MoMoneyBitchez
11K posts
*IRAN TO OPEN HORMUZ 30 DAYS AFTER US DEAL TO END FIGHTING - NIKKEI
*IRAN WOULD PROCEED WITH CLEARING MINES FROM THE STRAIT DURING A 30-DAY WINDOW FOLLOWING AN AGREEMENT - NIKKEI
*CEASEFIRE AGREED ON BY THE U.S. AND IRAN IN EARLY APRIL WOULD BE EXTENDED FOR 60 DAYS - NIKKEI
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@SamanthaLaDuc US/Israel know their deal will be rejected. They are counting on it. By putting together a detailed deal and pretending it's GCC consensus, US/Israel construct the pretext for war resumption when Iran flat out rejects it. They will claim Iran is defying the "global community"
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“If the royal houses try to pivot back to the Abraham Accords and openly cozy up to Israel, they are looking at absolute chaos at home.”
I stand by my pre-war warning:
IRAN RISK IS NOT PRICED IN
samanthaladuc.com/p/prepare-for-…
Prepare For A Protracted Middle East War
JH@CRUDEOIL231
This completely seals the deal for me. It’s dead on arrival. Nobody who actually understands the Middle East would even mention the Abraham Accords with a straight face right now. Of course the monarchs and royals want to avoid a massive regional conflict. But their absolute worst nightmare is a second Arab Spring knocking on their palace doors. Look at where the Arab street stands today. If the royal houses try to pivot back to the Abraham Accords and openly cozy up to Israel, they are looking at absolute chaos at home. There is zero structural substance to this deal. If the plumbing was actually working behind the scenes, they wouldn’t need to blast the tape with this garbage. #oott #iran
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@Evilazulan MbS is an imbecile. Imagine thinking your savior is Israel. Imagine convincing yourself that your nations future lies with the people trying to eradicate you.
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I like MBS but it's annoying me that it's taking/ taken so long for him to figure it out. Sectarian bullshit ruining regional alliances and security is extremely silly in 2026
MoMoneyBitchez@StragglerPoo
@INArteCarloDoss Dumb ass Saudis led by Prince Retard finally figured out that changing sides from Islam (regardless of Sunni or Shia) to the US-Israel axis is going to backfire. UAE still hasnt gotten the memo
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BREAKING: Anti-ICE protesters taking over grounds outside facility in Newark, New Jersey.
Situation rapidly growing out of control.
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Financial journalist and “1929” author Andrew Ross Sorkin warns a major market crash is coming, we just don't know exactly when it'll happen or just how bad it'll be.
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@FinanceLancelot If its already off how can it TACO later? Its already off. We need threats tomorrow and a walk back of threats
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@FinanceLancelot Israel won't let the US sit idle forever. They will demand more strikes eventually. Soon
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@INArteCarloDoss Dumb ass Saudis led by Prince Retard finally figured out that changing sides from Islam (regardless of Sunni or Shia) to the US-Israel axis is going to backfire. UAE still hasnt gotten the memo
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BREAKING: Hopes of a US-Iran agreement crumble, Iran claims Washington has 'retreated' on key mutual understandings.
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@INArteCarloDoss Historically only small sets of citizens will revolt when there are gross injustices. Large sets of citizens only revolt when there is hunger. It has always taken threats to the publics' next meals to make anger kinetic. Wait
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Not sure when will sleeping pigs and sheep wake-up and revolt, but the lower quintiles are being crushed by energy and other AI inferred cost inflation while waiting to be displaced from their low octane jobs…by AI. How this did not yield a social revolt yet is anyone’s guess
Ernie Tedeschi@ernietedeschi
Interesting note. As the authors point out, software & accessories inflation in PCE--part of durable goods--is the highest since the series began in the late 1970s. This is a plausible channel where AI demand could be weighing on measured core PCE inflation. The authors argue that in principle, the PCE "software & accessories" category should *not* include flash drives & blank media, but the CPI index the BEA uses for this PCE category includes these items, which, since memory prices are skyrocketing under AI demand, may be incorrectly boosting PCE software & accessory prices. Worth noting however that even if you exclude flash drives & blank media from PCE software & accessories, it needs to be accounted for *somewhere* else in PCE durable goods, e.g. "personal computers & peripheral equipment". Shifting the subcategory accounting of flash memory won't change overall core goods or core PCE inflation, it's just switching the effect from one pocket to another. I agree with them it's worth thinking about hedonic adjustments to software due to AI but it's not clear to me how that affects NAND. Interestingly, if you exclude software & accessories entirely from PCE durables, YTD durable price increases in 2026 are still high but a bit less extraordinary relative to other recent non-recession years, but 2025 durables price increases look modestly *more* extraordinary.
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@nypost the virus can be defeated by public indifference. Watch
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Hantavirus is gaining ground in the US, startling researchers: 'Widespread and complex virus' trib.al/Xa8U8ly
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@ProfessorPape looks like they reached an impasse in the self-negotiations. 🤣
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Trump just posted:
He told negotiators not to rush because “time” is on his side
The US blockade will continue
This is Trump saying a deal is not coming soon after all
The trap continues
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@Mdw37683404 @MarioNawfal Everything is a lie. Go back to bed
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disastrous deal. Trump, for some reason, folded to Iran. Could be inner pressure, but I'm not sure. We need Israel to now go in and finish the job without the US. Trump should have finished this job; the regime was on their last leg. The IRGC was about to surrender, and instead Trump surrendered.
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The most detailed account of the deal yet shows a far more conditional framework than the early leaks suggested...
Per a U.S. official to Axios, the structure is a 60 day MOU built on one principle Trump set: "relief for performance."
Iran gets nothing upfront.
During the 60 days, Iran opens Hormuz with no tolls and clears its mines.
In exchange, the U.S. lifts the blockade and grants some oil waivers.
Two details cut against the Iranian victory narrative.
U.S. forces stay in the region the entire 60 days and only leave if a final deal is reached.
The frozen billions only unlock with a verified final nuclear agreement.
Iran committed to never pursue weapons and to negotiate giving up its enriched uranium.
Tehran still has not confirmed publicly.
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🇺🇸🇮🇷 The deal includes something the earlier leaks left out: Iran apparently committed to give up its enriched uranium stockpile... Per two U.S. officials to the NYT, Tehran agreed in principle to surrender the roughly 970 pounds of 60% enriched uranium that justified the entire war. Iran originally wanted that pushed to a later stage. U.S. negotiators reportedly threatened to walk away and resume bombing without it in the initial phase. The catch is the word "how." The proposal does not settle the method, whether Iran hands the stockpile to Russia, downblends it, or something else. That goes to the next round. The leverage is the money. Iran only gets the bulk of its frozen assets once a final nuclear deal is signed. And Iran still has not publicly confirmed any of it.
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@MarioNawfal Why do you think it's 60 days? Because it's all about the World Cup 2026. After the final, bombs away.
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@MarioNawfal What made Iran cave to everything?? Seems like a good deal. Hope it lasts
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