
Chris Ray
15.2K posts

Chris Ray
@itschrisray
Tracking innovation through the markets | Space, drones, disruptors, and growth stocks 🚀 | NFA








Ouster CEO Angus reaffirmed last night at the NVIDIA GTC special edition ROS By-the-Bay event that the company has shipped over 150k sensors. He last mentioned this on February 9, which implies that Q4 ’25 plus the first ~40 days of Q1 ’26 account for roughly 13k units. Since we know they shipped 8,100 sensors in Q4, that suggests about 5,000 sensors were shipped in the first 40 days of Q1. At this pace, they could ship approximately 11,250 sensors in Q1. Assuming total shipments of 11k units at a $4.8k ASP, that implies about $52.8M in Q1 revenue—well above the company’s guidance of $45M–$48M. ASP has not fallen below $5k since Q1 2023, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see some discounts on high-volume orders, such as Amazon Proteus robots. As long as gross margins remain in the 35%–40% range as guided, some pricing pressure is acceptable, especially if it reflects cost reductions from scaling. Now consider @Stereolabs3D. They generated $16M in revenue last year, with over 60% coming from the second half, per the CFO. This implies roughly $5M from the first half. Assuming 40% growth, we could expect around $7M from Stereolabs in the first half of this year, with approximately $2M attributable to the final seven weeks of Q1 and therefore contributing to consolidated Q1 results. This would suggest total Q1 revenue of around $54.8M when @ousterlidar reports in early May. Conservatively, $50M should be the floor. $OUST




🚨 $ONDS daaamnnn… 👀 Israel Deploys Net-launching Interceptor Against Hezbollah Fiber-optic-guided Drones The Iron Drone Raider is an automated, AI-driven technology developed by Airobotics that combines radar with interceptor drones to detect and respond to threats ⚡️ haaretz.com/israel-news/is…






🚨 $ONDS daaamnnn… 👀 Israel Deploys Net-launching Interceptor Against Hezbollah Fiber-optic-guided Drones The Iron Drone Raider is an automated, AI-driven technology developed by Airobotics that combines radar with interceptor drones to detect and respond to threats ⚡️ haaretz.com/israel-news/is…






$ONDS Bears have voiced concerns surrounding Ondas’ scalability and manufacturing capabilities… Are 1,000 Iron Drone Raiders per day and 100 UGVs per month good enough for you guys? 😂 Absolutely unreal volume and efficiency enabled by this Onberg JV 😳






