Jake Coyne

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Jake Coyne

Jake Coyne

@TheStatSquatch

Head of NBA Research, @StatsPerform | NBA Data Analysis | Opinions represent only myself

Denver, CO Katılım Aralık 2019
100 Takip Edilen3.6K Takipçiler
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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
Tonight was Nikola Jokic’s 78th career game leading BOTH teams in points, rebounds and assists. That’s the most such games by any player since the 1976 NBA-ABA merger, 10 more than the next closest player (LeBron James - 68).
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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
Nikola Jokic in his last three games: 48 REB 39 AST 13 STL 4 BLK No other NBA player in the last 40 years has reached those numbers in a four-game span - while Jokic did so in three games.
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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
@critiquenik I don’t have it in front of me at the moment but it should be a bit below $6 million for Spencer. I’m not sure we see him reach the starter criteria, though.
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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
With Denver signing Jones to a rest-of-season deal, into their 14th roster spot, the Nuggets should have space to sign a 15th player to a rest-of-season deal anytime between now and the end of the regular season - should they choose to do so - and remain below the tax line.
Shams Charania@ShamsCharania

The Denver Nuggets are converting two-way Spencer Jones to a standard NBA contract for the remainder of the season, sources tell ESPN. Jones will become a restricted free agent in June. He has started 34 of 46 games for the Nuggets, averaging 6 points and 41.4% shooting from 3.

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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
@prmorphine @KeithSmithNBA @NBABlackburn I was just using an example of one route they could take. As Keith pointed out, they can sign two minimums anytime now and be likely under the tax (assuming about $400K in incentives hit)
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Patrick Rasmussen
Patrick Rasmussen@prmorphine·
@KeithSmithNBA @NBABlackburn Hmmm. Jake Coyne said that amount prorated is available March 1st. I'm not going to pretend to understand the unnecessarily convoluted cap any more than what I saw him say :p x.com/TheStatSquatch…
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch

The Nuggets are $1.8 million below the luxury tax line. One approach they could take: Sign Jones to a $1.2 million deal (for 2025-26) now using the MLE, then on March 1 they could sign a bought out player to a minimum deal and stay about $35K under the tax.

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Ryan Blackburn
Ryan Blackburn@NBABlackburn·
I learned this today from @KeithSmithNBA: the Nuggets have to add AT LEAST one player to the roster by Thursday because there’s now a minimum roster threshold post ASB to force teams to meet the salary floor. Nuggets have 13 contracts, need 14. It better be Spencer Jones.
Damn Coyote@deLaNuggLife

@NBABlackburn is Spencer Jones going to be signed by the time the Nuggets play again?

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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
@Bucketsince88 Yes, getting picks does not trigger any hard cap. I’d say this is unlikely, though, considering teams know Denver doesn’t want to go into the second apron
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Mile High Pete
Mile High Pete@Bucketsince88·
@TheStatSquatch So they could get picks right? A similar deal happened with Indiana and Milwaukee back with Malcom Brodgan. Bucks didn't want to let him walk for free so the Pacers offered a first to trade for him since the Bucks had leverage to match.
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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
Denver is unlikely to acquire any players in an outgoing Watson sign-and-trade, as doing so would hard cap them at the second tax apron - a number they are already pushing up against in 2026-27. The most likely scenarios are Watson leaving for nothing or re-signing.
NBACentral@TheDunkCentral

Peyton Watson could be “gettable” this summer due to Denver’s tax situation, per @kpelton “Restricted free agency is trickier for a team such as the Lakers that can't afford to wait out the matching period, but Denver Nuggets forward Peyton Watson -- an L.A.-area native who played at UCLA -- might be gettable via sign-and-trade because of Denver's tax situation.” (Via espn.com.sg/nba/story/_/id…)

