Sharcus Aurelius

@vandy_trades VIX can project volatility in both directions. So neither. It’s currently projecting that price will move significantly from this current consolidation.

$VIX up 10% $SPY currently down .30% Fairly muted move. Whos lying?

@DeepDishEnjoyer Peepee don’t forget to take fiber for your poopoo.

eating at wirtshaus keintzel in linz right now. first course is a cream of wild garlic soup. like ramps in the us, this is very seasonal. delicious!

So over the next 1-2 weeks, the markets will rally over this “calm” period, even though Israel/US will continue strategic strikes. Then, once the invasion occurs, the rug will be pulled. (4).

The US will put troops on the ground very intentionally, & this war will escalate, but it will take time for this to develop. Trump can say and blatantly lie in any way he chooses, and isn’t beholden to speaking truthfully about anything, under the guise of misdirecting Iran (3)

If I were to guess what will happen with Trump’s Iran deadline tonight, I’d wager he will extend it by 2 weeks. It seems the more boisterous he talks, the more likely the probability that he will TACO. (1)

@RealAlexJones @elonmusk The same Musk that abandoned DOGE and folded like a house of cards when the going got tough? You know he has a goal to sell 100 million Optimus Robots to hit his $1 trillion pay package? Do you think it’s a good idea that kind of money hanging over the top AG in the country?

Trump Should Appoint @elonmusk As The New Attorney General….

Thinking about this war, the escalation, and the potential for WW2 style rationing, I’m getting the same overwhelming anxiousness in my gut that I felt when Covid was starting. I can’t help but think (and feel) that we have some very painful days ahead. I hope I’m wrong.

@SunWeatherMan Would not having your (and your followers) focus being diluted by arguing about things like “looksmaxxing” or “world Jewry” be more or less productive in regards for preparing for the event you describe in this post?

@SharcusAurelius If you could see the things I’ve seen you wouldn’t try to stop me

EVERYONE IS COMING HOME BEFORE THE END Did you know that among the more than 100 professors and gov scientists I talk to regularly, they OVERWHELMINGLY represent you both in demographics and concern. What do my followers (as a group) have in common with the top NASA scientists and professors? First, you both peak in the male category between ages 35-55. This small segment makes up 51% and 55% of you and the “experts” in our house. Second, those of the group deep into prepping is male 50-70 at about 80% in both groups. Third, the biggest question is about how to get their kids on board with survival. Most either can’t imagine crossing the bridge or have tried and failed. So what do you do? My answer to both of you is the same… You cannot cram this down anyone’s throat… especially not family. You can only leave breadcrumbs and do your best to prepare for when the world makes it obvious. Huge numbers who did this in the past already had their kids come to them during one of the major auroras the last two years. That when you woke up? No worries, the show is just beginning, and when you leave interesting breadcrumbs like “what to watch for” the trap will not go untripped. It’s going to be very obvious. While most are in dismay, your children will remember that you knew this was coming. The sun and the earth will make sure everyone is coming home before the end.

@dolores_capital @tleilax___ Comparatively speaking the British were on the same level as the U.S. at their peak. They had the global reserve currency, as the Dutch before them. Who literally leads the world in exports?

@SharcusAurelius @tleilax___ but what's the alternative? we are going to have the american empire for a long long time. we are much bigger than the dutch and the british. and a lot of other natural advantages. ain't no way it's going to be china... communism is NOT exportable globally.

