Tyler

I'm a fan of Zephyr, but this is the wrong take. The fallout from this will be the latest models will go to a tiered release cadence where the US government gets first access, then US persons / entities, then foreigners, etc. This may create some friction, but a tiered release cadence is not going to lead to significant demand destruction. Non US enterprises and foreign subs not getting the absolute latest models on day one is not a major business disruption. In most cases, waiting a few weeks or months for access will be an annoyance, not a supply-chain risk. It is also highly unlikely that the US govt would permanently ban non US enterprises or foreign users from accessing advanced models altogether. Again, the US govt wants to ensure it has first access to the most capable models so it can assess and patch security risks, and then allow broader access under a controlled framework.

Suspending Fable for all “foreign person inside the US” is wild. How can you even enforce this properly?

Need a better central institution to deal with this imo. I think people over focus on legislation. We probably need expert governance with federal preemption. More FAA/FDA than a patchwork of statutes. And not this impromptu stuff. Maybe like Frontier Release Authority (FRA).

I’ve had a number of conversations with folks inside and outside government about the current situation with Anthropic, and here is what I believe to be true: — As we know, Anthropic publicly released its Mythos class models earlier this week under the commercial name Fable. — Fable is Mythos with guardrails. But if those guardrails fail, then you’ve exposed Mythos and its advanced cyber capabilities to people who shouldn’t have them. (Keep in mind that Anthropic itself widely promoted the idea that Mythos was a cyberweapon and needed to be regulated as such. They asked for government regulation of Mythos and championed the guardrails on Fable. If there is a vulnerability — big or small — it is Anthropic’s responsibility to patch.) — A highly credible trusted partner of both Anthropic and the USG who was testing Fable came forward with a jailbreak of those guardrails. The Admin asked Dario to fix the jailbreak or de-deploy the model. Dario refused. — In their blog post, Anthropic defended its decision by saying the jailbreak isn’t serious. That is not what the trusted partner and the USG believe; nor is that kind of minimizing language consistent with Anthropic’s brand as the AI safety company. It’s difficult to fathom how they could claim a jailbreak allowing operability of a cyber weapon could be defined as not “serious.” — In the past, Anthropic has always said that safety must be top priority and taken super seriously. In this case, Anthropic prioritized the continued offering of the consumer model over safety. — In reaction, the Admin issued the export control. The Admin did this reluctantly. It’s been very surprised that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to cooperate with a reasonable safety request (ie fixing the jailbreak issue). Anthropic’s reaction is very much at odds with their branding and ethos as a safe AI research community. — The Admin’s hope now is that Anthropic remediates the safety issue, the export control is lifted, and Fable goes back into general release. The Admin wants all of this to happen as soon as possible. It is frankly bewildered that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to comply with safety requests that it previously said were its highest priority. — Those trying to misdirect and tie this action to the prior DoW/Anthropic issues are wrong. The Admin values Anthropic’s technical capabilities and feels that this issue, while serious, should be easily resolved. The ball is in Anthropic’s court.