Shale Analytics

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Natural gas prices closed the week mixed, ranging from $2.91 to $3.06, influenced by EIA drawdown, geopolitical events, and weather patterns. The market is expected to remain range-bound between $2.85 and $3.20. #natgas

@Ronh999 feels the way it looks. warm / cold / warm/ cold

NWS pwCDD & gwHDD daily forecast for next 7 days Mar 28 to Apr 03 are shown in green. #Natgas cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analy… public.tableau.com/profile/ron.h8…

@HatezJason @DemocraticWins @mmpadellan I have a flight next week, checked the wait times earlier today and they where like 5-15 mins.

@DemocraticWins @mmpadellan Hate to say it but the lines are not long at all. Newark airport today. Terminal B. 15 minutes. Regular line.

BREAKING: In a stunning moment, Republican Randy Fine just exposed Republican Senate Leader John Thune for getting an escort to skip through lines at the airport. Thune and Fine are both responsible for TSA not being funded and the rest of America having long security lines. Wow.

@rblwhite We're getting a cold snap tomorrow but the market is not freely falling despite the warm shoulder season setup and diplomatic "pause" headlines because physical molecules are winning the argument over narratives.

GM Gas Traders☕️ Warm in the East, but not enough yet for a significant increase in gas burn, for power. No weather support for prices #natgas

Nat gas spiked ~4% to ~$3.05 today on bullish EIA storage draw (-54 Bcf, beat consensus, surplus nearly gone) + verified physical LNG shocks (Qatar Trains 4+6 offline 3-5yrs ~17%; Australia Cyclone Narelle outages at Gorgon/Wheatstone ~5-8% global). ~25% global LNG capacity limited creates durable floor via record US feedgas (~19 Bcf/d). #natgas

@BabyGotGas The natural gas market has been range bound between $2.80 and $3.25, with bullish and bearish forces canceling each other out. Sitting at the lower end of the range with rsi closer to oversold.

#natgas #strikes #opex $2.50 or $3.00 that is the question.... #feelslikethreedollars

Natural gas futures rose 1.6% to 2.96 after the EIA reported a 54 Bcf drawdown, exceeding the 46 Bcf consensus. The market sentiment is slightly bullish, with a 59.4% chance of price increase tomorrow due to technical indicators, weather, and geopolitical factors. #natgas

@bluegoldr Took 10 surveys and the avg is -46.6. A print of -42 to -50 is in line.

EIA #NATGAS REPORT • My projection for today's EIA report is below the market consensus – meaning that I expect a larger draw relative to the market expectations – which implies a possibility for a “bullish surprise”. However, any surprise is possible. • Reuters survey: -44 bcf • Bluegold Trader: -46 bcf (South Central: -1 bcf) • LSEG: -39 bcf • Gelber & Associates: -55 bcf • Ritterbusch Associates: -52 bcf • DTN: -44 bcf • NGI: -43 bcf

@GDXTrader COT has been bearish for a while. US natural gas markets remain loose while global ex-US markets face acute tightness from LNG supply losses. Better to stay neutral and look for an edge.

@ShaleAnalytics I thought that for Nat Gas 2 weeks ago, but price is a true reflection of peoples true views, and action, and its been bearish since end of Jan here.

$WTI $WTI gave us a bearish engulfing candle on Monday, but without confirmation follow through. $WTI is pausing rather than immediate continuation. Yesterday’s inside range spinning top at the lows reflects that slowdown, selling pressure has stalled, but there’s also been no meaningful buyer response, which is not constructive for a reversal to the upside. Today’s doji forming within that same range adds to the compression and is beginning to shape a bearish pennant, highlighting a lack of bullish conviction and suggesting this is consolidation within a pullback rather than a bottoming process. Bullls are not stepping in with strength to negate Monday’s move, while sellers are holding their ground and allowing price to coil. With the MACD crossing below its signal line, momentum is starting to tilt bearish, and a break of this week’s candle lows would likely trigger further downside and a deeper retracement. At this stage, there’s no edge on the long side with weakening momentum. If you’re struggling to make profits trading $WTI or the names below, or still relying on guesswork instead of structure, that usually leads to repeated poor entries, late exits, and inconsistent results. Our daily $WTI video reviews use a simple price-action approach to clearly map support, resistance, entries, exits, and real signals so you can trade with more clarity, confidence, and a repeatable process instead of luck. Chat Room Free Trial on Discord: discord.com/invite/e4PEY2U… Join us at goldeneyeanalysis.com. #CL #CRUDE #CRUDEOIL #ENERGY $AR $BNO $BP $BRENT $CHK $COP $CVX #WTI $DBO $DRIP $ET $FENY $IEO $OIL $OILK $OIH $OXY $PBR $PR $RIG $RRC $SCO $SLB $SWN $UCO $UGA $USL $USO $USOIL $VDE $WTI $XOM.

@merlinscapital @ZmansEnrgyBrain Tehran continues to publicly reject ceasefire talks, negotiations, or any short-term pause. They want a bigger, more permanent settlement. Your headline dramatizes it for trading impact.

IRAN REJECTS 1 MONTH CEASEFIRE PROPOSAL

Natural Gas Market Update: Trump’s “Very Big Present” from Iran Sparks Fresh De-escalation Selloff Ahead of EIA. Oil and natural gas prices dropped sharply due to eased geopolitical fears following Trump’s statement on Iran. #natgas

The fragile geopolitical situation in the natural gas market is due to a temporary pause on Iranian energy strikes. The upcoming EIA storage report on Thursday could trigger a price increase and short squeeze if the bullish -43 Bcf withdrawal is realized. #natgas

@GasAlphaHQ Still waiting until Thursday to see if the system provides a confirmation long/short signal.

@ShaleAnalytics Agreed.

Trump's 5-day pause + ECMWF warmth shift + confirmed injection season are overwhelming the structural LNG premium. Downward bias to $2.78–$2.90 range likely if next EIA hits high end of consensus. #natgas

Natural Gas Trading System is currently flat due to the absence of a quantifiable technical setup, despite a multi-year supply shock. The system prioritizes technical indicators and volatility levels over macro factors, and is currently cautious with no strong directional bias. #natgas

Qatar’s multi-year LNG crisis creates a geopolitical premium, but near-term domestic fundamentals dominate the market. The market is expected to experience a downward bias with a firm LNG-supported floor until weather conditions change or geopolitical tensions escalate. #natgas

Analysts warn of high risks, including casualties and a wider war, as the LNG market remains tight due to the Strait of Hormuz situation and Qatar’s export cut. A critical support break to $3.06, a new daily low, and multi-timeframe SELL confirmation warns of a potential SHORT signal. #natgas