K0N2TI

@kevinxu $OUST

which stock should i not go all in next?

@ParadisLabs Your take on $2GB (2G Energy)?

Ceres Power is an alternative to $FCEL + $BE: We all know about the power bottleneck for data centers by now? Solid oxide fuel cells (SOFCs) bypass current grid limitations by offering rapid time-to-power. Ceres, $BE & $FCEL are all in SOFCs: $BE wins in the sector due to their commercials (e.g. $NBIS, $ORCL) + is largely priced-in now imo. But I think Ceres comes in second place when looking from a tech lens. I’m not going to trash talk $FCEL cos I actually do have a position w/ a ~70:30 split weighted towards Ceres. And just quickly: I ultimately seeing the whole Fuel Cell sector winning together since the TAM is so huge. Note: Being transparent, I'd be very shocked to see any sort of parabolic run like $SIVE type names. --- With Ceres, they abandoned attempts to manufacture + pivoted to a pure IP-licensing model: They’ve developed next-gen + patented solid oxide tech IP. This enables Ceres to license IP to manufacturing partners for mass production. They also license system IP where stacks are integrated into power systems, which are sold to end markets. They then earn revenue (royalties) through up-front licence fees for access to the IP + are based on kW of product sold into end markets. This model delivers high margins (~70%) + recurring revenue + minimal capex for Ceres itself. FY25 revenue was £32.6M (first-ever royalties of £110k from Doosan) And FY26 has £45M already contracted. So really, the investment case hinges on whether Ceres can convert its tech leadership + partner momentum into scalable royalties. And yes, I do believe they’re leading r.e. the tech itself vs. other SOFC companies: They launched Ceres Endura in April which claims: -> 5-year stack life -> >65% electrical efficiency on nat gas -> >90% total efficiency in CHP applications -> "up to one-third lower system manufacturing cost at scale than alternative high-tempSOFC technologies" In plain English - Ceres runs at lower temps (450-630C) vs. $BE (800C) vs. $FCEL (~650C). Every other technical advantage flows from temperature, because temperature drives degradation kinetics + BOM. I’m not gonna pretend to fully understand the tech, but that’s the TLDR to the best of my knowledge. --- Field data from Doosan deployments over 2026-28 will be the decisive validator, but the design directly targets Bloom’s cost structure while maintaining the licensing model’s operating leverage. Ceres’ value creation ultimately rests on its manufacturing partners, who have collectively sunk an estimated ~$850M in factories tooled to its IP. Key relationships include: -> Doosan Fuel Cell (Korea): 50MW factory went live in July 2025 + generated Ceres’ first royalties in FY25. 2026 ship volumes (targeting tens of MW) are the most important near-term catalyst for Ceres’ re-rating. -> Delta Electronics (Taiwan): Signed licence in 2024 (£43M over three years). Delta has acquired land for a factory (~£170m investment) + formed a strategic partnership w/ Centrica (UK) to deploy off-grid SOFC systems for UK + European data centres. First commercial product is targeted for end of 2026. -> Weichai Power (China): Nov 2025 manufacturing licence agreement gives Ceres access to the Chinese market for AI data centres. Weichai are a ~20% shareholder + ~$30B rev giant. All this to say, things are still early for Ceres: $BE ships gigawatts today on older, hotter, less efficient chemistry. $FCEL ships about 50 MW per year of structurally inferior technology. Ceres has shipped £110K of royalty rev (to Doosan) across all partners in its 25-yr history. So Bloom has the best commercial biz by far. For quick napkin maths: -> A 2x re-rating on 15x EV/sales requires ~£200M revenue. -> At 2-4% effective royalty on stack value (~30% of system) that's ~$25B cumulative sales. I don’t see that happening at current partner capacity, so would potentially need new licensees signing, not just existing partners scaling. Which is definitely possible according to mgmt commentary: Ceres’ addressable SOFC market is estimated by management at ~22 GW by 2030 (roughly 50% data centres, 50% industrial/commercial). The royalty model means Ceres captures upside with limited capital outlay. A single partner scaling to hundreds of MW can drive tens of millions in annual royalties at plausible 2-4% effective rates on stack value. Multiple partners ramping + new MLAs could push revenue into low hundreds of millions by the early 2030s. --- But there are ofc risks e.g. dilution: Share count grew from ~80M (2015) to ~195M (2026). Future dilution risk currently low imo (cash runway to 2029) but not zero if M&A / capacity buildout pivots strategy. Another is the licensing model itself can be a drawback since they're at the whim of their partners' operations. So really, you'd wanna track their partners closely to see what deals they're signing in the future. --- Disclosure 1: as mentioned, I currently have a position. Mainly out of support for UK tech. Disclosure 2: if I need the cash for something else, I may sell due to already being invested in $BE, so it could easily turn into a short-term swing trade.

