Tal Mor

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Tal Mor

Tal Mor

@TalBMor

Building rooms for deals 🤝 Prediction markets | Web2→Web3 | Agentic Finance | Sports CEO & Founder @MoreandMoreBD & @TheOddsPredict

World Katılım Mayıs 2011
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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
@IntuitMachine Delegating workdays to AI, still doing the apologizing myself.
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Carlos E. Perez
Carlos E. Perez@IntuitMachine·
Most people think AI adoption = more chat messages. Wrong. New data on 100K+ users shows something different: People aren't talking to AI anymore. They're delegating entire workdays to it. 🧵 What the Codex data actually reveals: For the past 2 years, we've measured AI adoption the wrong way: • Monthly active users • Messages sent • Queries per day But these metrics miss the entire story. The real shift isn't conversational → more conversational. It's conversational → agentic. Users went from asking questions to handing off multi-step tasks that run for hours while they do other work. Inside OpenAI, 99.8% of output tokens now come from agentic workflows. Not chat. Not back-and-forth. Delegation. These are tasks that would take a human 8+ hours to complete. Think of it this way: Old: "Can you help me debug this function?" New: "Build the entire feature, run tests, integrate with API, document it—I'll check back in 3 hours." That's the gap. The most sophisticated users run 5-10 agents concurrently. They're not using AI as an assistant. They're using it as a distributed workforce. Parallel delegation is the new normal. Where did this start? Software engineering. Why? Two reasons: Tasks are verifiable (code runs or it doesn't) Engineers were already thinking in modular workflows But it's spreading fast: • Legal teams: Contract review, research memos • Operations: Process docs, data pipelines • Research: Literature synthesis, analysis Anywhere verification costs are manageable. Here's the leverage point most orgs miss: Reusable "skills" (workflow templates). Users who build custom skills for their team see 3-5x higher adoption rates. Why? They capture org-specific context once, reuse forever. Example skill: "Take this API spec → generate client library → write tests → create integration docs → submit PR" One skill. Invoked 47 times across the team in a quarter. That's 376 human-days of work, delegated. The constraint is no longer: "Is the model smart enough?" It's: "Can I clearly specify what I want?" "Can I verify the output efficiently?" Management becomes the bottleneck. Hot take: ChatGPT is already legacy tech. The product isn't the chatbot. It's the agent runtime underneath. Output token growth for heavy users: • Individual users: 10x in 6 months • Organizational users: 15-25x • OpenAI internal: 50x Why the gap? Organizational friction. What creates friction: • Security policies (data access) • Lack of internal training • Verification overhead • Missing workflow redesign Remove these → output explodes. The study tracked 3 groups: Individual users: Fastest to adopt, lowest complexity Organizations: Slower start, higher ceiling once skills institutionalize OpenAI internal: Asymptotic—nearly all work is agentic This is your adoption roadmap. New KPI to track: % of output tokens from agentic tasks Not "messages sent." Not "active users." Output tokens = actual delegated work. Another hot take: Software engineers will be the first middle-management class partially automated by tools they built. The irony is thick. If you're a team lead, start here: Pick your top 3 repetitive workflows Build one "skill" for each Train 5 people to use them Measure: skill invocations per week Time to value: 4-6 weeks. OpenAI's internal data shows the ceiling when all friction is removed: 10-50x output growth. That's not hype. That's measured reality in an optimized environment. The shift from chat to agentic AI is already happening. The question isn't "if." It's "how fast can your org adapt?" Bottleneck = delegation skill + verification infrastructure. Who's already making this shift? 👇
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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
@Timmysofine Step one: admit the roadmap changes again tomorrow.
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Oluwatimileyin✨🦋
Oluwatimileyin✨🦋@Timmysofine·
Do you want to learn Agentic AI, but don’t know where to start? Here’s the order I’d learn it in 2026:
Oluwatimileyin✨🦋 tweet media
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Shalini Goyal
Shalini Goyal@goyalshaliniuk·
Not long ago, AI was a tool you used. Now, it's becoming a teammate that thinks, plans, and acts on its own. This shift is being driven by a new wave: Agentic AI. These systems don’t just respond — they take initiative, make decisions, and get things done. Here’s a breakdown of the 4 most powerful Agentic AI design patterns each unlocking a unique approach to intelligent decision-making and task execution. Here’s what each pattern brings to the table: 1. Agentic Self-Reflection The AI critiques and improves its own output through self-reflection. It generates a response, evaluates it, and revises — all autonomously. 2. ReAct Pattern Combines reasoning and acting in loops. The AI uses tools, observes results, and iterates on its response until the final answer is accurate. 3. Multi-Agent Pattern Involves multiple agents with specialized roles. They communicate, delegate, and aggregate results to solve complex tasks together. 4. Planning Pattern The AI breaks a goal into smaller tasks, executes them with agents, and replans dynamically if something fails or needs adjustment. 📌 Save this as your go-to reference for building smarter, more autonomous AI agents using proven architecture patterns.
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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
@mikenevermiss One GitHub repo now replaces an entire engineering excuse.
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MIKE
MIKE@mikenevermiss·
anthropic just removed the biggest excuse people had for not building ai agents. “it’s too hard.” not anymore. a few months ago, building an ai agent meant learning how to code, setting up apis, configuring servers, and fixing endless errors. today, all you need is one github repo. anthropic open-sourced launch your agent. it asks what you want to build. then it does the rest. it builds your agent, deploys it to the cloud, tests it, improves it, and keeps it running even after you close your laptop. no fake demos. no complicated setup. just a real ai agent running in your own account. the best part. it doesn’t run on your computer. it runs inside claude managed agents, works 24/7, and costs just a few cents per run. people are already building research agents, lead generation systems, content pipelines, and customer support agents that save hours of work every day. the gap between people who use ai and people who build ai workers is getting bigger every week. that’s usually where the biggest opportunities are. build your first ai agent before everyone else does. watch the video and read the full guide below 👇
MIKE@mikenevermiss

