Chris Tashi

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Chris Tashi

Chris Tashi

@TashiChris

Travel, Fashion, Health, Fitness

Miami, FL Katılım Aralık 2018
65 Takip Edilen374 Takipçiler
Chris Tashi
Chris Tashi@TashiChris·
@Michael_K1710 @SamanthaLaDuc Well, Wall Street is looking at the first quarter's earnings and the profits were eye-popping because everyone raised prices and consumers paid whatever the asking price was Until the consumer pulls back...
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Michael
Michael@Michael_K1710·
@SamanthaLaDuc Turmoil through the world. True. Markets just don’t care though. It’s a money making machine. That’s its nature.
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Samantha LaDuc
Samantha LaDuc@SamanthaLaDuc·
I would think more likely June as a 90D disruption stretches & stresses reserves, rationing & reassessment of alternatives to meet demand/slowdown. Oil supply/price shock meets demand/revenue disruption - pulling forward consumer recession risk this summer ahead of mid-terms.
Qasem Al-Ali@AlaliQasem

Every country has been burning through emergency stockpiles to mask the shortage. JP Morgan & Kpler data shows the last Gulf shipments reached their destinations between April 8–19. That window is now closed. The buffer is gone. The real shock starts now.

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Chris Tashi
Chris Tashi@TashiChris·
@SamanthaLaDuc Definitely June; because most everyone will switch to coal, etc, but a few laggards will hold off until then, hoping their checkbook will cover the costs, which should be lower than otherwise because of demand destruction, come June Through the third quarter
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Qasem Al-Ali
Qasem Al-Ali@AlaliQasem·
Every country has been burning through emergency stockpiles to mask the shortage. JP Morgan & Kpler data shows the last Gulf shipments reached their destinations between April 8–19. That window is now closed. The buffer is gone. The real shock starts now.
Qasem Al-Ali tweet media
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Lukas Ekwueme
Lukas Ekwueme@ekwufinance·
No one is positioned for an inflation surge. The S&P is printing new ATHs like the Iran war got wrapped up in a neat peace treaty and a Netflix documentary. It’s dominated by tech... the sector whose entire multiple assumes permanently low inflation and cheap capital. Meanwhile, materials and energy, the sectors that actually benefit when inflation runs hot, sit at roughly 6% of the index, as if governments can just hit CTRL+P on copper, diesel, and jet fuel the same way they print IOUs.
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Chris Tashi
Chris Tashi@TashiChris·
Even when opening oneself to dating, or, giving hearings to people, there are going to be large swaths of people one isn't going to open the floor to; a court doesn't let anybody present a case; there are minimum standards; also, different courts hear different types of cases
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Chris Tashi
Chris Tashi@TashiChris·
Sounds like the guy who was advising Clinton in his approach to North Korea 😀 Remind me how that worked out, @citrinowicz
Danny (Dennis) Citrinowicz ,داني سيترينوفيتش@citrinowicz

