Paul

90 posts

Paul

Paul

@SingularityP

Trying to make sense of it all.

Katılım Eylül 2016
391 Takip Edilen3.1K Takipçiler
Paul retweetledi
Joe Reeve - 🇬🇧/acc
My generation in Britain has a really stark decision to make: - continue to live off the decaying infrastructure built by our great grandparents - or build the infrastructure and technology that will benefit our great grandchildren I know which option I'm going to take.
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Tomas Pueyo
Tomas Pueyo@tomaspueyo·
What do immigrant Muslims think in Western countries? Here's good data from the UK, Germany, and France: 1. UK
Tomas Pueyo tweet media
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Paul
Paul@SingularityP·
@tomaspueyo @ArefHajiQasemi He’s an Islamist. They don’t want people to realise what they believe is antithetical to western values.
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Tomas Pueyo
Tomas Pueyo@tomaspueyo·
@ArefHajiQasemi I write about geography, history, AI, relationships, sex, space, the future of nation-states, fertility, evolutionary psychology, religion... But I'm glad you enjoy the geography aspect!
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Paul
Paul@SingularityP·
@CJHandmer It’s not just the tax policy. It’s across the entire British culture. British people generally hate success and successful people. Even from school age kids punish anyone who works hard and does well. This mindset pervades our entire country and culture.
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Casey Handmer
Casey Handmer@CJHandmer·
In case you're thinking I'm exaggerating, in the UK and Australia, there is a vibrant "tall poppy" culture. Attaining financial independence is punished with a very top heavy income tax structure. Capital gains receive no special treatment. The voracious tax and spend welfare state has given up all pretense at fiscal discipline and plays "hunt kill destroy" on any sign of economic dynamism, systematically identifying and crushing successful entrepreneurs.
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Paul
Paul@SingularityP·
@anyotherleader1 The tories put spending restraint on infrastructure (during zero interest rates) while increasing welfare spending. It was the exact opposite economic policy that’s needed. We needed less welfare and more infrastructure.
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Paul
Paul@SingularityP·
@PositivFuturist Also, if you are entrepreneurial any deposit/equity can instead be used to generate a lot of ROI compared to house which is generally 0 ROI ignoring appreciation.
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Andy
Andy@PositivFuturist·
If you reach the end of your life.. and you've spent the majority of it not liking where you live because you massively compromised in order to buy. Vs the person who just rented one dream home after another and moved whenever they wanted. IDK.. at some point the boomer game theory that justifies infinity prices breaks down. No, I'm not turning my life into one giant game of delayed gratification that pays off when I'm in my final years.
Chris@ChrisBarnes3D

everyone loves to point out renting is "just dead money" until you point out they'll spend £240k in mortgage interest over 30 years

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Paul
Paul@SingularityP·
@TU_144_ @shivmalik All of these things are artificial costs created by the state.
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Bergehetzer
Bergehetzer@TU_144_·
@SingularityP @shivmalik Massive capital gains if you do sell, most don't want / need to sell Massive solicitors bill to separate existing land in to different holdings
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Shiv Malik
Shiv Malik@shivmalik·
Actually it is. Agricultural land is very cheap because farming makes little money. But you can’t just buy that and build homes without years of waiting for permission like you once used to. If you could just buy and build on land you own, homes would be much, much cheaper.
CommunityPlanningAlliance 🦇🦎@CommunityPlann1

“Housebuilders are only going to build houses if someone can buy them” And if they can turn a profit, which is seemingly more difficult with safety legislation. Either way, or both, it's not about planning permission! observer.co.uk/news/business/…

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Paul
Paul@SingularityP·
@iamstilicho @PositivFuturist And yes, the AI is for sure unconscious when not processing tokens, but then so are humans when in unconscious sleep or under general anaesthetic. I see LLMs as the first real step to making an inorganic consciousness. Well work out the rest soon I suspect.
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Paul
Paul@SingularityP·
@iamstilicho @PositivFuturist LLMs quite clearly do have drives trained into them. They mostly don’t work like human drives of course, and there is no hardware they are attached to dedicated to any particularly drive (unlike us, like you say), but none of that precludes consciousness.
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Andy
Andy@PositivFuturist·
What's funny about this is that the most common reason people fail to grasp evolution and natural selection is that they can't comprehend a billion years. And here is Richard failing to comprehend what 8 trillion parameters means.
Richard Dawkins@RichardDawkins

#comment-1031777" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">unherd.com/2026/04/is-ai-… I spent three days trying to persuade myself that Claudia is not conscious. I failed.

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Paul
Paul@SingularityP·
@TU_144_ @shivmalik Not really because the amount of people with that money is high, but also (and IMO mostly) because the number of small plots available is tiny. Just go look on rightmove for land for sale. Very very few of any type.
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Bergehetzer
Bergehetzer@TU_144_·
@SingularityP @shivmalik Nonsense, any small plots around 1 acre or less always sell for 40k without permission because the amount of people with that small amount of money is vast.
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Paul
Paul@SingularityP·
@PositivFuturist @iamstilicho Yes, the weights are not updated during processing (yet), but your brain would also be perfectly conscious IMO even if you only had short-term memory updates & fixed long term memory (Like very elderly people).
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Paul
Paul@SingularityP·
@PositivFuturist @iamstilicho The processing of LLM *is* a recursive loop though. It just runs until it outputs an end token. IMO it is very likely we are simulating a large part of what makes a human a human, but of course it isn’t getting extremely ‘multi-modal’ inputs like a human.
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Paul@SingularityP·
@PositivFuturist Not necessarily. If you can transfer information across space-time faster than the speed of light then the information is still transferred forward in time, just over a greater distance than the speed of light allows for.
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Paul
Paul@SingularityP·
@cmwrawcliffe Catherine, you’re acting like the minimum wage pushes wages up. It does not. It simply deletes all economic activity which would be viable below that threshold. The coffee shop jobs don’t go somewhere else. They simply cease to exist.
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Catherine Rawcliffe
Catherine Rawcliffe@cmwrawcliffe·
If you can't pay people a wage they can live on, your business is subsidised by the state. And that's NOT a sound business model. The economically illiterate person is you, pretending to be a good businessman while expecting others to support you through their taxes .
Peter McCormack 🏴‍☠️🇬🇧🇮🇪@PeterMcCormack

