Will

Earnings boom really accelerating. Forward estimates now up >25% YOY. Passing through the first part of Q1 reporting, forward estimates are leveling up. Updated chart below...Unprecedented.

Inflation about to take off according to the Bond Market 🚨🚨

When AI hits security there will be signs

Critical minerals have been my main area of interest since Iran conflict started and have only been adding personally. Several interesting names out there that sit at the intersection of geopolitics, defense, and commodity themes.

Active management making a comeback?!? There is actually dispersion in the market. There are now winners & losers.

*US 30-YEAR YIELD TOUCHES 5% FOR FIRST TIME SINCE JULY 2025 Now just 11 bps from a new 18-year high.

Well, that escalated quickly.

Goodbye J Pow

If you're expressing Iran war shock trades in US related assets, you're gonna have a bad time

The Iran War is cutting vital fertilizer flows: Gulf urea production is down to ~160,000 tons per week, hitting another new low of the year. Urea is the world's most widely used nitrogen fertilizer and a crucial input for growing staple crops including corn, wheat, and rice. Gulf urea production has fallen ~60% since the start of the Iran War. Furthermore, only 11 fertilizer ships have transited the Strait of Hormuz since the war began, with 44 vessels carrying fertilizer still stuck inside the Gulf and nearly half of them loaded with urea. Producers are also running out of storage space, raising the risk that manufacturers will be forced to shut down entirely. The Middle East accounts for ~45% of global urea trade, supplying major agricultural importers including India, Europe, and Brazil. Global food inflation is set to accelerate.

UAE SAYS IT QUITS OPEC AND OPEC+ -STATEMENT UAE SAYS IT WILL LEAVE OPEC AND OPEC+ AS OF MAY 1 - STATE NEWS AGENCY

INTEL: China home prices fall to lowest levels in at least 20 years, extending property slump that has erased decades of household wealth

For the first time in history, there are 60+ large crude oil tankers bound for the US. US crude exports are up by +2.5 million barrels per day since the Iran War began. US big oil will see its most profitable year on record in 2026.

A historic earnings boom is developing. Estimates growing faster than they did in the mid-90s or late internet bubble years. Only covid recovery period saw a greater inflection. This boom is unique b/c it is not coming off an EPS drawdown (recovery).

Citadel's New York City tower – estimated to cost $6 billion — is now at risk following an attack by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani on Griffin’s purchase of a $238 million apartment on Central Park bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

Love to see it

Bullish religion as we head into the AI singularity

SPACEX SAID TO AGREE TO BUY CURSOR FOR MORE THAN $50 BILLION- NYT

Apple CEO Tim Cook is stepping down, will be replaced by John Ternus in September.

Jersey Mike’s Subs, the sandwich chain with more than 3,000 locations, submitted a confidential filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission for its initial public offering bloomberg.com/news/articles/…