Michael Lopez

Mean or median?

@MeghanChayka @yolo_pinyato Perhaps Meghan is using the appearance to extol the virtues of a traditional 1-8 seeding format???

@yolo_pinyato What’s that lol

Oh no… lol

Here's how fastball velocity has changed since 2000. Pre-pitch tracking data compiled via retired player opinions

Awesome to see @SunnyMehtaX land in New Jersey. For anyone curious, here he is *16 years ago* running 10,000-season simulations demonstrating that blocking shots is a skill but forcing teams to miss shots isn't: web.archive.org/web/2012031017…

NBA 🤝 NFL

I am dying, dying for this ridiculousness to hold on. Then I’m gonna get it printed out, I’m gonna sign it, and send it to NHL HQ so they can hang it.

@jtbourne @domluszczyszyn arxiv.org/abs/math/05096…

@domluszczyszyn lol goddammit do you really? Isn’t it for finding lengths of sides of triangles haha

New for @Sportsnet: sportsnet.ca/nhl/article/fi…

Inspired by Zak Kram's article on pace in ESPN, here is an updated chart that shows team correlation by season between offensive pace versus efficiency. An downward sloping line indicates a positive correlation between fast pace and offensive efficiency.

You can set your watch to the reliability of the rubber band effect in the NBA. Red = Team overperforms Blue = Team underperforms Teams play better from behind. It's pretty much the opposite of momentum.

Time most recent edition of each league's title-clinching game ended (ET): NFL: 10:23 pm NHL: 10:48 pm NBA: 10:49 pm CFB: 11:16 pm MCBB: 11:19 pm MLB: 12:17 am (9th inning ended at 11:38 pm)

If Keith Pelley is serious about a "new era" and unconventional leadership for the @MapleLeafs, @MeghanChayka is the obvious blueprint. She’s spent a career quantifying what others guess at. Want a culture shift? Hire the person who built the tech modern scouting is based on.

Interested in how data/AI impacts hockey, baseball, football? Big data cup event tonight in Toronto eventbrite.ca/e/scaling-anal…

@Dubzinski79 Hah you keep pulling good ones. Check out LS #55

#TBT 1997 @CCRaider_FBall 34-16 win over Wakefield. Super Bowl Champions! @CCRaider_sports

@Dubzinski79 Nice - Lincoln Sudbury should be in that program, too!

#TBT 1989 @CCRaider_FBall MVC Champs. 10-0 regular season! #wearecentral @CCRaider_sports @CCRaider_HS @MVcreature @DWillisET

New paper by myself & @Stat_Ron arxiv.org/abs/2603.17866 We introduce a generative modeling framework to evaluate continuous-time player movement against a distribution of frame-level hypotheticals #cmsac #nfl #bigdatabowl #sportsanalytics #ghosting

The 2026 #BigDataBowl featured some of the brightest up-and-coming minds in the @NFL analytics space. Want to be in the mix for 2027? Learn more here: ops.nfl.com/BigDataBowl27 @cfrelund | @gregolsen88 | @awscloud | @StatsbyLopez

2.6 billion to 1 The odds of a perfect mens tournament bracket this year, if you picked based on @kenpom ratings and assume that those ratings represent the true probabilities. That's better odds than last year, where I estimated a 10 billion to 1 chance.

Here's that article. As I've said before, the only surprising thing about last night's strike 3 call is that we keep being surprised by it fivethirtyeight.com/features/every…

Several years back, Brian Mills and I wrote for 538 about how, late in games, MLB umpires change the strike zone in ways that end the game the fastest For the home team, it means a wider strike zone when trailing late.

As a reminder, umpires expand and constrict their strike zones in whatever way ends the game the fastest

@UmpScorecards can you do WBC games