Justin Jacobs

Thinking of putting up a 92-page opus.

I want to throw something up on arxiv. I apparently need two endorsements.

@sradjoker If you’ve submitted anything in the stats section between .25 and 5 years ago!

@Squared2020 i've uploaded there before, will mine work?

@PastamanHD Yes.

@Squared2020 Just wondering if you plan on updating the full list and supplemental on the website, since the last update still seems to be from December

Happy Easter! Updated 1985-1996 #NBA RAPM. Here's the current Top 50.

Tinkering with the wordpress CSS options. How does this look: squared2020.com/2026/04/21/the… #NBA #Analytics #DetroitPistons #BadBoys

@angel_kld No worries! I have roughly 3500 games of the roughly 12,000 games. Some are lost media (no tv coverage) but there are maybe 11,500 in the nba vault. Most are unconverted to video.

@Squared2020 Btw I wanted to ask, sorry if this is explained but I missed it. Do you have access to footage of every game? Does all that footage even exist or are many such games lost media?

Hey y'all: squared2020.com/2026/04/11/198… #NBA #Analytics #EverythingIsAwesome #EwingFansUnite

@Danko8c That theory is debunked fairly quickly once you understand how the model works. Anyone grasping at those straws are either uninformed or delirious. 🙃

@Squared2020 Ewing at #1 is a bit surprising considering he actually peaked a year later in 1990 but this result does throw a wrench into the theory that players with larger samples are always on the top.

@drsnack99 It’s available.

@Squared2020 Always look forward to these updates! Any plans to share the raw data?

@WCFO123 That’s a really good question. It is easily 1992. After that I’m not sure off-hand. I wish I had more 1989 and 1990 games for MJ

@dancingwithnoah @winston3453 There’s a few more up there that’s a little too big for their britches. Koncak got some sixth man aura that’s making him high on this list: Comes in early against a fatigued starting line and performs moderately well, which makes him look better than a starter.

@Squared2020 @winston3453 Mahorn and Koncak the Crockett & tubbs of RAPM

@TheyCallMeHimay For some reason, the new overwhelming majority of users wanted images.

@Squared2020 Is there any possible way you can upload this to the blog in a form that I can use ctrl+f on?

@cover81 That’s a fair assessment from RAPM alone. But it would behoove any decision maker to take into consideration many other factors: production, behavior, fit with teammates (skillwise), etc.

@Squared2020 Looking at the whole thing at your website, it seems that Isiah Thomas didn't get screwed when he was left off the Dream Team in favor of John Stockton

@cover81 @dash_r_media Yes, in accordance to play-by-play logging requirements at the league level.

@Squared2020 @dash_r_media You watched the games and logged every play? Just making sure I understand your methodology

@WildcatMadDog Aside from natural variance, you should really see the games Mahorn played in from that era. There's a reason the guys in Detroit loved him and were upset about the expansion draft. I'm not sure you understand your own point you're trying to make.

@Squared2020 he is 10th #1982-1991-sum:per_game_stats" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">basketball-reference.com/players/m/maho…

@WildcatMadDog That’s not what RAPM suggests. It’s a linear model that tris to capture the effect of team performance when a player is on the court. They can be a stat gobbler and lose. They can also not fill a box score but do all the little things to help win — like Grant on CHI and ORL.

@Squared2020 What is the conclusion? That Horace Grant is better than Bird, Hakeem, KAJ, Shaq, Drexler, Barkley ....? 6 years with the Bulls :

@osman_abdigamid @automaticnba He's really low. He's consistently a negative without Stockton.

@Squared2020 @automaticnba Where is Karl Malone?

@dash_r_media This is traditional RAPM but for the pre-Play-By-Play era. The games played are games that have been tracked down for video and curated into a stint database. There's a couple thousand games, but there's much more to go.

@Squared2020 What is this measuring, and how? For one thing, these games played stats can't be right

George Clooney hanging out at a Lakers #NBA game in April 1989. Chick Hearn makes no notice...