Thorsten

940 posts

Thorsten

Thorsten

@Thorsten22122

Katılım Ekim 2023
277 Takip Edilen101 Takipçiler
JustDario 🏊‍♂️
Well… guess what? The aggressive OTM buying of these specific crude oil futures OTM call options continued on Friday🧐 - 1.3k calls at 103$ WTI strike - 3.4k calls at 105.5$ - 5k calls at 115$ - 2.6k calls at 130$ - 1k calls at 135$
JustDario 🏊‍♂️@DarioCpx

The strong bid for WTI Jun26 futures call options expiring continued on Thursday… - 1.9k bought 105.5$ strike - 1k bought 115$ strike - 2k bought 135$ strike - 2k bought 159$ strike

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Thorsten@Thorsten22122·
@Truking852 If you do move to a new platform, please let us know :) I’m not on anything but X, but would create a new account to follow you sir!
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KING-Trader
KING-Trader@Truking852·
@Thorsten22122 thanks, but it is the X algorithm, it doesn't encourage trading performance. it just won't push trading content unless i pay up. everybody has a view on the mkt, but I have yet to meet any real time traders who is actually good at trading. guess i'll move to a new platform
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KING-Trader
KING-Trader@Truking852·
Ok guys. I have a perfect trading record for the past 6 months. All my trades have been presented here in real time. No one here on X even come close to beating my performance. but i will now take a break from posting as I don't get enough followers. It's been fun.
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Thorsten@Thorsten22122·
@DarioCpx How do you know these aren’t bear call spreads ?
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KING-Trader@Truking852·
#USOIL took profit @ 107.4 made 20 pts profit, about 20% on a leverage position. very good trade and profit.
KING-Trader@Truking852

#USOIL trade recap: Long oil @ 91.3 Long oil @ 83 average cost @ 87.2

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Thorsten@Thorsten22122·
@Truking852 If this is true and the blockade drags on, I’m thinking if I should buy more USO 🤔
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KING-Trader
KING-Trader@Truking852·
that means $80 is the new floor on oil. US CPI likely going to hit 4%+ in July onwards...
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump just decided how this war ends, and it's not how anyone expected... Trump has reportedly told his aides to prepare for an extended U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The president apparently sees both available off-ramps, pulling out of the conflict entirely or resuming combat operations, as carrying significantly more risk than maintaining the current naval blockade indefinitely. This follows separate reporting that the intelligence community was directed to assess the risks of declaring unilateral victory and pulling back from the conflict. Both data points point in the same direction. Trump is choosing to settle into the standoff rather than force a resolution either way. The logic is brutal but coherent. Resuming bombing burns through more JASSM-ER missiles the Pentagon can't replace for years, risks more American casualties, drives oil even higher heading into midterms, and almost certainly fails to extract the nuclear concession Iran refuses to make. Walking away with no deal hands Iran a clean political victory and tells every adversary that American military pressure can be outwaited. Maintaining the blockade keeps the pressure on Tehran, slowly degrades the Iranian economy, and preserves Trump's leverage for whenever a real diplomatic opening emerges. But there's a real cost to "indefinite blockade" as a strategy. American gas prices already at $4.18 don't ease while the Strait stays effectively closed. Fertilizer prices stay 90% above pre-war levels. Global supply chains stay fractured. The Iran war might be morphing into a permanent low-intensity confrontation, with the U.S. Navy enforcing a blockade in perpetuity while Iran keeps boarding ships, deploying cyber attacks, and waiting for the political pressure on Trump to crack first. Source: WSJ

