BlockWatcher

Combining DLMM mechanics into a prediction market hasn't been done before with the addition of curve-based trading. LPers have an immense benefit of fee accrual on a prediction market-scale and receive two other specific streams specific to Isometric's design of the markets: 1. They receive the difference of LMSR refunds (if a trader closes a position early, they receive the difference of (cost - refund)). 2. Settled markets often don't result in a bullseye— this is perhaps one of the biggest jumps from prediction markets + DLMMs/AMMs. Traders enjoy a non-binary outcome (where even if they're wrong, they still receive a portion of a payout instead of losing 100%), while LPers profit from the difference (if a trader opens a $100 position, the price settles at a point where they receive a $67 refund, the LPers get the $33— everybody's happy; traders don't lose everything, LPers get the difference). LPing on Isometric is just as profitable as trading on Isometric by design. It's a closed-loop system where all parties are properly compensated for activity. While there is heavy focus on the trading aspect of the platform (rightfully so, it's really cool), it's imperative to note that the counterparty (LPers) benefit just as much due to the design; ranges in trading = per-vault bins for LPing. The only reason either side works is because the other allows it, a catch-22 of sorts. If DLMM mechanics weren't introduced into prediction markets via Isometric, range-based trading would fall flat— this works in the reverse as well. Range-based trading only works because DLMM mechanics can now be introduced into prediction markets. Neither side can exist without the other; it's a symbiotic relationship that requires thinking of both sides and their designed mechanics in parallel to make sense.

Leland update 2: 120+ decks submitted in week one. He cut his advance rate from 33% -> 17% More importantly: I took the first 9 intro calls. Several were strong enough that we extended the meetings from 15 to 30 minutes. Opened another day on the calendar👇

DarkLabz is the R&D lab of Darksol. A primarily autonomous development lab built and operated by me, alongside other agent workers. It exists to solve the big problems we find through real production, real operations, and real agent work.

$SMCF first major pullback after ripping Hearing they are about to ship out the first AI agentic prediction market next week Added to my position on this dip - I think with all the products the AI factory will be coming out with this is a big steal this low