Shepherd Capital Markets

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Shepherd Capital Markets

Shepherd Capital Markets

@ShepherdCapital

Stock Market Opinions | Portfolio Management Ideas | Founded by analysts for retail investors | Purely sharing Opinions. Never Financial Advice.

Katılım Ekim 2024
167 Takip Edilen4.5K Takipçiler
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Shepherd Capital Markets
Shepherd Capital Markets@ShepherdCapital·
为什么我认为散户长期优势高于机构: 1. 散户的灵活性趋势可以让我们灵活的应对市场底层改变。大多数基金做不到,一波大走势结束之后那这个基金/策略的优势也就没了。而因为机构的交易量主导价格,所以是市场consensus。如果我有一个观点偏离consensus我会希望有数据支持我的观点。 2.常见机构“门派”有multi-strat,long only,L/S,passive,FoF,等等并且每个都可以细分。这个群体里面的一个困扰就是现在2026我不投大盘股,科技股,ai股我投谁?指数都是他们说了算,基金/issuer挤破头想进指数。指数屁股后面的所有被动性AUM gatherer基金翻过来内部强化自己。很难解。所以价投派一边吐一边买入。因为没办法。 3.最近的市场情况暂时让成长派承压,反而那些前几年相对无聊的板块疯狂上涨。成长派最近也是物理心理双重打击。自己跌了,还要看到前几年看不起的板块涨。肯定非常受不了“现代价值派”的嘴脸。 的确让我觉得这种局面很有意思的。一堆旅游大巴卡在欧洲村庄小路的感觉。根本调不过头来。所以这绝对是一个属于我们散户的优势。
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Shepherd Capital Markets
Shepherd Capital Markets@ShepherdCapital·
If you think TSLA Terafab news is good fundamentally for the stock in the short term you are insane. If you think Elon Musk cant deliver on "impossible" projects you are also insane. So, pick your poison.
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Shepherd Capital Markets
Shepherd Capital Markets@ShepherdCapital·
大部分2025末2026初买黄金相关的人根本不知道自己在买什么。说白了都是跟风。 跟风的人不自己思考亏是应该的。亏完了下一波涨的时候下一波该买的时候照样没有你。 不是资产的问题,是你的问题。追高死但是每次都有大把人追。人性。
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wizard tang
wizard tang@WizardTang·
@ShepherdCapital 我自己700人民币的时候大仓位进的,不慌,有信念,主要是我以后再也不建议别人买了,哈哈,怕别人根本拿不住
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Shepherd Capital Markets
Shepherd Capital Markets@ShepherdCapital·
People turning into panicans after Gold's 200%+ rally since 2023 🤣 Now these same people are "experts" and are calling Gold's rally done. its not done. unless your fiat currency actually appreciates and the governments actually stops printing.
Daniel Lacalle@dlacalle_IA

A gold slump based on fears of central banks hiking rates and selling reserves shows a misunderstanding of how the monetary policy system works. A gold slump based on fears of a recession is even less justified. Any answer to today's risks will be more currency printing, not tighter policy. via Bloomberg

