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@ThomasPhilipp6

Frankfurt am Main, Deutschland Katılım Ekim 2015
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John
John@JohnLatham·
Something I don't see people talking about with Marimaca — the oxide project doesn't produce concentrate. It's SX-EW, cathode copper straight out of the ground in Chile. Why does that matter? Because most junior copper ends up as concentrate shipped to Chinese smelters. China controls about half of global smelting capacity. That's a chokepoint. A project that bypasses that entirely? As the critical minerals sovereignty conversation heats up, that feels underappreciated. $MARI.to
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Kacper Piotr Kaminski
Kacper Piotr Kaminski@Kacper_PK_CH·
Coal is just waking up. Asia will likely stockpile much more going forward, as a matter of national security. Coal miners require detailed research. I’d love to do that, but the day only has 24 hours, so I’m just long $COAL ETF, have been for a while now.
Kacper Piotr Kaminski tweet media
Bloomberg@business

An unprecedented global energy crisis is driving Asia back to coal, in a pivot that’s generating a surprise boon for miners of the dirtiest fossil fuel and their bondholders bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

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Wolken@ThomasPhilipp6·
@mrfriebe @Mark_IKN I think we need to ask Mark that question. He's the real pro.
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mrfriebe
mrfriebe@mrfriebe·
@ThomasPhilipp6 @Mark_IKN Wolken, any strong view on what the right p/nav multiple should be for permitted but yet to be financed project?
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Jim Bianco
Jim Bianco@biancoresearch·
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The Hormuz Letter
The Hormuz Letter@HormuzLetter·
BREAKING: Oil needs to average $140 per barrel for two months to trigger a global recession, per Oxford Economics. Capital Economics projects Brent could average $150 over the next six months if the conflict lasts another three months. Brent has already spiked over 60% since the war began. The IEA just coordinated the largest emergency reserve drawdown in its 52-year history, releasing 400 million barrels. It has not been enough. 80% of Asia's oil imports pass through the Strait of Hormuz. Vietnam has fewer than 20 days of reserves. Germany, the UK and Italy face the highest recession exposure in Europe. The ECB has already postponed rate cuts and raised its inflation forecast.
The Hormuz Letter tweet media
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Jukan
Jukan@jukan05·
EXCLUSIVE: "Worse Than the Iran Helium Problem"... Semiconductor Industry Faces 'Tungsten Crisis' "Helium can be sourced from the U.S. or Russia. For tungsten, there's nowhere to go but China." While concerns over semiconductor process material procurement — including helium — have emerged in the wake of the Iran war, the semiconductor industry points to tungsten hexafluoride (WF6) as an even more urgent supply risk. Japanese suppliers, which account for roughly 25% of global WF6 supply, have signaled production cuts in the second half of the year. The reason: China's tightening of tungsten export controls toward Japan has made it difficult for them to secure raw materials. According to multiple industry sources on April 3, Japanese WF6 suppliers such as Kanto Denka and Central Glass began notifying Korean semiconductor companies — including Samsung Electronics and DB HiTek — of raw material supply disruptions starting last week. A source familiar with the matter said, "They indicated they can maintain supply through May–June using existing tungsten inventory, but cannot guarantee anything beyond that for the second half." The source added, "They asked Korean clients to seek alternatives such as SK Specialty or Foosung." Samsung Electronics has a higher dependence on Japanese WF6 than SK Hynix, making the switch to domestic suppliers more urgent. SK Hynix is reportedly in a relatively better position, as it already sources some volume from SK Specialty, Foosung, and the Chinese supplier Peric. Meanwhile, some foundries are now under pressure to fast-track process qualification of Korean-made WF6 — a procedure that typically takes over 18 months, parts of which are now being skipped given the urgency. WF6 is a critical precursor used to deposit tungsten films on semiconductor wafers. These tungsten films serve as pathways for electrical signals within chips. While WF6 is used across DRAM, NAND, and logic, consumption is overwhelmingly concentrated in 3D NAND — its vertically stacked cell structure means that at 200 layers, tungsten must be deposited 200 times. A technology transition to replace tungsten interconnects with molybdenum is partially underway in leading-edge NAND processes, but full-scale adoption will take considerable time. WF6 manufacturers import Chinese tungsten powder, react it with fluorine gas at high temperatures, then distill and purify it into high-purity gas for semiconductor use. China accounts for 80% of global tungsten powder supply. Since February of last year, China has imposed an export licensing regime on strategic minerals including tungsten. On top of that, following Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's remarks on Taiwan in January of this year, China added export controls on "dual-use" items destined for Japan. Tungsten powder qualifies as a dual-use item — it is both a semiconductor material and a component used in weapons systems including tanks, missiles, and aircraft. As China's export controls have taken hold, tungsten prices have surged relentlessly. Tungsten powder prices have risen 6–7x over the past year. According to Bloomberg, the international benchmark price for ammonium paratungstate (APT) — the raw material for tungsten powder — has climbed 557% since February of last year. South Korea remains relatively free from China's export controls, and SK Specialty and Foosung have maintained their tungsten powder imports. However, SK Specialty has reportedly notified customers of a more-than-double price increase for WF6. Foosung is taking the same stance, as the cost structure is identical. An industry source said, "The bottom line is that domestic WF6 suppliers stand to benefit from the windfall."
Jukan tweet media
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CEO Technician
CEO Technician@CEOTechnician·
There aren't many ways to play tungsten via the stock market, Almonty $ALM is basically the one that all the hedge funds have piled into due to its Nasdaq listing and soon-to-be producer status. However, lesser known junior (Lundin Group Company) Fireweed Metals has the best tungsten asset in North America (Mactung) $FWZ.V @FireweedMetals And for those with more risk appetite, there are some US explorers worth watching, including Spartan Metals $W.V @SpartanMetalsCo, and Corcel Exploration $CRCL.CA -- Corcel is currently drilling at its Yuma King Project in the Bagdad Mining District of Western Arizona. The Yuma King Project has historical records of high-grade tungsten occurrences, but it is primarily viewed as a copper and gold project. @CorcelExplore
Jukan@jukan05