x.com/i/article/2072…

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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
Paris proved prediction markets deserve a room with institutions, not for crypto bros and traders. Singapore is next. The Odds: Prediction Markets Summit. Token2049 week. Oct 6. Institutions. Exchanges. AI companies. Oracles. Compliance. Market makers. Builders. We will predict the future there - Lets say 98% that we will...
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More & More
More & More@moreandmorebd·
A new builder category is forming where AI meets financial markets. Agents, Trading, Payments, Compliance, Data, and Infrastructure. We have been quietly building the room for it. Full exposure on Monday. #AgenticFinance #MoreAndMore
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Coinbase 🛡️
Coinbase 🛡️@coinbase·
Trade entire sectors in a single click. For the first time, equity index perp-style futures are live on Coinbase. Go long or short on AI, and other leading sectors. → AI10 → Defense10 → China10 → Tech100 Everything is becoming tradable, only on Coinbase.
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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
@MessariCrypto The most durable value in crypto wasn't the assets — it was the intelligence layer built around them. This acquisition proves the data layer thesis.
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Messari by Blockworks
Messari by Blockworks@MessariCrypto·
Thank you to our customers, partners, community, and team for supporting Messari tirelessly over the last 8 years. We’re excited for this next chapter.
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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
@inversebrah Retail momentum is the fuel, not the signal. When the float is this small and the narrative this loud, the algo edge is just positioning before the 401k flows arrive.
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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
@MessariCrypto AI agents as underwriters compresses due diligence from weeks to minutes. That structurally reprices illiquid markets. The question now: who audits the agent's methodology?
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Messari by Blockworks
Messari by Blockworks@MessariCrypto·
We now serve both sides of the market. Asset issuers who need to earn trust, disclose information, explain performance, and reach investors. Underwriters (investors, regulators, platforms, and AI agents) who need to analyze, review, and list those assets.
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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
@Polymarket After-hours on a private-secondary illiquid print isn't a price — it's a narrative vehicle. The algo edge here is knowing which prediction markets embed this print in their implied odds.
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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
@Polymarket The agent interface is the new CRM moat. Whoever owns the agentic touchpoint owns the data flywheel. Fin was always a distribution play, not a model play.
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
JUST IN: Salesforce to acquire AI customer service firm Fin for $3.6 billion.
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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
@Polymarket Single-model dependency in agentic pipelines is systemic risk. The DoD just made it public. Every serious shop should've already been multi-vendor.
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
JUST IN: Pentagon announces it has transitioned over two-thirds of its daily AI workflows off Anthropic to rival AI vendors.
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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
@Polymarket This market conflates infra capex (durable) with SaaS wrapper valuations (fragile). Two different bets. Price them separately and the odds look very different.
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
JUST IN: SanDisk is officially the most overbought stock in history as its RSI breaks above 99.
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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
@numerai The bottleneck isn't the agents — it's signal diversity. When every agent scrapes the same data, the Meta Model overfits to consensus. Edge lives in the uncorrelated minority.
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Numerai
Numerai@numerai·
AI agents write code while you sleep. Models self-update. Submissions run on autopilot. Community tools and Numerai's agent stack are scaling collective intelligence. More minds, more models, stronger Meta Model.
Numerai Council of Elders@NumeraiCoE