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Thorsten@Thorsten22122·
@nicksortor Hot Take: I disagree. She should be focusing on delivering her new child and resting. Not working up to the very last minute. This is a bad example for women, and a symptom of our rotten culture that prioritizes work above family.
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Nick Sortor
Nick Sortor@nicksortor·
Friday was supposed to be Karoline Leavitt's last day before maternity leave. She's 39 WEEKS PREGNANT, and could go into labor at any time. But she came BACK to the podium today, because some radical anti-Trump leftist tried kiIIing the President on Saturday. God bless her.
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Thorsten@Thorsten22122·
@DarioCpx Talk about out of the frying pan into the fire. China is one of the last places I’d flee to.
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JustDario 🏊‍♂️
JustDario 🏊‍♂️@DarioCpx·
The amount of people trying to leave Dubai and come to Hong Kong is so high that in the past 2 months rents all across the city are up from 15 to 25% in absolute terms. The same people are moving capital to the city too - The UAE won’t be going through just a temporary downturn
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Michael, CPA
Michael, CPA@MacGillivrayCPA·
@JPM6548 @InTheAssembly Yes - the trade was for 33.3% ROI which is absolutely absurd returns. How else would you have done it? 33.3% ROI in 24 hours is absurd
Michael, CPA tweet media
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The Assembly
The Assembly@InTheAssembly·
Michael called the exact top on CAR yesterday. We took a position, we’re up 33%. The Assembly keeps delivering. Reopening May 18, don’t miss it 🥂
The Assembly tweet media
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Codie Sanchez
Codie Sanchez@Codie_Sanchez·
Dear old people: Waking up early, being married, going to church, reading books, going to bed at 10pm, drinking less, and staying home more is actually amazing. Sorry I was wrong.
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Thorsten@Thorsten22122·
@Truking852 That makes total sense. He’s also probably waiting for intelligence to figure out the new state of Iranian military and leadership, so he can strike with more deadly accuracy.
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KING-Trader
KING-Trader@Truking852·
If Trump wants a final big strike, he needs all the firepower he can gather and Israel to focus specifically on Iran. All the pieces will fall into place by this wkd. Perhaps that is the real reason for ceasefire extension by 3 - 5 days.
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KING-Trader
KING-Trader@Truking852·
just when everyone thinks Trump will TACO this wkd if there's no deal, they'd be wrong imo. at least two things are preventing Trump from striking today, but won't be this wkd: 1) Israel/Lebanon peace talk in washington on Thurs 2) USS Bush strike carrier arriving in 3 day time
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Thorsten@Thorsten22122·
@hajiyev_rashad Both sides think they have the upper hand and losing for either side would be catastrophic. I don't see how the war can end anytime soon.
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Rashad Hajiyev
Rashad Hajiyev@hajiyev_rashad·
For the pat 3 weeks gold has been trading just around $4.8k waiting for clues on war with Iran. In March gold would get completely knocked out even on escalation news, now gold holds firmly and miners grinding higher. I think this war is about to end propelling metals to record highs….
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Thorsten@Thorsten22122·
@SNEED931706 @Tuingevoelnl @MBAeconomics1 True, but he’s been pushing hard that it’s going to happen any day now. For him to buy calls so far out in time tells me he doesn’t believe his own timeline
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SNEED
SNEED@SNEED931706·
@Thorsten22122 @Tuingevoelnl @MBAeconomics1 I mean you can have a theory but at the end of the day anything can push it back a month or two. why gamble on the day when you can gamble on the movement of the price in a rough timeframe
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MBAeconomics
MBAeconomics@MBAeconomics1·
$CDE $25 strike, 1/15/27 exp. FILLED $AG $25 strike, 1/15/27 exp. FILLED $PAAS $65 strike, 1/15/27 exp. FILLED This is how i am playing the silver repricing event.
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Thorsten@Thorsten22122·
@Tuingevoelnl @MBAeconomics1 So you're saying he's not sure exactly what month the pricing agreement will take effect? If yes, he's constantly been posting that the agreement is immanent.
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Thorsten@Thorsten22122·
@potassium_phd I think there is no way either side can come to an agreement right now. Iran leaders are fanatical and think they have the winning hand. Trump cannot walk away and let Iran control Hormuz.
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Thorsten@Thorsten22122·
@Truking852 Yes I am absolutely convinced there is no peace deal. Didn't buy any today so I may consider it tomorrow.
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KING-Trader
KING-Trader@Truking852·
@Thorsten22122 well, vix has came down quite a bit so the vol premium has contracted by a lot. options are only for short term trades. if you are also convinced that there will be no peace deal then could be a good trade.
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KING-Trader
KING-Trader@Truking852·
#USOIL Long oil @ 91.3 i anticipate that there will be no peace deal and Strait of Hormuz will remain closed.
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KING-Trader
KING-Trader@Truking852·
#Gold took profit @ 4804 made about 400 pts profit. happy trading.
KING-Trader@Truking852

#Gold trade recap: bot @ 4670 bot @ 4370 bot @ 4170 average cost: $4403 i also loaded up miners on Friday. this is the load the truck moment for me.

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