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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
@UncleRollie_ Still seems like an unlikely option compared to him walking or re-signing, I’d say. I think teams know Denver isn’t going to go deep into the second apron to re-sign him, so they’d probably call Denver’s bluff
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Uncle Rollie🏀
Uncle Rollie🏀@UncleRollie_·
@TheStatSquatch Its restricted. Denver can just match the offer if snob some team thinks they are able to just get a guy without including any assets.
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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
@UncleRollie_ What’s the motivation for a team to give Denver picks if Denver isn’t taking on any salary?
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Uncle Rollie🏀
Uncle Rollie🏀@UncleRollie_·
@TheStatSquatch Nothing? Denver could get future draft picks on sign and trade that have little to do with salary
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Miroslav Ćuk
Miroslav Ćuk@MiroslavCuk·
@ShamsCharania .@TheStatSquatch how much money did the T'wolves take off their books by trading away Conley's $10.4M contract, and getting him back on a buy-out?
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Shams Charania
Shams Charania@ShamsCharania·
Free agent guard Mike Conley Jr. plans to return to the Minnesota Timberwolves, sources tell ESPN. The sides are working on timing of him re-signing. Conley was traded twice this week – to Chicago, then to Charlotte – before being released and allowed to rejoin the Wolves.
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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
@DanielWinston3 @MiroslavCuk They can do it now if they’re also only going to give Jones a minimum deal. If they want to give Jones more via the MLE they’ll need to wait a bit
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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
The Nuggets are $1.8 million below the luxury tax line. One approach they could take: Sign Jones to a $1.2 million deal (for 2025-26) now using the MLE, then on March 1 they could sign a bought out player to a minimum deal and stay about $35K under the tax.
Chris Haynes@ChrisBHaynes

Denver Nuggets will convert swingman Spencer Jones from a two-way contract to a standard contract, league sources tell me. The second-year player has had a standout campaign.

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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
@NBABlackburn The prorated minimum decreases by about $13K each day between now and the end of season. There’s a number of ways they could go about adding two players but I think the most likely is giving Spencer some MLE money for a small raise + longer contract and then a minimum buyout guy
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Ryan Blackburn
Ryan Blackburn@NBABlackburn·
I didn't think they could, but going back and looking at what the Nuggets paid Reggie Jackson in 2022-23, it might be possible. As @TheStatSquatch stated plainly, the Nuggets will have to wait a bit to be able to sign anyone, the current prorated minimum today is $800k.
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Tyler@Tylerwynne09

@NBABlackburn Hey Ryan can we get a buy out guy and convert jones

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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
@MiroslavCuk No they can still be eligible if signed later - they only have to be waived by March 1. Waived before March 1 = playoff eligibility even if you don’t sign until mid-March
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Miroslav Ćuk
Miroslav Ćuk@MiroslavCuk·
@TheStatSquatch March 1st is the last day they can sign a buy-out guy who would still be eligible for playoffs?
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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
@gorty2020 Yes, they are at 13 right now after trading Tyson.
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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
@ErinBurr27 Correct, you cannot use it that way. Have to be able to absorb the full contract - so it couldn’t help you take on a $30M player but it could help you take on 2 players worth $30M if one of their salaries is, say, $12M and the other $18M.
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Grace
Grace@ErinBurr27·
Ahh I see... One clarifying Q, just on the MLEs point, they can be used to absorb salary, but can't be used to partially absorb salary, right? For example, you wanna take in a player worth 23M but you're only 10M under the cap... you can't use the MLE to absorb the other $13M, right? But you could use the MLE to absorb a player contract worth less than the MLE overall?
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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
With one week to go until the trade deadline, I have put together a small primer on how the deadline might look for the Nuggets. In it, we go over: -Luxury / repeater tax -Spencer Jones -Peyton Watson -Mock trades Link to download / read: drive.google.com/file/d/17OhFPB…
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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
@DenverThugget @ErinBurr27 I think there’s a small chance but still unlikely. Getting his RFA rights would be attractive to teams - but given that Denver wants to shed salary and not take more on, is there someone making $4.3M or less that’s worth the trade for Denver? Not sure I see any
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Jake Coyne
Jake Coyne@TheStatSquatch·
@jokictripdoub I do not, just because that team often takes on salary to help the money work for other teams, and I believe Denver prefers to shed salary, not take more on.
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MORD - Coakić
MORD - Coakić@jokictripdoub·
@TheStatSquatch Do you see a scenario where we attach ourselves as the third to a larger deal to make the salaries work and dump salary?
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Keşfet

@critiquenik @prmorphine @KeithSmithNBA @NBABlackburn @Bucketsince88 @UncleRollie_ @MiroslavCuk @ShamsCharania