Why Trump’s Approach to Iran Was Always Doomed to Fall Short? No matter how one looks at it, the writing was on the wall. The Iran issue represents precisely the kind of challenge President Donald Trump has historically struggled with: it requires patience, offers no immediate visuals of victory, and involves an adversary that is both resilient and unwilling to bend under pressure. This raises a fundamental question: why pursue confrontation in the first place using a strategy that doesn't suited to the nature of the problem? From the outset, there has been a deep mismatch between the Trump administration’s negotiation style and Iran’s strategic culture. Trump’s approach, rooted in pressure, public signaling, and rapid deal-making, assumes that adversaries will respond predictably to escalating costs. Iran does not operate that way. For Tehran, time is not a constraint but it is a tool. Strategic patience is built into its decision-making. Threats, far from compelling compromise, often reinforce resistance. The familiar “carrot and stick” framework has limited influence when it collides with rigid ideological red lines and a regime that views endurance as a form of victory. Just as importantly, Iran does not measure success in the same way Washington often does. There is no need for a dramatic breakthrough or a symbolic signing ceremony. From Tehran’s perspective, simply holding firm in the face of American pressure can itself be framed domestically and regionally as a win. As pressure fails to produce results, the instinct in Washington is often to escalate rhetoric and tighten demands. Yet in Tehran, such escalation is interpreted not as strength, but as evidence that its strategy is working l, meaning that the United States is growing impatient, even off balance. If there is a viable path forward, it begins with a shift in assumptions. Iran is not a conventional negotiating partner, and it will not respond to unconventional pressure in conventional ways. Effective diplomacy in this context is less about public brinkmanship and more about quiet, sustained engagement. It also requires an understanding that any durable agreement must allow Iran to perceive itself as having achieved something of value. Negotiations framed as “take it or leave it” are unlikely to succeed when the other side is prepared to leave it indefinitely. There is, in fact, a shared interest in avoiding escalation and reaching some form of understanding. But as long as the process is driven by mismatched expectations, conflicting timelines, and fundamentally different definitions of success, that interest alone will not be enough. Without a recalibration of approach, the gap between Washington and Tehran will remain not just wide, but structurally difficult to close #IranWar

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𝒢𝑒𝓁 ❣️
𝒢𝑒𝓁 ❣️@LttleGel·
@EdLatimore The article highlights the “rising trend of men in their early 20s—specifically those in the 21 to 25 age range—seeking out and dating women who are significantly older, often in their 40s, 50s, or 60s.”
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Ed Latimore
Ed Latimore@EdLatimore·
I wouldn't go as far as calling a woman in her 30s "older"... But if you're in shape in your mid 30s, you won't be an unattractive woman. Granted, I haven't read the article, but I *doubt* it's women in their 40s and 50s dating men in their 20s. Then again, this is the year 2026. Who knows.
Lisa Britton@LisaBritton

This is actually true. Lately, many of my girlfriends (mid to late thirties) have been telling me that they are getting approached by early-twenties men, very confidently I would add. What’s going on?

