Sergey

@Dan_Jeffries1 Every historical example created new layers that required human cognition because humans were the only available solution. Sooner or later AI will be capable of performing cognitive tasks and learning new ones at a human level and when that happens, these examples no longer hold

AI will create more jobs than any other technology in history. The doomers' fundamental error isn't just the lump of labor fallacy. It's deeper than that. They assume a finite problem space. This is the fundamental error of AI and job doomers. They look at the economy and see a fixed amount of work to be done, a pie that can only be sliced thinner as machines take bigger bites. They see humans a competitive resource for a finite amount of work and a finite amount of problems to solve that must be eliminated. This is fundamentally, totally and completely wrong. The pie isn't fixed. It never was. And the reason it isn't fixed is baked into the very nature of technology itself. Technology is nothing but abstraction stacking. And abstraction stacking is infinite. Therefore the work is infinite. The hammer didn't reduce the amount of work. It moved the work up the stack. And the new work was more complex, more varied, and more interesting than the old work. Complexity breeds more complexity and more variety. Once you have houses instead of mud huts, you have a cascade of new problems that didn't exist before. Plumbing. Wiring. Insulation. Roofing materials that don't rot. Drainage systems so the foundation doesn't flood. Fire codes so your neighbor's bad wiring doesn't burn down the whole block. Each of those problems becomes a job. A plumber. An electrician. An insulator. A roofer. A civil engineer. A building inspector. None of those jobs existed when we lived in mud huts. They exist because we solved the mud hut problem. Think of all of human technological development as a stack of abstraction layers, each one built on top of the ones below it. At the bottom: raw survival. Finding food. Building shelter. Making fire. These are the base-layer problems. Each major technology wave solved a base-layer problem and in doing so created an entirely new layer of problems above it: Agriculture solved "how do we reliably eat?" — and created problems of land ownership, irrigation, crop rotation, storage, trade, taxation, and governance. Writing solved "how do we remember things across generations?" — and created problems of literacy, education, record-keeping, law, bureaucracy, and literature. The printing press solved "how do we spread knowledge at scale?" — and created problems of intellectual property, censorship, journalism, publishing, public opinion, and democratic discourse. The steam engine solved "how do we generate mechanical power without muscles?" — and created problems of factory design, worker safety, urban planning, railroad engineering, coal mining, labor relations, and environmental pollution. Electricity solved "how do we deliver energy anywhere?" — and created problems of grid design, power generation, appliance manufacturing, electrical safety codes, utility regulation, and an entire consumer electronics industry. The Internet solved "how do we connect all human knowledge?" — and created problems of cybersecurity, digital privacy, online commerce, content moderation, network infrastructure, cloud computing, social media dynamics, and an entire digital economy that employs tens of millions. Notice the pattern? Each solution didn't just solve a problem. It created an entirely new problem space that was larger, more complex, and more varied than the one it replaced. The stack grows. It never shrinks. It's turtles all the way down and all the way up.

Кутаева отстранили!

@roman_yuneman Это ты?

Они будто решили обнулить все достижения последних лет. Прицельно уничтожается всё то, что у страны хорошо получалось, где Россия вышла вперёд. Онлайн-сервисы и IT-индустрия в целом.

@sama king of vagueposting

@SobolLubov Вот он же x.com/i/status/20488…

В фейсбуке не присутствую, эфир Плющева пока не смотрела, и если честно, еще не вылезла из повестки встреч и переписок с европейскими политиками. Но если все передано верно (а не думаю, что Ренат Давлетгильдеев мог что-то переврать), заявления чудовищны. Не разделяю позиции Кутаева от слова совсем.

@DaveShapi Why did you ask the Youtube audience about it?

@sama cos 5.5 isn't AGI

"post-AGI, no one is going to work and the economy is going to collapse" "i am switching to polyphasic sleep because GPT-5.5 in codex is so good that i can't afford to be sleeping for such long stretches and miss out on working"

@APompliano BS

I have changed my mind on how AI will impact jobs in America. Previously, I believed AI would replace many entry level roles typically filled by young employees. The technology would then work its way up the organization and eventually reduce the total number of jobs in a company. The data is saying something different, so when I get new information I am willing to change my mind. The number of software engineers being hired has been increasing. The number of open software engineer roles is growing. The number of new college grads who get hired has increased 5.6% over the last 12 months. The unemployment level for people aged 20-24 years old who have a college degree has fallen from nearly 9% to almost 5% as well. The Wall Street Journal recently wrote “AI created 640,000 jobs between 2023 and 2025 in the U.S., according to an analysis by LinkedIn of job posting data, including new white-collar positions such as Head of AI and AI engineer.” And I am starting to see companies throughout our portfolio aggressively hiring to keep up with the demand for their products and services. If AI can make employees more productive, which is widely accepted as fact, then companies are going to want as many productive units of labor as possible. This is a key reason why I am changing my mind. AI appears to be a magical technology that will make companies more productive and more profitable. The net result will be more corporations, more startups, and more jobs. All three are big, positive wins for the American economy.

