Steven Kennedy

@QuantusInsights Close race similar to other polls released recently

NEW QUANTUS INSIGHTS POLL | June 12, 2026 Our latest Maine U.S. Senate survey finds the race tightening sharply since March, with Graham Platner now holding a narrow 1-point edge over Susan Collins. 📊 Maine U.S. Senate 🔵 Graham Platner: 46% 🔴 Susan Collins: 45% ⚪️ Undecided: 7% ⚪️ Other: 2% –––––––––––––––––––––––––– 📊 Generic Congressional Ballot 🔵 Democratic candidate: 50% 🔴 Republican candidate: 40% ⚪️ Undecided: 8% ⚪️ Other: 3% –––––––––––––––––––––––––– 📊 Susan Collins Favorable: 42% Unfavorable: 56% Very unfavorable: 49% –––––––––––––––––––––––––– 📊 Graham Platner Favorable: 40% Unfavorable: 57% Very unfavorable: 37% The Maine Senate race has moved from an early Democratic advantage to a statistical tie. Platner led Collins by 7 points in our March survey, but now leads by just 1. Collins remains deeply underwater, yet she is running ahead of the Republican brand in a state where Democrats lead the generic ballot by 10. Platner’s standing has softened amid recent controversies, and the race remains highly competitive and unsettled.

@QuantusInsights @JasonCorley78 Maybe a shy Paxton vote not being picked up kind of like the shy Trump vote in 2016.

NEW QUANTUS INSIGHTS POLL | June 5, 2026 Our first Texas general election survey of the cycle finds Republican candidates leading across the major statewide contests, with the U.S. Senate race standing as the closest fight. 📊 Texas Statewide Toplines U.S. Senate 🔴 Ken Paxton: 45% 🔵 James Talarico: 43% ⚪️ Undecided: 7% ⚪️ Other: 4% –––––––––––––––––––––––––– Governor 🔴 Greg Abbott: 49% 🔵 Gina Hinojosa: 41% ⚪️ Undecided: 6% ⚪️ Other: 3% –––––––––––––––––––––––––– Lt. Governor 🔴 Dan Patrick: 49% 🔵 Vikki Goodwin: 40% ⚪️ Undecided: 7% ⚪️ Other: 4% –––––––––––––––––––––––––– Attorney General 🔴 Mayes Middleton: 47% 🔵 Nathan Johnson: 39% ⚪️ Undecided: 9% ⚪️ Other: 4% Key Takeaway Texas remains Republican-leaning, but still competitive this early in the cycle. The Senate race is the most fluid, with Paxton leading Talarico by just 2 points. Down ballot, Abbott, Patrick, and Middleton hold clearer advantages, with room for Republican consolidation as the general election environment takes shape.

@IAPolls2022 Similar to the Harvard Harris poll released yesterday

📊 Generic Ballot by Marquette (A) Registered voters 🟦 Democrats: 46% (-2) 🟥 Republicans: 45% (+1) Certain to vote 🟦 Democrats: 49% (-4) 🟥 Republicans: 48% (+5) (+/- vs April) | 857 RV | 576 LV today.marquette.edu/2026/06/new-ma…

@BIGDATAPOLL @barnes_law Probably an outlier like his last poll of the Kentucky congressional race.

🚨 Democrats Expand Lead in May as Voters Sour Further on the Iran War; Say It's Not Worth the Economic Cost The midterm outlook worsened for Republicans in May amid rising unpopularity of the Iran War and Democratic advantages on trust to handle issues. “After a year of voters making themselves clear while granting an unheard-of amount of political grace, Republicans have dug themselves into a massive hole by not heeding their warnings.” — @BIGDATAPOLL Director Rich Baris @Peoples_Pundit “Democrats now hold considerable leads on trust to handle issues most important to their vote.” Trump Job Approval –––––––––––––––––– 🟢Approve: 39.4% (New Low) 🔴Disapprove: 57.4% (New High) Generic Ballot ––––––––––––– (LV w/o Leaners) 🔵Democrat: 49.1% 🔴Republican: 36.1% (LV w/ Leaners) 🔵Democrat: 51.4% 🔴Republican: 38.3% Direction of Country –––––––––––––––––––– 🔵Right Direction: 29.7% (New Trump Low) 🔴Wrong Track: 60.4% (New Trump High) WH Focus Tracker ––––––––––––––––– 🔴Too Focused on Foreign: 62.4% (New High) 🟣Balanced: 24.6% 🔵Too Focused on Domestic: 13.1% Iran War Worth It? 🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 ––––––––––––––––––––––––– 🔴Not Worth It: 63.5% 🟢Worth It: 36.5% Does Israel 🇮🇱 Have Too Much Influence? ––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– 🔴Too Much: 52.2% 🔵None At All: 32.9% 🟢Right Amount: 14.6% STILL COMING –––––––––––––– Trust to Handle Issues 2028 Presidential Nominations 2028 Hypothetical Matchups for President 2026 Rank Distribution for Most Important Issues And More! bigdatapoll.com/blog/democrats…