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Eric Daugherty
Eric Daugherty@EricLDaugh·
🚨 HOLY CRAP! The US military FIRED at an Iranian cargo ship trying to get around President Trump's blockade and SEIZED IT "The Iranian crew refused to listen, so our Navy ship stopped them right in their tracks by BLOWING A HOLE IN THE ENGINE ROOM." 🔥 "U S Marines have custody of the vessel." "An Iranian-flagged cargo ship named TOUSKA, nearly 900 feet long and weighing almost as much as an aircraft carrier, tried to get past our Naval Blockade, and it did not go well for them. The U.S. Navy Guided Missile Destroyer USS SPRUANCE intercepted the TOUSKA in the Gulf of Oman, and gave them fair warning to stop. The Iranian crew refused to listen." "The TOUSKA is under U.S. Treasury Sanctions because of their prior history of illegal activity. We have full custody of the ship, and are seeing what’s on board! President DONALD J. TRUMP" IRAN IS FIND OUT.
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Chris Tashi
Chris Tashi@TashiChris·
@Litoriaraniform @SamanthaLaDuc @dampedspring Ego is not "self-hatred;" activating Will-Power is done by the ego, which refuses to back down anymore Wealthy, content people don't activate Will-Power because they don't have to; they have everything at-hand; they don't have to work for a living; after experience scarcity...
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Chris Tashi
Chris Tashi@TashiChris·
@CFCallez @CyrilH44 People are not going to pay money to see something they can get for free on their computer; people go to live performances precisely to see HUMAN BEINGS perform, not robots 😀 If you want to see robots visit a factory 🍿
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Allez
Allez@CFCallez·
@CyrilH44 Not to validate her point by even considering it, but the internal logic doesn’t even hold up. In some dystopian future where ai has come so far in its capabilities that it can be as evocative as a real human actor, who’s to say it wouldn’t be able to perform live?
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Michael Weiss
Michael Weiss@michaeldweiss·
IRGC still controls the Strait and is limiting traffic. All who pass must pay a toll. Not much is changed except what’s in the President’s imagination. wsj.com/livecoverage/i…
Michael Weiss tweet media
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Chris Tashi
Chris Tashi@TashiChris·
@tyillc @dgsommersmkts Banks are designed to profit from decisions they make or face losses from decisions they make; the Federal Reserve is supposed to overlook that, that is, insure the banking system is held up by sound reasoning; if banks start acting crazy...the Fed is supposed to change them out
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Richard Field
Richard Field@tyillc·
@dgsommersmkts The problem isn't fiat money ... the problem is the policy response to the Great Financial Crisis ... it was designed around saving the existing banks rather than using the banks as they are designed to protect the real economy and society ...
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David Sommers
David Sommers@dgsommersmkts·
Until 2009, the Fed's total holdings of mortgage-backed securities was... Zero. Why does the Fed intervene in the financing of housing? Is this intervention really what the Fed should be doing? Does the Fed have a mandate to buy these securities? If the Fed had not intervened in the housing market, would homes be more affordable today for young families? Would our population be growing at a faster rate? Would the housing market work, instead of being in complete stall mode? When we talk about the problem of affordability... how much of it lies in bad fiat money, and the Fed's use of it to intervene in increasingly dysfunctional markets?
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Chris Tashi
Chris Tashi@TashiChris·
@CalmingUp @SamanthaLaDuc We have to presume that China wants the Strait open; Iran may want to keep the flame of resistance lit but if it is hurting China...China isn't going to be cool with it; will it? Seeing no energy pass through the Strait as long as Iran refuses to relinquish its grip on ☢️?
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PLEASE
PLEASE@CalmingUp·
@TashiChris @SamanthaLaDuc You would think but they have delt with sanctions for a long time. It keeps their power structure intact.
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Samantha LaDuc
Samantha LaDuc@SamanthaLaDuc·
Love these competing blockade headlines: Trump said Iran has agreed to never close the Strait of Hormuz again. An Iranian official told Fars that if the U.S. naval blockade persists, Tehran will consider it a violation of the ceasefire and will close the Strait of Hormuz. 😂🤷‍♀️
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Chris Tashi
Chris Tashi@TashiChris·
@AliR_Ahmadi CENTCOM's actual recent actions involve active military challenges to Iranian control, including a counter-blockade and mine-clearing operations. They haven't signed off on "Iranian control" of the Strait of Hormuz
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Ali Ahmadi
Ali Ahmadi@AliR_Ahmadi·
According to Tasnim, passage through the Strait is conditioned and will continue for the duration of the ceasefire, provided Israel does not violate the ceasefire with Lebanon and the US blockade is removed. Here are the conditions: 1. The ships must be commercial and the passage of military ships is prohibited, and neither the ships nor the cargo should be related to the hostile countries. 2. Vessels must pass through the route designated by Iran. 3. The passage of ships must be coordinated with the Iranian forces responsible for the passage; as CENTCOM had, before the war, confirmed the management of the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) over the Strait of Hormuz.
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Chris Tashi
Chris Tashi@TashiChris·
@maxmeizlish Markets are not tanker owners or insurers of tankers directed to the Persian Gulf Markets imagine fantastic and easy things; not difficult things; Trump is a carnival barker and Wall Street investors are his lap dogs
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Max Meizlish
Max Meizlish@maxmeizlish·
Beware of the spin. President Trump has announced that the strait is open. Iran, however, has said the strait is open — but only through the Iranian-controlled corridor. Meanwhile, the US Navy blockade remains in effect. Markets are responding as though the strait is completely open to all. That is not true.
Seyed Abbas Araghchi@araghchi

In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for all commercial vessels through Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire, on the coordinated route as already announced by Ports and Maritime Organisation of the Islamic Rep. of Iran.

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