polls wasn't to prove citizenship, just identity.
English
1
0
1
23
Premonition
Premonition@SepticTank53·
Nah, doesn't trigger me at all. I see the two states with the largest homeless population. I also just don't look at revenue generation so much as I do quality of life. Who cares about much play money your state is sending to the government when your population is struggling to make ends meet?
Premonition tweet mediaPremonition tweet media
English
0
0
0
134
Jamison Daniel
Jamison Daniel@AntiquarianMuse·
How to trigger a maga in one picture.
Jamison Daniel tweet media
English
568
1.4K
7.7K
99.8K