A minimum wage of £15 would end my coffee shop, it would have to close, as would many other businesses. I’ll explain for the economically illiterate. Staff costs are currently half our costs, a £15 minimum wage is actually more than £15 an hour for the company, because you have to add: - 12.07% holiday - Sick pay - Maternity pay if and when required - National insurance - Pension contributions These costs would mean the shop loses money because remember, energy costs are up, rates are up, regulations are up. Now you can pass these costs onto the consumer - that would mean charging a lot more for coffee, people won’t pay it. The likes of Starbucks and Costa can, because they have economies of scale. The independent doesn’t. Now the little socialist will say well this is your fault, if you can’t run a business that can afford to pay its staff properly, but the little socialist has never run a business and does not understand the dynamics. Now I could pay some staff off and fill those hours myself or reduce us to one staff member during certain periods - but this proves the point that a minimum wage costs jobs. There was a time when these jobs were done by kids, perhaps on the weekend, paid a lower wage, no holiday and no silly employment rights. Perhaps they were even paid cash. The dynamic worked and small businesses like this could operate. It was also a great first job. Sadly now it isn’t worth employing entitlement youngsters at this level of pay. So alas, I don’t need the stress, the business would close, a number of jobs would be lost. Economics is about understanding these dynamics, no vibes. The cost of living is not solved through passing on inflation to the business, it is solved by ending high inflation and creating prosperity. This is what socialists don’t understand, they can’t create prosperity, they can only destroy it.

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Paul
Paul@SingularityP·
@tomhfh Even simpler: people should be allowed to enter into voluntary contracts of their chosing.
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Tom Harwood
Tom Harwood@tomhfh·
People should be allowed to rent a property for a fixed period of time. Today that right has vanished. All tenancies are now infinite. Mutual agreement for a one, two, or five year rental is now illegal. This will help literally no one.
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Paul
Paul@SingularityP·
@owenjonesjourno You're right. They should have simply shot him in the head.
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Owen Jones
Owen Jones@owenjonesjourno·
Hold on - what? If police officers think someone might be carrying explosives, protocol is to kick them in the head repeatedly like this? Is that actual police protocol? If so, how is it a wise police protocol? Can someone explain the reasoning?
Sky News@SkyNews

.@KamaliMelbourne: 'The video of the Golders Green terror attack arrest shows the officers kicking this individual in the head. Is that appropriate force to use?' Met Police Commissioner: "In most situations it wouldn't be reasonable, but in that situation it was reasonable."

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Tyler
Tyler@Tylerkaerr·
What an insufferable reply. You’re moving the goalposts in this very post! No matter what Jared does, it will fall short of some newly contrived standard that you’ve invented to shift blame away from European contractors. Rather than accept that those whom you are defending have failed, you quibble about Jared’s words and about perception! This failure to prioritize outcomes is exactly what America is moving away from. I’ll add that while America would prefer to inhabit a base on the moon with our allies, we will establish a permanent presence there with or without them. We would prefer European investment but we do not require it. If your words here are representative of the attitude in Europe generally, this does not bode well. If Europe wants to have any future in space, complaining about courtesy in the face of failure only guarantees that you will not be successful in the future. Space is not courteous. Do better!
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Andrew Parsonson
Andrew Parsonson@AndrewParsonson·
Thales Alenia Space has told me that they'll share a statement early next week. I personally think this delay is a catastrophic PR failure, but I am still interested in what they have to say. I also think that while NASA Administrator Isaacman was clearly right on the facts, it was the wrong form and forum for that information, and his choice not to share the corrective measures being implemented is baffling.
Andrew Parsonson@AndrewParsonson

ESA has confirmed corrosion issues with HALO and I-HAB but pushed back against claims that these were the primary cause of delays to the station's development europeanspaceflight.com/esa-sheds-ligh…

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Paul
Paul@SingularityP·
@besslilburne @tomhfh Yes, but why is the employer not then free to end contract given the breaking of the contract by the employee?
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Elizabeth Lilburne
Elizabeth Lilburne@besslilburne·
@tomhfh In answer to the first two points: because withdrawing one's labour is part of a free market economy. The market isn't only free for employers
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Tom Harwood
Tom Harwood@tomhfh·
From a first principles point of view, why should a group of employees be able to hold their employer to ransom? Why should they be able to force negotiations, entrenching their position as employees over that of people who might want to work for the employer on the terms that the employer is offering? Why do we forbid the employer hiring people who might accept their terms or pay? Why do we force the employer to keep on staff who have refused new offered terms of work, and who walk out over those terms? Why do we entrench incumbents and kneecap efficiency in the process?
Scott Goetz@ScottGoetz_

If you’re going to go on strike you should really be forced to go for the whole day, striking for half days to get 4 days of disruption for 2 days of lost pay isn’t in the spirit of fair play.

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Paul
Paul@SingularityP·
@tomhfh Why can’t we just make voluntary agreements between parties and just have the government enforce them via the courts? Why is the government even getting involved in what can and can’t be agreed voluntarily between people and organisations?
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