@Dan_Jeffries1 This only make sense until we reach AGI

It's always easy to see jobs that will go away but hard to see the jobs that will get created. Try explaining "web developer" to an 18th century farmer. You can't do it because he's got to envision a chain of inventions like electricity, wires, computers, the internet and more. Stop listening to wise fools like Hinton. AI will do what technology always does, create a wild variety of new jobs and possibilities and opportunities.

@ylecun @rohanpaul_ai How can you study the effects of a revolution that hasn't happened yet and why assume AI will simply follow the same pattern as previous ones?

I love Geoff. But he understands even less than Dario about the effects of technological revolutions on the labor market. Again, don't listen to AI scientists, as brilliant as they might be, and even less to AI CEOs, as successful as they might be, for questions of labor economics. Listen to reputable economists who have studied these things like @Ph_Aghion , @DAcemogluMIT , @erikbryn , @amcafee , @davidautor , etc.

Geoffrey Hinton on AI's job loss: History’s tech revolutions replaced one job with another. e.g. Tractors replaced farm jobs with factories & office jobs. But AI will break that cycle, because AI can replace both physical+intellectual labor.

@haider1 🤡

elon drops another big prediction: "grok 5 is likely going to be AGI" not sure about the AGI part, but i guess it will be: > 6-10t parameters with higher intelligence density > native multimodality (text/video/audio) > dynamic real-time learning and keep in mind, grok 5 will be trained on colossus 2, the world's largest AI supercluster

@DaveShapi Sooner or later, AI will be able to do white collar work, and it’ll pick up any new cognitive job faster and better than humans. So whatever "new" roles show up in the future, AI is more likely to take them than retrained people

This is funny because some of those economists warn about exactly this pattern. Namely that "reinstatement (of new jobs) is not guaranteed or likely to outpace the race of job destruction" If Yann himself had read what those economists said, he wouldn't be saying this.

@tvrain Все эти: "Вадим Вадимыч вас обманывают, вам не говорят правды" - заслуживают то что с ними происходит.

Предприниматели бьют тревогу из-за невозможности вести бизнес в России

@Sota_Vision Знал бы путин...🤡

«Народ вас боится, блогеры, артисты, губернаторы вас боятся. Вы многого не знаете» — звезда «Дома-2» Виктория Боня обратилась к Путину Бывшая участница «Дома-2» и блогер Виктория Боня записала в своем Instagram (почти 13 млн подписчиков) 19-минутное видеообращение к Владимиру Путину от имени «всех неравнодушных россиян». На видео Боня подчеркивает, что остается патриоткой России, любит свою страну, но хочет, чтобы власть услышала голос народа. «Владимир Владимирович, вас боятся. Народ вас боится, блогеры вас боятся, артисты боятся, губернаторы вас боятся. А вы президент нашей страны. Мне кажется, что президента должны любить, а не бояться. <...> Вы многого не знаете, потому что губернаторы и подчиненные боятся вам ее сказать», — говорит она. Блогер указывает на ряд проблем, среди которых: резкий рост цен на продукты и товары первой необходимости, проблемы с забоем скота в Сибири, блокировка интернета и мессенджеров, а также общие социальные трудности, с которыми сталкиваются россияне. «Люди сейчас кричат вовсю. У них отобрали последнее и продолжают отбирать. Бизнес умирает. <...> Мы дожили до окончательного безумия. Вам это ни один губернатор не скажет, потому что вас боятся», — объясняет блогер. За несколько часов видео набрало больше 7 млн просмотров, собрало десятки тысяч лайков и восторженных комментариев. Люди в основном благодарят Боню за честность и смелость. Видео: victoriabonya / Instagram

@konstructivizm PoE skill tree

A visualization of planetary systems discovered by the Kepler telescope in our Milky Way galaxy.

@Reazione_Nova Ты можешь говорить всё что хочешь, ты же в Италии, а не в России

Posso dire che la Russia di Putin è mille volte più libera dell'Europa sotto l'Unione Europea?

@rucriminalinfo Это не он в матрице снимался?

Полностью подтвердилась информация ВЧК-ОГПУ о том, что губернатор Кубани Вениамин Кондратьев, после обыска в его поместье в «тосканском стиле» за 1 млрд рублей, помчался в Москву, чтобы решать проблему. Собственно, для посадки главы региона нужно политическое решение в Кремле. А его, видимо, не будет. Так как сегодня госСМИ опубликовали кадры встречи Кондратьева с Путиным. Такие коррупционеры, как Кондратьев, крайне востребованы и должны и дальше «служить стране». Напомним, при обыске в «помещение сейфового типа» в основной вилле, были обнаружены 7 миллионов евро, 4 миллиона долларов США и 31 миллион рублей. И это явно то, что не жалко было оставить. Ночью перед обыском местные жители видели, как из поместья что-то спешно вывозили на микроавтобусе с охраной.

@tszzl Where should I send my bank details?

everybody, welcome to the permanent upper class. enjoy your universal high income

@victoriaslog 0:14-0:17 AI generated voice

The Russian government has made police stop people and check their phones to see if they’ve got any banned apps installed, including VPNs. Russians are shocked that they apparently have zero privacy, filming it all so they can complain later… to whom exactly? The same state doing it? Or maybe Putin directly 😂 📍Rostov region, Russia