TheLAPurchaser

4.6K posts

TheLAPurchaser

TheLAPurchaser

@TheLAPurchaser

L/S Equity. Not financial advice.

Los Angeles, CA Katılım Nisan 2020
721 Takip Edilen7.3K Takipçiler
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TheLAPurchaser
TheLAPurchaser@TheLAPurchaser·
$WRBY - THE FORGOTTEN AI WEARABLES PLAY Thesis: $2.5bn Mkt Cap with a $10bn AI glasses opportunity. WRBY is +30% today as investors begin to appreciate the sleepy retailer is transitioning to a consumer AI hardware enabler. WRBY will be the first AI x Consumer pure-play story in the US. Product: Google x WRBY AI glasses are launching in 2H. WRBY is the first (and currently only) $GOOGL mass market retail partner in the US. Catalyst: NEXT WEEK (5/12), $GOOGL will lay out the roadmap and ecosystem for glasses at the I/O hardware day. Market: $META / $EL.FP have already defined the market, targeting 20-30mn units of production capacity. "Blue Sky" Math: If WRBY sells 10mn units, it's $4bn/$1.2bn in Rev/EBITDA. At a 20x mult, WRBY's upside case is +750%. WRBY's CEO: 'We believe they will be the world's first truly intelligent AI glasses designed for all day and everyday wear...These glasses have already become essential to our daily routines: we're reviewing our schedules and adding meetings to our calendars, checking cross city travel times, and working through complex math problems right off the whiteboard. I even had them help me review my son's Spanish homework. The best part is that they integrate seamlessly with the apps we and billions of other people already use every day' Deep Dive🧵
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TheLAPurchaser
TheLAPurchaser@TheLAPurchaser·
@TMTLongShort 7x...you're underwriting to these things never growing again. not a comment on if they will or wont. thats just where terminally impaired assets trade.
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Just Another Pod Guy
Just Another Pod Guy@TMTLongShort·
Software prob 7x FCF - SBC until we see industry rev turn negative for the median name. AI adjacent deserves midteens FCF on higher wacc reflecting uncertainty even with lower outyear rates given path function of inflation then deflation… outyear gdp growth should accel to +HSD. Anything industrial and AI supply chain related prob 30x FCF
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TheLAPurchaser
TheLAPurchaser@TheLAPurchaser·
What multiple are we going to send non-AI names to? Genuine question: what's the multiple or the price you would sell a bit of AI to buy any of the below... $V $MA $SPOT $META $NFLX $WM $VRSK $DHR $TMO $FICO $MCO $VMC $KKR $BX $ISRG $MDLN
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TheLAPurchaser
TheLAPurchaser@TheLAPurchaser·
@rwang07 i guess this is kosher b/c we have 48hrs before japan opens
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Ray Wang
Ray Wang@rwang07·
One word on Kioxia earnings: 🚀
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TJ
TJ@JamesTa54258753·
@TheLAPurchaser I think the problem isn't those stocks aren't cheap enough, but the force selling from the "quality compounding" funds redemption will likely continue; maybe after stuff like fundsmith close its shop those stocks will finally capitulate
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TheLAPurchaser
TheLAPurchaser@TheLAPurchaser·
or pick your favorite or least favorite beaten down name... we used to have a sense of decorum god damnit levels used to matter
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TheLAPurchaser
TheLAPurchaser@TheLAPurchaser·
So no deals from Trump/Xi?
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TheLAPurchaser
TheLAPurchaser@TheLAPurchaser·
Reminder -- you can't be bullish memory without being bullish semicap... $AMAT $LRCX $ASML $MU $SNDK
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Dynamicmoats
Dynamicmoats@DynamicMoats·
$WOLF is going to $120, then $1200, then $12000
GIF
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TheLAPurchaser
TheLAPurchaser@TheLAPurchaser·
$F The data center battery storage company???
GIF
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Bucket Shop Capital
Bucket Shop Capital@bucketshopcap·
Former nightclub promoters-turned-real estate agents I grew up with in NYC now talking about memory & the Cerebras IPO. Same guys lost metric fuckloads of $ on shitcoins & NFTs a few years ago. Probably nothing.
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TheLAPurchaser
TheLAPurchaser@TheLAPurchaser·
The finance team has built a library of over 70 Claude skills specific to finance Have they released this to the masses? Would be cool if they did. @AnthropicAI @trq212 @patrick_oshag
Patrick OShaughnessy@patrick_oshag

A list of surprising and mind-boggling stats from this conversation: - NDR is over 500% on an annualized basis - Anthropic's first dollar of revenue came in March of 2023 - Over 90% of code inside Anthropic is written by Claude Code - The head of tax is the heaviest token user on the finance team - Run rate revenue went from $9B to $30B in one quarter (reportedly, on pace for $50B by end of next month) - Cowork is growing faster than Claude Code did at the same point in its life - Signed two double-digit million-dollar commits in a 20-minute Uber ride to the podcast - Krishna spends 30-40% of his time on compute decisions - 9 of the Fortune 10 are customers - $100B combined commitment of compute - 30 different product and feature releases in January alone - A prior model found 22 security vulnerabilities in an open source codebase; Mythos found 250 - The finance team has built a library of over 70 Claude skills specific to finance - Anthropic raised $75 billion since Krishna joined two years ago - The day of the Series E first close was the day the DeepSeek news broke - When Meta and others made huge poaching offers, Anthropic lost two people on the technical side while other labs lost dozens - All seven co-founders are still at the company - The company is just over five years old

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