Sweaty_Goat
2.6K posts

Sweaty_Goat
@SweatyGoat_
crypto tragic
Brisbane, Queensland Katılım Mayıs 2011
180 Takip Edilen1.3K Takipçiler

@cryptomanran Ha ha this is God punishing you for the way you handled $GUMMY ya muppet
Karma is a bitch
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Sweaty_Goat retweetledi

🚨 HERE’S WHY BITCOIN IS NONSTOP DUMPING RIGHT NOW
If you still think $BTC trades like a supply-and-demand asset, you MUST read this carefully.
Because that market no longer exists.
What you’re watching right now is not normal price action.
It’s not “weak hands.”
It’s not sentiment.
And it’s definitely not retail selling.
Most people are completely unaware what’s happening.
And by the time it becomes obvious, the damage is already done.
This move didn’t start today.
It’s been building quietly under the surface for months.
And now it’s accelerating.
Here’s the truth:
The moment supply can be synthetically created, scarcity is gone.
And when scarcity is gone, price stops being discovered on-chain and starts being set in derivatives.
That is exactly what happened to Bitcoin.
And it’s the same structural break that already happened to:
→ Gold
→ Silver
→ Oil
→ Equities
Once derivatives took over.
The original Bitcoin thesis is broken.
Bitcoin’s valuation was built on two ideas:
→ A hard cap of 21 million
→ No rehypothecation
That framework died the moment Wall Street layered this on top of the chain:
→ Cash-settled futures
→ Perpetual swaps
→ Options
→ ETFs
→ Prime broker lending
→ Wrapped BTC
→ Total return swaps
From that point forward Bitcoin supply became theoretically INFINITE.
Not on-chain.
But in price discovery, which is what actually matters.
Synthetic Float Ratio (SFR).
The metric that explains everything.
Once synthetic supply overwhelms real supply, price no longer responds to demand.
It responds to positioning, hedging, and liquidation flows.
Wall Street can now trade against Bitcoin.
They’re not guessing direction.
They’re doing what they do in every derivatives-dominated market:
1⃣ Create unlimited paper BTC
2⃣ Short into rallies
3⃣ Force liquidations
4⃣ Cover lower
5⃣ Repeat
This isn’t “betting.”
It’s inventory manufacturing.
One real BTC can now simultaneously back:
→ An ETF share
→ A futures contract
→ A perpetual swap
→ An options delta
→ A broker loan
→ A structured note
All at THE SAME TIME.
That’s six claims on one coin.
That is not a free market.
That is a fractional-reserve price system wearing a Bitcoin mask.
Ignore it if you want, but don’t pretend you weren’t warned.
I’ve been calling Bitcoin tops and bottoms for over a decade now, and I’ll do it again in 2026.
Follow and turn on notifications before it's too late.

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Sweaty_Goat retweetledi

@FefeDemeny This is the danger post. If you get it wrong here and we keep going up instead of back down, this is the point in time your followers get rekt …🤷
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@JohnRuddick2 @Matt_Camenzuli Impossible to get a mortgage and have multiple kids in Australia. Government mortgages at 3% will fix the problem ( and borrowing capacity takes into account future earnings of the parent at home caring for the young)
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Australia wont exist in a generation if we don’t solve the baby drought … so what to do?
Had a nice dinner with @Matt_Camenzuli and others tonight.
Matt suggested 0% income tax for families with four kids.
Discuss.
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Sweaty_Goat retweetledi

WE FINALLY KNOW WHY THE MARKET CRASHED ON 10 OCTOBER AND WHY IT JUST CANT BOUNCE!
We never really understood why the big crypto crash started on October 10th and why we couldn't even get a single meaningful bounce!
Today the answer seem simple!
Let me break it down.
1. DAT's like MSTR, BMNR and others have been one of 2 big buyers that powered this cycle.
2. The DAT game is simple, you need to be the biggest so that you get into the big indices and when you do, passive index trackers are forced to buy large amounts of your stock. As they do you get bigger and get added to more indices, and so the cycle perpetuates.
3. On EXACTLY 10th October, MSCI , the world's 2nd biggest Index company published the below. They are questioning whether companies that hold crypto assets as their core business, should be considered as "companies" or "funds".
4. If they are "funds" they are not included in passive indexing. why, because this creates a circular loop. The fund buys assets , gets bigger and then is included in more indices and buys more assets.
5. The expected ruling will be announced on 15 January 2026 and if this does pass, the companies like MSTR will be automatically removed from all indices.
6. If this happens it would mean that all the pension funds, normal funds and all other passive index holders would dump their MSTR automatically.
7. It would also mean that going forward they would never be included and as such , one of the big reasons why they actually exist would disappear.
8 . Since DATs have been powering this cycle and have been most the buying pressure, the smart money saw this immediately after the 10TH of October announcement and positioned accordingly.
9. The 10TH of October wasn't a coincidence after all - It was smart money seeing a big risk to crypto and the current market structure.
10. The market will probably continue to dum until around the end of December and if the announcement is negative, we will get a huge dump in preparation for the removal from the indices.
11. On the other hand , if it is positive , the bull market is back!!
I broke this down on a 10 minute video this morning and I will leave a link in the next tweet!
If you enjoyed this analysis, please retweet and follow this account!

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SOLANA BIGGEST OPEN RUG OF 2025 JUST HAPPENED
Insiders with 0 trade history drop 50k on Polymarket “Will Solomon raise $40M, $60M, $80M & $100M?”
How Solomon ICO jumped from $12M to $100M+ in the last hours:
→ First 45+ hours: only ~$12M committed.
→ Cloudflare outage → platform down for most retail users.
→ Last ~2 hours: site barely back online.
→ Insiders + MetaDAO team wallets start slamming millions per minute (no per-wallet limit)
→ From $46M → $100M+ in minutes
→ Force the raise to 100M+
→ Pocket 5-10M risk-free on Poly bets
→ Dilute every retail bag
→ Refund their own multi-million wallets and keep the cash Retail got robbed BEFORE the token even launched.
Now they’ll get dumped on for dessert.This isn’t degen.
This is straight-up organized crime on chain.Polymarket turned into a money printer for scammers.
Solana turned into a casino where the house brings its own loaded dice. Fuck @MetaDAOProject


Solana@solana
$100 million committed 🤯 The future of capital formation is Solana
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@FefeDemeny @noBScrypto Dude thinks he can see the future now lol
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If you are not selling because "you are down 40% already" listen to this.
Thanks for teh invitation @noBScrypto
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@FefeDemeny Everyone thought Plan B could predict the market back in 2021, and we all remember what happened there eventually lol
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I’m all-in.
I’m going to be completely and utterly honest here, and this is the gods honest truth.
I have sold my entire crypto portfolio (excluding long term $BTC spot that I will never sell).
And in the past few hours I have deployed all stables (30%) + and thrown it all on top of my short positions. No joke. As all-in as I can get. Pedal to the metal. Money where my mouth is.
I’m either going to make hundreds of millions from my leverage short positions or I will go bust.
If I go bust, it’s fine, I will take my BTC spot, cold storage, delete my X account and live off my real estate, and other passive incomes and still drive off into the sun set with my wife and 4 kids.
However, if I’m right, which I truly believe I am right, and we go lower $67-92K here’s the deal:
1. I’m wrong - I delete my account forever.
2. I’m right ($92k) - you do a public apology saying James Wynn was correct all along.
Deal? Comment deal. If you will adhere to this bet.
- Wynn
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