

while everyone was guessing whether the US would strike Iran - one wallet already knew the answer. and had $74K on it at 10 cents. this is a truly anonymous account. Today I'm showing it to you > here's what that looks like in practice. February 2026. US strikes Iran market sitting at 10 cents. the crowd thinks it's a longshot. Anon drops $74,086 on YES. strikes happen. $275,278 out. +271%. but that was just one trade. Khamenei out as Supreme Leader? YES at 85 cents -> $1,118,141. US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? YES at 62 cents -> $564,744. Iran x Israel/US conflict ends? YES at 61 cents -> $334,520. US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? YES at 38 cents -> $209,954. every position: Iran. every answer: it's happening. right now he's sitting on Iranian regime collapse by 2027 at 41 cents. Reza Pahlavi entering Iran by June 30 at 60 cents. $733K in active positions. the thesis hasn't changed since day one. copy trade via @ProbTradeAI: app.prob.trade/traders/0xde7b… either this is the most informed geopolitical trader on Polymarket. or someone very close to these negotiations has a @Polymarket account. the wallet doesn't explain itself.


















