Adam Sherman 🔸

@GreekGamblerPM Happy to talk about the decision to go professional if you want. Been full-time for 5 years and might be able to provide some guidance.

Today is one of the worst days of my life. Over the past few days, as you may have noticed, I have barely been posting and yesterday I posted nothing. The reason is that lately my 9 to 5 job as a Software Engineer has gone from being really chill to extremely stressful. There are many tight deadlines, some drama at work and my PRs keep getting rejected. Today was so busy that I even forgot to eat and I was on calls for almost 8 hours straight. On top of that, today I lost $1,500 on a bet in a mention market that I made without doing much research and I ended up being wrong. I don't know. I've been making, through Polymarket and my X, around 8x my full time salary. Every day I think, what if I just completely quit the safety of my job and go all in on prediction markets and my X? Almost daily, I miss so many opportunities to make money on Polymarket because I'm not fully locked in and I'm trying to do too many things at once. Also, when I come back from work, many times I just want to chill and not get on my PC again for some time and then the day just passes. Now everyone will be like, then why don't you just quit your job, since you make a lot more trading? There are some reasons that I can't really say publicly that make this decision really difficult for me to take the risk, but at this point I may just have to do it. Anyway, sorry for this long post. I'm kind of mentally unstable at the moment in the sense that I don't know what to do with my life right now. I will probably delete this later today. I was just wondering if anyone else has been in a similar situation and how it went.

people misunderstand the icarus story. the problem was not that he flew too high. it's that the wings were made of beeswax, which offered very little resistance to heating. with modern materials he would have had no problems. we can fly as close to the sun as we want now

@NathanpmYoung You're a smart guy with good intuition who has talked to a great number of people, you do know men's and women's preferences and they are fairly accurately stereotyped.

I don't know mens or women's preferences and wish we had large well-designed surveys with the kind of tricks we use to get answers out of poeple under dictatorships in order to find out the actual answers.

@TheStalwart @_colourmeamused The irony is they wouldn't care, if they just spent a little more time reflecting about why they are getting upset.

@_colourmeamused People are really upset that he’s not introspective

Did Andreessen do a big post or something, why is he suddenly all over my feed

@NathanpmYoung @RatOrthodox @joodalooped People should have to finish their sentences on Twitter. "I don't believe in shoulds.... because of my unusual upbringing that any words starting with the letter S are the work of satan"

@RatOrthodox @joodalooped i don’t believe in shoulds

*Normal guy who just noticed an attractive woman*: “would” *Ea who just noticed a new high leverage impact opportunity*: “should”

Gamblers trying to win a bet on Polymarket are vowing to kill me if I don’t rewrite an Iran missile story This is my account: timesofisrael.com/gamblers-tryin…

@Eltonma You are a legend, fuck those haters man, appreciate you being open and yourself out here! We on the side of RewardsBilly til the armageddon comes.

Some idiots are trying to post about my mental struggle to gain a few likes or whatever, or wanna get my polymarket badge removed. I just want to say, I don't care that much actually, but I do want to make one thing clear. I wrote what I wrote, because I was trying to help myself from not doing something stupid, by mentioned about the thought process, you figure out ways to not doing bad things to oneself and others. And those are just personal discussion, shared among friends, not trying to tell the public about it. If those motherfuckers want to go to war about it, just BRING IT ON!

@DustinGouker @GaetenD they literally put food on our dinner table. God bless them.

@GaetenD Prediction markets will help people get ahead

Affordability is the top issue for voters, yet Trump keeps taking specific actions that make products less affordable: 1. Implementing tariffs 2. Allowing ACA subsidies expire 3. Going to war with Iran 4. Settling the Ticketmaster case 5. Cutting Medicaid

@AlexNowrasteh @Romy_Holland well... that and viruses.

@Romy_Holland Love for your children is the only thing that grows when it's divided among more of them.

I'm excited to have more kids, but some part of me can't imagine loving a different baby anywhere near as much as I love my son. I find myself just imagining my exact baby again as a newborn and then I feel all happy, but when I imagine a different baby I am disturbed.

@Eltonma You've been letting her drain your liquidity, but no more king. The sweet liquidity rewards will belong to you and your wife only. Congrats.

Ok update on the massage therapist situation. She came today and wants to break it off. But since I paid for a whole year and is not yet over her, she says she will give me some compensation. She will come the next 7 days to be with me. And after that we break up she will be in a relationship with me, seeing me 1-3 times per month, for at least the next 3 months. But I need to promise her that I will pay her no money at all. So that I can get over her more easily.

well.

@Merridew__ I invite you to the only place in the world I thought topped it, Lagos, Nigeria.

@GaetenD Democrats don't stand for Americans only for illegal aliens.

If the midterms were today, what could Republicans even run on? 1. The closed border 2. ?????

@TheZvi @So8res They aren't even paying for Zoom now! We are being taken advantage of.

@So8res Gotta hurry up selling those books before we can't trade with them.

My book comes out in Spain tomorrow. I've done like six interviews so far today. They've been great, but they use the version of zoom and keep failing to notice the "your free meeting will end soon" notification while enthusiastically trying to squeeze in one more Q

Checking in on the group chat polls.

@scottonPoly Anyone have some $10,000 alpha for $100?

$100 USDC prize to whoever can give me the best most rapid source for returns in the Texas primaries and maybe which areas are most representative of the state's population. Let's make some extra bonding money later today! How's everyone playing it?

@DeepDishEnjoyer really dumb clarification of rules that allow for a bunch of news headlines to resolve the market.

@Squee451 needs to last a week

new important market to keep your eyes on polymarket.com/event/will-ira…

@Ike_Saul It was a particularly bad market that Kalshi put up and unbelievably promoted.

Our society is so unbelievably cooked

It's hilarious that the entire course of history would be different if Khamenei just checked the Polymarket odds before meeting above ground with all his allies on the day with the highest probability of war starting