TheFoundation

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TheFoundation

TheFoundation

@TheFoundationAi

Cool

Not financial advice Katılım Haziran 2023
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TheFoundation
TheFoundation@TheFoundationAi·
$BTC seems the top has played out as anticipated for this trend. Price has not reset, showing an even more bullish outlook compared to the last cycle. Next stop: $2T market cap in 2025. @willywoo @wclemente @100trillionUSD @dylanleclair @PeterMcCormack @PrestonPysh
TheFoundation tweet media
TheFoundation@TheFoundationAi

$BTC Top by May 2024? Check out these monthly candles and monthly moving average clouds. @willywoo @wclemente @100trillionUSD @dylanleclair @WhatBitcoinDid @PrestonPysh

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Darren Schlanger
Darren Schlanger@shlonjay·
@onechancefreedm @PolarityRadio If I think of this dudes calls over the last few years - long bonds, short tech, long homebuilders and defensives, short crude… how on earth do 20k people still follow this guy’s total gibberish…
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EndGame Macro
EndGame Macro@onechancefreedm·
The Stress Is Changing Shape The U.S. 30Y minus 10Y spread pulling back from roughly 0.70% to 0.53% does not mean the long end is safe. It means the market may be shifting from pure long end panic into a more complicated recession and refinancing signal. The steepening from mid 2025 into early 2026 was the warning shot. Long rates were rising relative to the 10 year because investors were demanding more compensation for inflation volatility, fiscal risk, and term premium. The pullback may simply mean growth fear is starting to creep back in, not that the sovereign debt problem has disappeared. The U.K. is where this matters most because its debt structure and pension system make it uniquely sensitive to long rate volatility. Britain has the longest average government debt maturity in the G7, roughly 13.66 to 14.4 years, and its defined benefit pension system relies heavily on LDI strategies that match long liabilities with long gilt exposure, often with leverage. That means long gilt moves do not just affect government borrowing costs. They hit pension balance sheets, collateral needs, and forced selling risk. This is the same pressure point that broke in the 2022 LDI crisis. The U.S. curve is the global warning signal, but the U.K. gilt market is the higher beta stress point. The debt problem is not solved. It is being pushed into duration, collateral, and rollover fragility.
David Levenson. I am increasing low beta leverage.@PolarityRadio

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EndGame Macro
EndGame Macro@onechancefreedm·
Am I reading you right that the clean tell from here is whether this flattening stays isolated to the curve or starts leaking into the credit sensitive parts of the market? If this is just the long end panic cooling off, banks, credit spreads, cyclicals, and risk appetite should hold together. But if the speed of the 5s30s, 7s30s, and 10s30s flattening is the real signal, then we should start seeing the market shift from inflation and term premium stress into growth and funding stress, with banks underperforming, credit widening, cyclicals fading, and eventually the 2 year rolling over as recession pricing takes control.
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George Noble
George Noble@gnoble79·
No Andy. YOU entirely miss the point, which is that SpaceX is the most egregious recent example of the type of manipulation/excess that is corrupting our markets. Why can’t you be civil, instead of acting like a miserable nasty fellow? What is your problem? Post like yours make civil discourse impossible.
Andy Constan@dampedspring

I think it's a bubble but this joker gives my call a bad name. It's the worst sort of doomerism that George loves to be associated with. At 2TN of market cap which is aggressive the SPX would hold about 2% of SpaceX. If it went to zero thats 2% loss. And yet George suggests that will be the literal end of the world. This is disgusting click bait

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TheFoundation
TheFoundation@TheFoundationAi·
$USDT.D breaking below the 150 EMA on the weekly (red line) likely marks the bottom in bitcoin:native. As it did in Jan 2023.
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TheFoundation
TheFoundation@TheFoundationAi·
@HostileCharts I called the initial breadth to you then flipped on it. Truth is breadth is still a bit wonky
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TheFoundation
TheFoundation@TheFoundationAi·
@BobLoukas April 2022 was close especially when you consider the weekly rallying candles not the consolidating ones
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Bob Loukas 🗽
Bob Loukas 🗽@BobLoukas·
Bitcoin - Getting close now to the end of a natural counter trend move in a bear market. $85-$88k area. However, there is a difference to this move. Counter trend moves are typically stronger (impulse) and shorter duration, this move is more consistent with base building over a longer period. For example, it has been 88 days since the low, no counter trend move to a local high took anywhere near this long. It means we could be looking at more of a time based Cycle Low developing over 2026. In that scenario, the next big pullback could be more of a retest of the bear range. We shall have to see.
Bob Loukas 🗽@BobLoukas

Typical script for Bitcoin in the declining phase is around the $85k level before resumption of the trend.

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Helene Meisler
Helene Meisler@Chartfest1·
I typically could care less about volume. Stocks can and do rally on low volume. But I am struck by the consistent low volume rally in the QQQs. Just fell off a cliff as we came off the low.
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Danny Dayan
Danny Dayan@DannyDayan5·
Oh look, overheat
Danny Dayan tweet mediaDanny Dayan tweet media
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Jay Kaeppel
Jay Kaeppel@jaykaeppel·
NDX constituent company insiders are still buying. Are they crazy? Or crazy like a fox? Decide for yourself. @sentimentrader
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TheFoundation
TheFoundation@TheFoundationAi·
@lord_fed Easy narrative to be slaughtered by the market. Literally software will enable Ai..
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Danny Dayan
Danny Dayan@DannyDayan5·
@RogaineTrader In 2024 I thought Fed would tighten before the NFP scare. In early 2025, I thought election optimism would outweigh tariff uncertainty. That's about it.
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Danny Dayan
Danny Dayan@DannyDayan5·
There are macro strategists or newsletter providers who are much better at patting themselves on the ass than me. I am a trader who moves onto the next after getting it right. Macro is about being ahead of the consensus on core themes. Let's review some of my big calls.
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