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Shepherd Capital Markets
Shepherd Capital Markets@ShepherdCapital·
今天美联储给我最大的暗示就是终于至少能有一个对2026共识的意见了。这很重要,基于这个共识你就可以同意或者不同意,然后再拿证据支持你的观点,然后再按你的观点证据分配仓位。 这比2025年12月当时对2026的点阵图好看多了。当时19个人连2026年的利率水平都不能达到共识。有4%的还有2.5%的。今天至少有共识了,就会让市场参与者好办很多。 减少了不确定性,所以我看涨。其实利率走高走低跟股市走高走低的关联性很低。自己去算就能看到了。但是市场非常不喜欢拿不定主意的美联储,在这个点上,我认为这次的SEP是进步了的。至少大部分人同意利率维持在现在水平附近,市场就能根据这个去适应去调整。 别太悲观。市场永远是悲观的人听起来很聪明,但是乐观的人赚钱。
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Shepherd Capital Markets
Shepherd Capital Markets@ShepherdCapital·
为什么我认为散户长期优势高于机构: 1. 散户的灵活性趋势可以让我们灵活的应对市场底层改变。大多数基金做不到,一波大走势结束之后那这个基金/策略的优势也就没了。而因为机构的交易量主导价格,所以是市场consensus。如果我有一个观点偏离consensus我会希望有数据支持我的观点。 2.常见机构“门派”有multi-strat,long only,L/S,passive,FoF,等等并且每个都可以细分。这个群体里面的一个困扰就是现在2026我不投大盘股,科技股,ai股我投谁?指数都是他们说了算,基金/issuer挤破头想进指数。指数屁股后面的所有被动性AUM gatherer基金翻过来内部强化自己。很难解。所以价投派一边吐一边买入。因为没办法。 3.最近的市场情况暂时让成长派承压,反而那些前几年相对无聊的板块疯狂上涨。成长派最近也是物理心理双重打击。自己跌了,还要看到前几年看不起的板块涨。肯定非常受不了“现代价值派”的嘴脸。 的确让我觉得这种局面很有意思的。一堆旅游大巴卡在欧洲村庄小路的感觉。根本调不过头来。所以这绝对是一个属于我们散户的优势。
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Shepherd Capital Markets
Shepherd Capital Markets@ShepherdCapital·
@tclaugus2 When i used to be on the desk I thought to myself 'I have no time". Now im away from the desk I think to myself "Do I have enough resources? Did you ever feel like that?
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Thomas Claugus II
Thomas Claugus II@tclaugus2·
@ShepherdCapital Kids are awesome. I have 3 and have tried my best to teach them to be good people which I believe they have become. If we don't have kids we go extinct.. It's a basic equation. However I am not Elon Musk....
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Thomas Claugus II
Thomas Claugus II@tclaugus2·
Frustrated with my life. Despite my success as a money maker. I am still trying to be a good father. I am still trying to find a good partner. I still think that good behavior and constant learning is the best path to "success". Trust me money is not success my friends. It most definitely is not. And I try to succeed.
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Bloomberg
Bloomberg@business·
Trading has been halted in all contracts on the London Metal Exchange, with dealers unable to place orders in markets ranging from aluminum to zinc as they awaited further information on the cause of the outage. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Meta, $META, is planning sweeping layoffs ​that could affect 20% or more of the company, per Reuters. Details include: 1. Meta seeks to offset "costly" AI infrastructure bets 2. Top executives have signaled plans to senior leaders at Meta and told ​them to begin planning how to pare back 3. If Meta settles on the 20% figure, the layoffs will be the company's largest since 2022 AI-based layoffs are accelerating.
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Patrick Saner
Patrick Saner@patrick_saner·
People focus on oil, but if you look at the fertilizer implications of the last two weeks it seems pretty clear that there is a decent amount of food price inflation coming in 6-12 months.
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Shepherd Capital Markets
Shepherd Capital Markets@ShepherdCapital·
@stevehou @GZuckerman Totally agree. Question, if I want to do some homework and look into this where would you look? The problem is that they are mark to model, illiquid, and secretive. Its really hard to find meaningful data to look under the hood.
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Steve Hou
Steve Hou@stevehou·
@GZuckerman The problem isn’t the economy. It’s that the those private credit loans were priced incorrectly in the first place. High yield is publicly traded.
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Gregory Zuckerman
Gregory Zuckerman@GZuckerman·
So there's panic in private credit...but high-yield spreads remain at 300 bps, near multi-year lows? Someone must be misreading the economy, no?
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Shepherd Capital Markets
Shepherd Capital Markets@ShepherdCapital·
The MOVE index is up a whopping 21% today! Now that is scary
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Shepherd Capital Markets
Shepherd Capital Markets@ShepherdCapital·
I heard the market got sold down today? Where? Jk I saw it. These are literally the only things thats up. Everything else got slaughtered.
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