EXCLUSIVE: "Worse Than the Iran Helium Problem"... Semiconductor Industry Faces 'Tungsten Crisis' "Helium can be sourced from the U.S. or Russia. For tungsten, there's nowhere to go but China." While concerns over semiconductor process material procurement — including helium — have emerged in the wake of the Iran war, the semiconductor industry points to tungsten hexafluoride (WF6) as an even more urgent supply risk. Japanese suppliers, which account for roughly 25% of global WF6 supply, have signaled production cuts in the second half of the year. The reason: China's tightening of tungsten export controls toward Japan has made it difficult for them to secure raw materials. According to multiple industry sources on April 3, Japanese WF6 suppliers such as Kanto Denka and Central Glass began notifying Korean semiconductor companies — including Samsung Electronics and DB HiTek — of raw material supply disruptions starting last week. A source familiar with the matter said, "They indicated they can maintain supply through May–June using existing tungsten inventory, but cannot guarantee anything beyond that for the second half." The source added, "They asked Korean clients to seek alternatives such as SK Specialty or Foosung." Samsung Electronics has a higher dependence on Japanese WF6 than SK Hynix, making the switch to domestic suppliers more urgent. SK Hynix is reportedly in a relatively better position, as it already sources some volume from SK Specialty, Foosung, and the Chinese supplier Peric. Meanwhile, some foundries are now under pressure to fast-track process qualification of Korean-made WF6 — a procedure that typically takes over 18 months, parts of which are now being skipped given the urgency. WF6 is a critical precursor used to deposit tungsten films on semiconductor wafers. These tungsten films serve as pathways for electrical signals within chips. While WF6 is used across DRAM, NAND, and logic, consumption is overwhelmingly concentrated in 3D NAND — its vertically stacked cell structure means that at 200 layers, tungsten must be deposited 200 times. A technology transition to replace tungsten interconnects with molybdenum is partially underway in leading-edge NAND processes, but full-scale adoption will take considerable time. WF6 manufacturers import Chinese tungsten powder, react it with fluorine gas at high temperatures, then distill and purify it into high-purity gas for semiconductor use. China accounts for 80% of global tungsten powder supply. Since February of last year, China has imposed an export licensing regime on strategic minerals including tungsten. On top of that, following Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's remarks on Taiwan in January of this year, China added export controls on "dual-use" items destined for Japan. Tungsten powder qualifies as a dual-use item — it is both a semiconductor material and a component used in weapons systems including tanks, missiles, and aircraft. As China's export controls have taken hold, tungsten prices have surged relentlessly. Tungsten powder prices have risen 6–7x over the past year. According to Bloomberg, the international benchmark price for ammonium paratungstate (APT) — the raw material for tungsten powder — has climbed 557% since February of last year. South Korea remains relatively free from China's export controls, and SK Specialty and Foosung have maintained their tungsten powder imports. However, SK Specialty has reportedly notified customers of a more-than-double price increase for WF6. Foosung is taking the same stance, as the cost structure is identical. An industry source said, "The bottom line is that domestic WF6 suppliers stand to benefit from the windfall."

