Chase Munoz
417 posts
Chase Munoz
@TMillionAdviser
Licensed adviser since 2004 | NASDAQ over S&P500 | 10-12 Titan stocks | Fly business class for $200 | Teaching the system they don't want you to know
Olympia, WA Katılım Haziran 2024
57 Takip Edilen53 Takipçiler
JUST IN: April CPI inflation jumped to 3.8%. Higher than expected. Highest increase since 2023.
3.8% is just the average.
Energy commodities are up+29.2%
Gasoline is up +28.4%
Airfare is up +20.7%
Energy is up +17.9%
No amount of “budgeting” can excuse the fact that inflation is robbing us blind.
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There needs so much more this to be a bubble. It's not even close.
NASDAQ up 118% in 3 years. Dotcom was 297%.
No issuance of stock in crap non-revenue companies like Dotcom or SPAC BS in COVID. That's THE clear sign of bubbledom.
Companies have actual revenues, cash on hand.
Very few garbage ones that are making headlines.
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WARNING:
🇺🇸 The U.S. stock market is following a 100-year-old pattern.
Livermore's Speculative Chart. 14 phases.
The S&P 500 is entering phase 7.
Phase 7 is where it crashes hard.
Every time. Without exception.
Warren Buffett: $400B in cash. "We've never had people in a more gambling mood than now."
Michael Burry: $1B short on AI. "Feels like 1999."
Now Livermore's 100-year pattern: entering phase 7.
Three signals. Same direction.
Prepare accordingly.
Merlijn The Trader@MerlijnTrader
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Warren Buffett the greatest investor in history just repeated himself. 1999: "Euphoria is the enemy" Walked away from the rally. Result: dot-com crash. Down 78%. 2026: "We've never had people in a more gambling mood than now." $400B in cash. Zero purchases. Michael Burry: $1B short on AI. "Feels like 1999." Warren Buffett: $400B in cash. "Worse than 1999." Two of the greatest investors alive. Same year. Same warning. Same answer. Cash. Not stocks. Are you listening?
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@MerlijnTrader Probably only in phase 3-4 really. Margins are great, profits are even better. No one is gambling they're buying quality companies with massive earnings.
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BREAKING: Inflation is once more rising faster than paychecks, per WSJ
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@BullTheoryio The market has to move SOMETHING every day. These are the smallest movements. It's nothing. A random Tuesday.
You don't need to get out of bed unless it moves 3%.
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BREAKING: $300 billion wiped out from US markets at open.
S&P 500 down -0.45%, wiping out $270 billion.
Nasdaq down -0.95%, wiping out $285 billion.
CPI just came in at 3.8%, the highest since May 2023, above the 3.7% expectation.
The market is now pricing in a 35.2% chance of a rate hike in 2026.
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Uh what?! Why are Semis red?! $SMH
It is time to start panicking
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@TedPillows Total stock market valuation 65-70 Trillion.
300 Billion = 0.43% movement
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When someone says QQQM is heavy in tech, remind them that when you include $GOOG $TSLA $AMZN AND $META THE S&P is 51% tech.
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The NASDAQ is up 118% over the last 3 years.
Sounds terrifying right?
Here's what the dot-com bubble looked like at its peak:
+297% over 3 years.
Today's AI rally is less than HALF the dot-com peak.
And this time the companies driving it have:
$402 billion in Alphabet revenue
$215 billion in NVIDIA revenue
Net margins of 32-55%
In 1999 they had PowerPoint presentations.
Same word. Completely different market.
Day 1,259 of the AI bubble that never came.
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@cryptorover He called it in 2005, but missed two years worth of gains that came after that. He's been betting against NVDA and PLTR for months but losing money on them.
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🇺🇸 MICHAEL BURRY IS CALLING THE NEXT US STOCK MARKET CRASH!!!
When he warned us last time - the entire financial system collapsed
Now read carefully:
Real Estate (2005) - "The market is broken. I'm not wrong, the market is wrong"
Then S&P crashed 57%.
$725M profit for his investors
AI Bubble (2026) - "Sell"
And these aren't just words
He just placed a $1,100,000,000 short against the AI bubble
- $912M against Palantir
- $187M against Nvidia.
The same man Wall Street called crazy in 2007 is now positioned identically against AI.
FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON
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Quality of labor cited as single most important problem for small businesses in April followed by taxes according to @NFIB
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Chase Munoz retweetledi
"The first rule of compounding is to never interrupt it unnecessarily.” -Charlie Munger
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Can someone explain to me like I’m in elementary school as to why $MU and $AMD are falling off a cliff in the overnight market? 🤔
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Just got off a call with a massive hedge fund manager
Asked what he thinks the market will do next
He's predicting a massive Black Tuesday Crash
By the way, when I say "massive", I mean he is incredibly overweight (450 pounds).
He only manages like $1.2 million and loses money most years.
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Investors are getting too optimistic…
Kalshi@Kalshi
BREAKING: Odds of a recession this year plummet to 17% — an all-time low.
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@simplecentsco @NickUSA01 We can typically get through oil at $100/barrell. It sucks, but we get through it.
Over 100, certainly 120 for prolonged periods, at least 3 months, usually 6 months is where the pain gets in.
We're not there yet.
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@NickUSA01 @TMillionAdviser It’s 100% going to start spilling into all industries soon…as if prices weren’t already high enough now 😒
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Costco Predicts That There's a Recession
"Costco is predicting a recession based on one buying habit we've always seen when there's a recession..."
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He still retains his long positions. He's said that. I 2008 is his.
Everyone and anyone can call the meme-stock crash. He wants credit for that one. Okay.
He says he called bank closures but there weren't that many and had very little movement in the market overall.
Dr. Burry is a good dude.
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@WhaleNoName Not even close. The NASDAQ was up 297% the three years prior to the dotcom bubble bursting.
It's only up 118% the last three years.
We have a LONG way to go.
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🚨 S&P 500 LOOKS LIKE NASDAQ IN 2000
Same blow-off top
Same double top rejection
Same opening leg of the correction
The overlay isn't subtle
Last time this pattern played out, the index lost 78% in two years
Recovery took 15
Most people who bought the top never broke even. They just stopped checking
Retail is doing the exact same thing right now
NOTIFS ON!
Kalshi@Kalshi
JUST IN: S&P 500 closes at record high of 7,412
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