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Bitcoin Outlook 2026 Q1 : Dead Cat Bounce, Katalis nya dari External. Q2 : Tariff War, Perang Senjata. Q3 - Q4 : Calm, Bottom of Cycle Expected and prepare to build up Next Halving. Katalis nya mungkin agak meleset tapi Pergerakan harga bisa di ekspektasi mengikuti.

SENIOR IRANIAN OFFICIAL: TEHRAN WILL NOT ACCEPT DEADLINES OR PRESSURE TO MAKE A DECISION SENIOR IRANIAN OFFICIAL: TEHRAN WILL NOT REOPEN STRAIT OF HORMUZ IN EXCHANGE FOR A 'TEMPORARY CEASEFIRE' SENIOR IRANIAN OFFICIAL: TEHRAN BELIEVES THAT THE UNITED STATES LACKS READINESS FOR A PERMANENT CEASEFIRE

$BTC From top , to bottom I don't often use caps, especially in my title, but when I do, it's whenever I close a lot of leverage. That was at the silver pocket. Not the only level, but a strong baseline to start building around an idea of an important level. Now, we are at the other side of it, the bottom. Had some hick-ups along the way, I'll always keep my execution real. But we mostly made money. And, as always, the system worked perfectly. And the same way high leverage positions were closed, I'm building big again for the other side of it. One spot buy in, 2 long positions active, and ready to trade the trend upwards.

CT presence has collapsed over 90% since the peak of active users in 2025. This is crazy.

$BTC, our 63k bottom call, increasing the boldness The bottom is in for two months at least (please read the details before concluding) Five days ago, I mentioned that we likely see a potential bottom in our purple POI, and do so around 63k. Drew my arrow and squigly, and so here we are. Yesterday, price reached that level, and so I repeated this is likely a significant bottom. This also was the next significant area where I seriously consider flipping back to bullish after going bearish from 81k above us. I know it feels like Yesterday that price was at 81k, almost as if flipping bullish again here is a flip-flop. But in a bear market, bitcoin (crypto) drops fast, and a bearish bias doesn't have to be held for a very long time. $BTC dropped another 23% since I flipped bearish so that proves enough. My main stance also has been that I do not believe this to be a 60%+ bear market, nor will we drop much lower in the second half of the year 2026. So, with everything being called out in advance (since 81k), the level responding as it should, and local confirmation saying (to large extent) that this is a significant low, with quantitative data showing at least 2 months of repair necessary to undo the damage, right off our level, in a bear market, that repair means upside. So, I am going to make a bold call, based on all that data, based on all the sentiment, even ancient bears coming back up and suddenly calling for 50k, that's the perfect time to think this low is likely going to hold for at least 2 months. You may think: "what's the point". But it allows us to farm trades in the range and know that every proximity to range low is a good long, as well as early visits to range high (tbd) is a good short. And what happens after, might also become a surprise. I understand everyone is bearish, and I don't want this information to be taken like gospel. In recent time, we have seen I can be wrong as well. Although my bullish bias did end up holding into a range for a long time and resulting in nice trades off it, it was wrong and I expressed myself too loudly towards the end of it. So instead, I decided to change the details, into how I just think the low holds, and anything forth-flowing from that is natural, the tone remains the same however (bullish from 63k). And I will simply continue to take logical trades from there using that bias. Because I can't go against the data, the system and what we planned. So, after turning bearish at 81k, I will be bullish for a while again at 63k. I believe a range forms, and it's most likely favourably traded longside (but I will also be taking shorts). Not the most popular opinion. Many are busy engagement farming the bear market, of course. But I promise you the peak (today, Yesterday), happened at the worst times. Seeing some opinion hedging happening of how this could be a bottom as Feb March in bear markets are green. But without any action, it's just opinion hedging. So I just want to keep it honest and clear, what my thoughts are and how I see this progress whether it's right or wrong. Do not be surprised if we lose the low before end of March, just look at my trades, how I act and whether my bias changes again. But many of you know that I stick to my bias for a long time, it usually plays out for a long time, makes a lot of money, until right, or proven wrong. Again, a weekly close (or anticipated earlier per clear post), invalidates the bias and we can talk about 50k or below. But for now, that's not the case as long as our 63k is the bottom idea holds, as well as our "this won't be a 70-80% bear market". Cautiously for now by holding a low risk long, and 1 spot buy in, but more strongly later if confirmation leads us further.

$BTC longs Next target hit 💰Now patiently waiting for 70k+ Alright! Our next target we mapped out a few days ago is now hit. Indeed, as mentioned last post the bears had their round of engagement farming once (before Monday opens). Where they indeed came out with their macro thesis and how "Monday will close red" or "lead to new lows" or "how it's a good time to short". And twice, after Monday closed that also a green Monday would still lead to new lows anyways. All posted into the lows each time. Works well for engagement farming because people like to follow bearish posts when prices are low. But in terms of making money, they are all left in the dust now and compromised in their shorts. They won't tell you they're short now though because that would ruin their imagine. But anyone who watched order flow, can easily see many of them were short (hint - check the mid to low size section of aggressive short CVD on Monday open and after Monday closed). All power to engagement farmers by the way. I have nothing against it. But it's my job to keep my audience on the right side of the trade, not on the right side of the engagement, so we keep tracking the dynamics and use it as sentiment. I thank you for participating in this long. And if you remember, we are not calling it a win yet. If we hit 70k+ area, our final target before runners, then this is our second win in a row once again, and then we also have runners left for a potential juicy breakout. Enjoy.