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SilverOak Capital
1.4K posts

SilverOak Capital
@SilverOakFin
Investor & Entrepreneur | Voracious Reader 📚 & Cinephile 🎥 | Positions💰: $UNH, $JD, $ZETA, $HIMS, $OSCR, $DLO, $ROOT, $IREN | No hype • No tips • Just logic.
New York, NY Katılım Temmuz 2025
55 Takip Edilen167 Takipçiler

Retail Trading Plunges 43% Since The Start Of The Iran War zerohedge.com/markets/retail…
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Why Is Australia Not Already Rationing Fuel? zerohedge.com/energy/why-aus…
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An intern bottom is coming for $SPY very soon around $645…
Over the last few days of downside on the S&P 500 there has been new lows made, but $VIX has yet to make new highs.
This is an indicator of a developing bottom, & the next confirmation will be a spike in volume profile.
The -12% crash to $615 on $SPY from ATH will still occur just like intended in June.
Be ready…

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@SilverOakFin That could only be achieved in Q1, so if not in Q1 2026, Q1 2027 :)
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$OSCR
Q1 2024:
MLR 74.2%
SG&A 18.4%
Operating Margin 7.4%
Q1 2026:
MLR 74.2% (likely lower but for sake of exercise)
SG&A 16% per guidance
Operating margin 9.8%
So yes, when I say 10% operating margin is possible and even likely… I mean it. 10%+ is quite likely.
This is the tech stack - fixed cost infrastructure paying off.
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@TheStockerMan That's why I love $ZETA more than before, I LOVE IGNORED BEAUTIES 😍
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$ZETA is one of those stocks where the story keeps getting better, but the market still has not really priced it like a serious longterm winner.
They just delivered their 18th straight beat-and-raise quarter, with Q4 revenue of 395M, up 25% YoY, full-year revenue of 1.305B, up 30%, free cash flow of 165M, up 78%, and they guided 2026 revenue to roughly 1.75B while also calling for positive GAAP net income.
They finished 2025 with 184 super-scaled customers, up 24% YoY. Those are customers doing at least 1M of trailing-twelve-month revenue with $ZETA. The company also defines “scaled customers” as those doing at least 100K annually. What I really like is that this is not just a customer count story… spend per customer is rising too. $ZETA scaled customer ARPU reached about 625K in 4Q25, and the company’s chart shows super-scaled customer ARPU growth of 8% YoY in 4Q25 as well. That tells me existing customers are leaning in more, not less.
That is what makes the setup interesting to me. A lot of companies can add customers. Fewer can add bigger customers and keep increasing wallet share over time. $ZETA also called out 19 consecutive quarters of sequential scaled customer expansion, which is exactly the kind of consistency I want to see in a longterm compounder.
What really caught my attention though is the Athena piece. In January, $ZETA collaboration with OpenAI was not some random press release. They explicitly said OpenAI models will power the next phase of Athena, that early demand was strong enough to expand beta access, and that Athena is meant to move marketers from questions to actions inside workflows.
That is the part I care about. If Athena actually becomes the operating layer on top of $ZETA data and marketing stack, then this starts looking like more than adtech.
It starts looking like a scaled software platform with real AI leverage, real enterprise use cases, and improving profitability at the same time. That mix is rare.

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@BourbonCap $DLO is so Underrated 🔥
Working on it's thesis,
Will post soon.
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REPLAY: HAM for Lunch! The Pros’ Playbook for a Market Like This app.hedgeye.com/insights/17954… via @hedgeye
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US LNG Export Terminals "Running Near Maximum" As MidEast Energy Infra Descends Into Chaos zerohedge.com/energy/worlds-…
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@investingwithac Will watch $OSCR deep dive on your channel 🙌
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$SOFI CEO Anthony Noto bought another $500k worth of stock few days back. 🚨


SilverOak Capital@SilverOakFin
Amidst market meltdown, 👀 Insiders are buying these stocks: 1) $SOFI CEO Anthony Noto
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