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First Squawk
First Squawk@FirstSquawk·
JP MORGAN: EXPECTS HORMUZ DISRUPTION TO RESOLVE, OIL TO STAY ABOVE $100/BBL IN Q2 BEFORE EASING IN H2 2026
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Ali Al-Salim
Ali Al-Salim@alialsalim·
The oil shock has yet to arrive in the west. Blue line = Global Oil in Transit (left axis, Drops from 1.7B barrels to 1.4): This tracks the total volume of crude physically sailing on tankers globally. It rose steadily through 2025, then in March 2026, there is a cliff-edge collapse of roughly ~300 mb, as empty tankers cannot be reloaded. Red line = OECD Europe + Americas Commercial Crude (right axis, 0.95B barrels): This tracks commercial crude inventories held by Western buyers. Despite the tanker collapse, this line has barely moved — when it finally does, the physical shock will have arrived.
Ali Al-Salim tweet media
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Javier Blas
Javier Blas@JavierBlas·
Confirmed: the two VLCC oil tankers made it to the other side of the Strait of Hormuz (one carrying ~2 million of Saudi crude; the other with 2 million of Emirate crude). Of course, the key is whether this is a one-off. An third vessel, a LNG carrier, also crossed.
Javier Blas@JavierBlas

Everything suggests that at least ~4 million barrels of crude exited the Strait of Hormuz today. Largest outflow since the 1st day of the Third Gulf War. (... And yes, that's a fraction of the 20 million barrels a day that typically left the SoH on any given day pre-war...)

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Michael Pettis
Michael Pettis@michaelxpettis·
1/12 Caixin: "For the first time, China has embedded a dedicated plan to raise household incomes into a top-level national policy document, signaling a change in priorities as policymakers grapple with persistently weak consumer spending." caixinglobal.com/2026-03-30/cov…
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Wolken@ThomasPhilipp6·
@JohnLatham Pampa Medina scales to 3x2km. 1.21% Cu & 122g/t Ag in SWRD-02 indicate Tier-1 potential. Silver streaming enables CAPEX financing without dilution. With Wozniak (ex-FQM), the construction team is complete. $MARI.TO
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John
John@JohnLatham·
Still need the met results before any of this gets priced in properly — recoveries will make or break the streaming math. But if you're looking for a copper developer that might fund construction without blowing up its cap table, this is one to dig into. What am I missing?
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John
John@JohnLatham·
Most people are sleeping on silver streams as a mine financing tool. $MARI.to just proved Pampa Medina has consistent 5-8 g/t Ag across a 3km x 2km copper deposit — and management is already hinting at what that means. Here's why the silver matters more than the headline suggests 👇
Junior Mining News@JRMiningIntel

Marimaca Reports Additional High-Grade Silver Assays from Consolidated Drill Results at Pampa Medina - $MARI.TO | CEOCA Breaking News @accesswire/marimaca-reports-additional-high-grade-silver-assays" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">ceo.ca/@accesswire/ma…

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Junior Mining News
Junior Mining News@JRMiningIntel·
Marimaca Reports Additional High-Grade Silver Assays from Consolidated Drill Results at Pampa Medina - $MARI.TO | CEOCA Breaking News @accesswire/marimaca-reports-additional-high-grade-silver-assays" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">ceo.ca/@accesswire/ma…
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Mindset for Money
Mindset for Money@Mindset4Money_X·
$MSFT over the past 4 years... Operating cash flow: +91% Market Cap: +9% No, this is not an April fools joke.
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Evan
Evan@StockMKTNewz·
DATA CENTER POWER DEAL Microsoft $MSFT is in exclusive talks with Chevron $CVX and investment fund Engine No. 1 for a long-term deal that would underpin a giant energy complex in West Texas The complex would be used to power a large data centre campus The proposed natural-gas fired power plant in West Texas is projected to cost about $7 billion and initially generate 2,500 megawatts of electricity (Source Bloomberg)
Evan tweet media
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TrendSpider
TrendSpider@TrendSpider·
Since the Covid pandemic, the Bottom Catcher has fired on $MSFT exactly 3 times. Ignore it at your own peril...
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