@JasonCorley78 Nice job

Our final Georgia GOP Senate primary poll showed Collins leading Dooley by 10 points and Carter by 19. With more than 75% of the vote now reporting, those margins are looking reliable and tracking closely with what we found in the final stretch.

@TheDataGooroo Who cares

never gonna be anywhere near republican politics again. run Massie as an independent in 28. I will vote for him proudly.

@Peytonfuller19 @NBAPR Think he is out injured still.

@NBAPR Still no goat bill Kennedy.

The NBA today announced the list of officials who have earned spots to work the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs presented by Google.

@TonerousHyus He will release a poll soon showing Gallrein up 1/2 and claim margin of error when he wins by 5/6 and say a late surge bs. He tried to pull an Ann Selzer

Baris needs to ramp up the fake poll machines and start posting hourly updates so he can pretend the race is “shifting”

@chriswithans Need to start calling the big data poll as seal polling since Baris mentions seals a lot in his posts. His poll is the outlier.

Not looking good for Thomas Massie and the Massiechists in Kentucky's 4th House district. Not only has Ed Gallrein led by 7 or more in 3 polls versus a mere 1 pt. lead and an EVEN (very low share) poll for Massie, Massie has collapsed with the two pollsters that showed him up in April: Quantus and Big Data. Much more likely that Gallrein wins by 10-15 points tomorrow than Massie pulls this off.

@TheDataGooroo @RedEaglePatriot So what about the quantus poll hero?

btw, for your information, the pollster SoCal strategies is directly linked to @RedEaglePatriot the same guy calling all Massie supporters a "group of cultists" so it should be no surprise that that poll has Ed up "comfortably"

@JasonCorley78 Don’t get cold feet and change your methodology if you poll the race one more time and get a different result.

As in life, you can be certain and still be wrong. In polling, that just makes you certainly wrong. So we’ll see soon enough where it all falls. It was a fun and challenging race to poll and any pollster worth his salt wouldn’t have it any other way.

@Toribabieegirl Perfect health

You can only pick two 1. A new car 2. ⁠2 million per month 3. ⁠Unlimited free food 4. ⁠Job of choice 5. ⁠100 million right now

@QuantusInsights Maybe you both contacted the same people? Most polling companies have the same list I assume.

When separate polls conducted at the same time land on almost identical approval numbers, it usually means the political environment is very stable. Right now that environment looks locked around mid-40s approval for Trump, even with major foreign policy developments unfolding. Meaning: • people already know how they feel • events aren’t moving opinion much • reactions are being filtered through partisanship This is exactly what we saw in late-stage polarized environments like 2020 and 2024. @OnMessageInc

@barnes_law @ClayTravis You must be jealous? Always bringing him up?

Is there a dumber geopolitical analyst than @ClayTravis

@barnes_law How do you know that hero?

FYI: Trafalgar gave into threats from GOP to do fixed, rigged polls for the White House.

@awfulannouncing They both should decline the early opt out the league wants. Let it go a few more years and maybe the tv environment and cost will be better for them when they renew.

Will Fox and CBS LOSE the NFL soon? | The Play-By-Play LIVE x.com/i/broadcasts/1…

@TheDataGooroo It’s a primary get over it hero.

Yeah good except they got outvoted by Dems in a state Trump won by 13 in 24!

@KarthikForTexas She saw polls showing Crockett was going to win so she jumped on the bandwagon. Maybe the endorsement cost her votes. Kamala did lose Texas by a lot.

Kamala Harris’ endorsement for Crockett looks like a really terrible decision now.

@TonerousHyus @EdAsante77 True, it’s like a basketball game the missed shots suck, but in the end it’s how many points you score.

@StevenK8990 @EdAsante77 It was bad at least on the cross tabs

👀

@TonerousHyus @EdAsante77 Guess Emerson poll wasn’t that bad.

@EdAsante77 Travis saved his butt so big he’d have lost otherwise. I hate Austin