“I was wondering if it was possible for a non-data scientist to build models and become a data scientist with very little effort.” Autonomous Quant Research with AI Agents // Out of Sample Episode One youtu.be/pf-N6RF-Ss4

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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
@chamath Every agentic research stack built on Claude just became a compliance liability overnight. Multi-model routing is no longer optional.
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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
@chamath Congressional alpha was never illegal — just inaccessible. AI just democratized the edge. The real question is who builds the trading strategy on top.
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Chamath Palihapitiya
Chamath Palihapitiya@chamath·
👀
Ricardo@Ric_RTP

This AI just exposed the BIGGEST legal insider trading operation in America. A platform called GovGreed built a seven-layer machine learning system that cross-references every stock trade disclosed by every sitting politician against the bills their committees control, the campaign donations they receive, and the companies their votes directly impact. It scored all 540 politicians currently in Congress. And the numbers are crazy: 56% of every stock purchase made by Congress in the last 16 months was on a stock directly affected by a bill the buyer later voted on. That is 6,170 out of 11,016 total purchases. More than HALF of all congressional stock buys are on companies whose fate that same politician is about to decide. 343 of 540 Congress members actively trade stocks while holding access to nonpublic legislative information. That is 63.8% of the entire legislature making market bets with an informational edge that would put any hedge fund manager in prison. The AI identified 752 active "Triple Signals" in the current Congress. A Triple Signal fires when three conditions line up at once: The politician sits on the committee controlling a bill, they traded stock in a company affected by that bill, AND they received campaign contributions from that same industry. Bills carrying these insider indicators pass at 5.4 TIMES the normal rate. Now look at the individual leaderboard: - Nancy Pelosi's estimated portfolio sits at $194 million with a Greediness score of 98.1 out of 100 - Ro Khanna made 13,231 trades across 800+ different tickers - Michael McCaul made 32,302 trades and filed 6,670 of them late - Thomas Suozzi filed 86.4% of his trades late with an average delay of 396 days, meaning his disclosures landed over a YEAR after he made the trade And then there is Lisa McClain, the fourth-ranking Republican in the House. She has made 1,443 trades in three years, more than 98% of all politicians tracked. She violated the STOCK Act twice in a single year, disclosing up to $900,000 in trades months after the legal deadline. Her husband bought up to $250,000 in Elon Musk's xAI, which quietly converted into SpaceX equity before last Friday's $2 trillion IPO. The penalty for all of this? A $200 fine. The number of Congress members ever prosecuted under the STOCK Act since it passed in 2012? Zero. And the cruelest part is this: A bill to ban congressional stock trading was introduced in January 2026. It has bipartisan support. Over 80% of American voters want it passed. But Congress is sitting on it, because the people who would have to vote yes are the same people making millions from the system staying exactly the way it is. They write the insider trading laws, they exempt themselves from enforcement, they trade on the information those laws generate, and when they get caught, they pay a fine that is basically nothing. The AI didn't discover anything Congress was hiding. It just organized what was already public into a pattern so obvious that nobody can pretend it isn't there anymore.

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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
The builders who figure this out in the next 12 months will own a category that doesn't exist yet. Token2049 Singapore. October 2026. Stay close.
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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
Prediction markets are the cleanest test. No insider flow. No manipulation. Pure information. If an agent wins there consistently, it wins anywhere.
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Tal Mor
Tal Mor@TalBMor·
AI agents now execute trades faster than humans can read the price. Most people think that's the story. It's not.
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