Trump is casually proposing one of the biggest strategic own-goals imaginable: NATO more or less done, and any country that wants Persian Gulf crude can go secure it for itself. That is a spectacularly reckless thing for an American president to say. It is a half-drunken invitation to roll the clock back toward the old colonial game, where every great power armed itself around resource access and shipping lanes. The whole reason the U.S.-led order worked is that Washington took the military question off the table for its allies. Europe and East Asia could think about trade, industry, growth, supply chains, and cheap energy. They did not need to wake up every morning thinking about convoy protection, choke points, naval escorts, forward bases, and who might try to cut their oil line. That was the deal, and for all its flaws it was an unbelievably powerful one. Put that burden back on every importing state and you do not get some elegant new realism. You get the old imperial logic creeping back in. The barrel is no longer just a barrel. It comes with freight risk, insurance risk, naval risk, basing risk, and eventually war risk. The whole achievement of the postwar order was that America suppressed a lot of that rivalry by sitting on top of the system and making the security decisions for the wider alliance. The Gulf is particularly ugly terrain for this kind of thinking. The infrastructure is concentrated, the sea lanes are narrow, and much of the population depends on fragile physical systems like desalination. Once states decide energy security is too important to leave to markets, they start looking at places like this in very hard terms. Somewhere in Paris, one of the old colonial ghosts is probably already unfolding a map of the Gulf and reminiscing about protectorates in embarrassingly enthusiastic detail. History is full of great powers making exactly this kind of mistake. The cleanest analogy is Germany after Bismarck. Bismarck built a diplomatic architecture that kept Germany secure and prevented hostile coalitions from forming. Kaiser Wilhelm II inherited that system, got impatient with its constraints, started freelancing, and slowly turned a position of strength into encirclement. He did not lose Germany in one move. He set in motion a process that made Germany less secure with every passing year. There is also an interwar British echo here. Britain remained enormously important, but it no longer wanted to fully bear the burden of policing the wider order it depended on. That did not produce a neat handoff. It produced opportunism, rearmament, and eventually a much nastier bill. And if you want the broadest analogy, it is the breakdown of the old European concert system: once the central restraining architecture weakens, states go back to fleets, blocs, balancing, and military planning around economic survival. What is so deranged about this is that it weakens the U.S. first. America’s edge was never just the size of the Navy. It was that nearly every major industrial power operated inside an American security architecture. Tear that up and over time you get fewer reliable bases, fewer aligned allies, larger independent militaries, more hedging against Washington, and much more room for China and every ambitious regional power. That is how dominant positions are squandered in history: not all at once, but by dismantling the very order that made you dominant in the first place.

@dolores_capital @tleilax___ Americans FEEL their quality of life exponentially decreasing with terrible education, a negligent medical system, failing infrastructure, lowering wages, and a the inability to afford basic necessities. This is the same as the British empire, and the Dutch before that.

@tleilax___ most americans can't read what you just wrote bro.

@DeepDishEnjoyer I read your Substack article, and I just wanted to say, for following you for 2 weeks, I’m proud of you peepeepoopoo. Keep chugging and traveling and living. That retirement article was good stuff.

buying CLU26 outright here (too tired to be out and about in Munich from jetlag)

@SunWeatherMan Check out “the great taking” as well. There is a “clearing house” fund that pools all US brokerage and financial assets together, worth over $100 trillion. In the event of a liquidity crises, the law states that creditors of that clearing house are entitled to your assets first.

As weird as this sounds, such laws have been on the books forever when it comes to property. For example: look up “adverse possession” It’s fucking wild.

@tleilax___ If you have read Ray Dalio, the downfall of empires usually is a result of very predictable cause and effect relationships, which are as cyclical and predestined as the tides, forged by eons of human nature, which traits we do not control. Also, was your post assisted by AI?

@DeepDishEnjoyer My apologies. Please bless me with your forgiveness peepeepoopoo… as the toilet bowl forgives you after knocking down a Chicago style “meat lovers” deep dish pizza

@SharcusAurelius your forgot that it's a full moon today retard

this isn't a fear. i get these idiots in my replies literally every day

@GrindLinePod You guys still licking Stevie’s jock strap over that Faulk-ing trade?

Absolutely embarrassing, again. I guess the silver lining is everyone else around you has lost or is losing. But with the effort tonight, doesn't seem like that really matters. #LGRW

@DeepDishEnjoyer Peepee you and I both know the game being played here. This bounce in the equity markets is EOM “window dressing” and hushing all the TA’s who say sentiment is screaming “buy”. We’ll continue this next week. Poopoo out ✌️

@jan_chobot 100%. If Yzerman properly uses his assets, we are in a fantastic spot. He really isn’t that far off from putting everything together. These two blunders have cost us dearly.

@SharcusAurelius Yes, exactly. If you throw something little more, you could have Thomas for that.

Připomenutí: za Walmana bychom měli 2026 1st(Oilers) Leo Sahlin Wallenius(2024 53rd overall letošní mistr světa do 20 let). Za Faulka jsme dali Buchelnikov, 3rd (v podstatě Söderblöm) a 1st, což bude asi 15th overall. Tam se pohybuje Villeneuve, podle mnohých nový Hutson. #LGRW