MoMoneyBitchez
9.8K posts
@INArteCarloDoss @kenklippenstein They're are still going g to have to unload and encampment all these soldiers. Bluff or no bluff, Iran is going to missile strike them in the camp just in case
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@kenklippenstein pretty dumb strategic deception because not only are they not scared, but they want the invasion to happen, they can’t wait…because they want to push the start on the meat grinder…
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A conventional ground invasion of Iran is not imminent; military sources tell me that the Pentagon is just trying to scare them using strategic deception: kenklippenstein.com/p/is-a-ground-…
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Someone around Sleepy Ayatollah should break it to him:
the minute they attack Kharg and the other islands, the Red Sea Beb-El-Mendeb gets shut and Iran bombs the Suez Canal.
Ofc when this will happens, sleepy will say no one thought they would.
OSINTdefender@sentdefender
U.S. President Donald J. Trump appears to be leaning toward ordering a “major ground operation” against Iran, involving the seizure of Iran’s Kharg Island in the Northern Persian Gulf, with Washington convinced Tehran will buckle under such military pressure, an official from one of the countries mediating between the U.S. and Iran tells The Times of Israel.
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@SamanthaLaDuc @EthanLevins2 @allthingsf74065 Iran has been targeting IDF bases relentlessly. The inability to resupply IDF will render them useless. When the region understands this, there will CERTAINLY be a call for Jihad and Muslims will storm into Israel from all sides and slaughter everyone they can find. Its coming
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@EthanLevins2 @allthingsf74065 If only we could trust any of the news or speeches we hear.
At some point, the bombs will just stop and we will know.
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The head of the IDF told Netanyahu and leaders the military is collapsing.
It was leaked to the public.
HOW IS THIS NOT MAJOR NEWS?!
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@INArteCarloDoss US CRE is a fucking smoking crater already and will get far worse with energy lockdown. I can only imagine how bad the EU situation will get with total de-industrialization incoming. Learn to farm
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@SamanthaLaDuc US will amass troops somewhere. They're going to take hits. SPX drops to 6100-6200. Trump pauses. SPX rallies to 20 MA put in a shoulder. Then regardless of war escalation, mkts finally figure out they're way behind in terms of pricing to actual risk. Then we crash to 3500. 1929
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Trump says he doesn’t know yet about Friday’s Iran deadline. Iran is not waiting.
*Walter Bloomberg@DeItaone
IRAN PREPARES 1 MILLION TROOPS FOR U.S. INVASION Iran is reportedly ready to deploy over 1 million fighters if the U.S. launches a ground invasion, according to Tasnim News Agency citing an IRGC source. Recent days have seen a surge of enlistment requests to the Basij, Revolutionary Guards, and Army. The source warned that Iran is prepared to counter U.S. attempts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz while maintaining its closure.
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@FinanceLancelot High oil isn't the real problem. The lack of petrodollar recycling is the real problem. If this continues, it means Iran controls the Strait and the US cannot enforce the petrodollar. Goodbye trillions of current and future investment
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WATCH: BlackRock's Larry Fink say the quiet part out loud. He implies the U.S. must finish the war with Iran at all costs, because losing it means a great depr/recession.
"If there's a cessation of war and yet Iran remains a threat... We could have years, years of $100-150 oil."
Financelot@FinanceLancelot
US Oil surged to $91 as Qatar's energy minister warns oil prices could rise to $150 within two weeks. Back in July 2008, oil skyrocketed to $147 a barrel which completely shutdown the U.S. economy. This helped trigger the stock market crash 60 days later.
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 "I am the opposite of desperate; I don’t care."
— Trump
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@DanBilzerian @FoxNews No one believes him. People are just numb to the constant bullshit
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@FoxNews How many times does a guy have to lie to you before you stop believing what he says
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@APBear76 Australia, NZ and a bunch of little ones who don't have internet yet anyway
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USS Abraham Lincoln did a 90 degree evasive manoeuvre
Cool.
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JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 President Trump says he’s unsure if they’re able to or willing to make a deal with Iran.
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PRESIDENT TRUMP TO THE UK:
"They said we will send our aircraft carriers, which aren't the best aircraft carriers by the way, they are toys compared to what we have, when the war is over. I said that's wonderful, we don't need it, we don't need them."
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@biancoresearch The half life is shrinking. Pretty soon everyone will just put Trump on mute when they see his face
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Quick summary of the week:
Monday, 48 hours almost up, we are going to blow everything up
Wednesday, we are going to get a deal.
Thursday, no deal, we are going to blow everything up.
How many more cycles of this will we have by next week?
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@DeItaone Does that mean we currently aren't taking this seriously? Orange Idiot spewing senile nonsense
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TRUMP: WE WILL TAKE VERY DRASTIC MEASURES IF THE SHUTDOWN CONTINUES.
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Senior Iranian official: Diplomacy has not stopped, and if realism prevails in Washington, a path forward may still be found
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@INArteCarloDoss Dead men dont stand trial unless ICC tries in absentia
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@MasterPandaWu They are fake TACOs. Israel is in charge. Trump is simply tweeting for insider trading opportunities. Mkts are figuring out this is going to get a lot worse. Iran has no reason to stop. This is a fight to oblivion for either Iran or Israel. They cannot coexist
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Out of 80% 0dtx SPY calls at double.
Keep 3/27 SPY 658 calls for a potential "peace talk" announcement after today's close--President Trump is scheduled to make an announcement after close, some speculated it may be a "war threat," but my suspect that would be THE LAST TACO.
Master WU@MasterPandaWu
Bought CALLS at open, as the market would continue chopping between 6530 and 6620, until Friday, when "who is begging whom" for ceasefire negotiation is clear. Either Blue Path or Red Path to new low after hitting 6616 one more time. Not convinced either way, leaning BLUE.
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@ShanghaiMacro @Geo_papic There is a constraint on the US even when a recession is triggered. The constraint is the ability to recover from a recession.
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My biggest concern is that Gulf countries themselves seem increasingly aligned with the idea that the US should continue striking Iran until the threat is completely removed. I mean…if the countries that suffer the most from the war do not give a fk, maybe an escalation is still possible. The only factor constraining Trump at this point appears to be the risk of a global recession. But as you said, once Iran’s block of Hormuz indeed triggers a global recession, then there is no constraint on the US…
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Lots of chatter today on US using ground troops to escalate the situation.
Qeshm: the MOST strategic, but huge and difficult to hold. Full of Iranian military
Kharg: gives US leverage due to oil, but well defended
Abu Musa and Tunbs: iffy strategic value, but offers US plausible deniability that it did not invade Iran
Because Abu Musa and Tunbs are disputed between Iran and UAE, there could be some way for US to spin that as not really that escalatory.
All seems pretty risky to me. Risk-Reward is dubious at best. Market won't like any of it.
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