Soligen Ω
10.7K posts

Soligen Ω
@SolyFinT
Macro, Markets & Charts. Sharing opinions and thoughts. Wisdom above all.

@silversurfer1_ $OPEN End of 2026 = $43 Summer 2027 = $88 End of 2027 = $92 End of 2028 = $150 End of 2030 = $445




@cantonmeow Fundamentally it’s good. 1.75M shares long. I see $20-50 soon.


Taleb is highlighting nonlinearity in both cases: Low VO2 max is deadly (strong negative effect at the bottom), but once above average, extra points decouple from better longevity—no linear gain. Same for IQ: Very low scores strongly predict poor outcomes (can't function well). But above ~100-115, higher scores don't linearly predict more success, wealth, or achievement. Other factors (luck, grit, networks, domain-specific skills) take over. Diminishing returns kick in fast.



$OPEN retraced 0.618 of its recent leg up, and often that's quite enough for a pull back, and on low volume too. While I'm not interested in this stock at this time, it just seems like the risk reward ratio is decent here.