@CKCapitalxx @OptimusDelta What’s your take on $OUST?

Everyone wants humanoid robot exposure right now. Most people are waiting for Figure or Boston Dynamics to IPO at $30 to $50 billion valuations. There is a better way to play it today. Wanna give a shoutout to @OptimusDelta for bringing this one up to me. $AMBA — Ambarella. The chip inside the robot that lets it see and think. Here is why this is the picks and shovels play of the physical AI wave. Every humanoid robot. Every autonomous vehicle. Every intelligent drone. Every smart camera making real time decisions needs a chip that processes AI inference on the device itself. Not in the cloud. On the device. In milliseconds. On a battery sized power budget. $AMBA makes exactly that chip. The CV3-AD family is already in production with Continental for 2027 start of production on autonomous vehicles. The CV5 is inside competing drones. The N1 platform runs multi-modal AI at the edge. 42 million units shipped. 370 different customer products in production today. 15 years of software depth baked into CVflow. Switching costs that make customers permanent once they design in. Edge AI is now 80% of revenue growing roughly 50% year over year. $391 million in revenue. Net cash. No debt. Gross margins in the low 60s expanding as automotive mix grows. $3.3 billion market cap. Bloomberg reported they retained bankers for a potential sale. Every major Western chip company that wants a low power vision silicon answer has one name to call. People are waiting for humanoid IPOs at $30 to $50 billion. $AMBA is the pick and shovel play sitting at $3.3 billion today.

@daniel_koss Finally gaining some momentum. Any news?

Sweet $PNG.V / $KRKNF up ~9% Currently 25% of my portfolio.

@moninvestor It will become my first tenbagger ever. Currently at ~750% profit

$SIVE keeps going. 😅 Congrats to everyone who got in early and is still invested.

@aleabitoreddit Yeah $M7U (Nynomic) +7% as well. Lets ride

European quantum/optical/glass chokepoints go BRRR? $ALRIB +8.35% $LPK +3.21% $IQE +5.68% $SOI +4.98% As a side thought, it’s a nice vote of confidence to retail that the LPKF CEO bought shares off the market. More CEOs should do the same, even if it’s small.

@daniel_koss Need to see thesis validation frist after that let this shit run and always look back at $BE if you want to sell early.

$BE is up 1611% in 1 year! Now if we believe $FCEL (stock) is truly the next $BE or even comparable, the hard part is obvious: not selling... I genuinely don't know how to approach this. I'm valuation sensitive and I will be honest: I would've sold $BE every damn time at 10x sales (so basically I would've missed the entire run). I only recently held it, because I realized it's so perfectly positioned, the market will simply pay the premium, because insane growth until 2030 will be priced in. So how do we approach this for $FCEL IF we get big deals, announcements and everything we ask for? How do we prevent selling after +100% to not miss a much bigger run? How did $PLTR investors just hold when the stock was trading at a gazillion PE ratio? I kinda respect it, but it also sounds retarded if I'm honest and it's just not the type of strategy I can follow (because again, I strongly believe valuations matter a ton). Tough life.

@bennybigbull Why $RKLB over $ASTS?

Given the research I have done, this will likely be what my long term portfolio looks like. Space - $RKLB AI - $NBIS Robotics - $OUST & $MP Energy - $BE Drones/Defence - $AVAV Thoughts?

@daniel_koss Bro why make $FCEL your biggest position? And yeah missing $OUST as well 🥲

My Autopilot portfolio is now up 109%. $FCEL $NBIS But if it ever crashes and burns, just know I will blame it on $IREN.

@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit $BOT or $IREN? 🤣

$BOT is the biggest red flag. NAV is $7.34/share. The stock is now trading at $37.92. You are basically buying Figure at $200B+ while it’s valued at $39B. Buying the company is just trading pyramid float dynamics off other retail. Not the appreciation or underlying fundamentals. To make matters worse: There’s $2B dilution as valuation arbitrage as you all get diluted to oblivion. I got a lot of fund managers dming influencers like myself about it but in reality: Retail just looks like exit liquidity.

@moninvestor Do you still own $KRKNF?

Great day overall. > $IREN ended the day +7.65%. +100M volume. 🔥 > While $CRWV -11%. $NBIS -4%. $WULF -2%. > Trump just said - "Go out and buy a $DELL ". 🧐 > $RKLB +34% Congrats to all shareholders. > New stock added to watchlist. $CSIQ. 👀 > My latest stocks $PENG +13% & $INV +12%. Have a nice weekend all. 🫡

@babyfolio $M7U

What sector or company is not priced in yet? Give me your suggestions

@daniel_koss Und man ärgert sich wieder nicht deine degen Portfolio Gewichtung zu haben 😂. Long $NBIS 🚀

Life of a $NBIS investor: scroll X and randomly learn 1. Microsoft pays them 40% upfront 2. They delivered the second tranche in time, in February 3. OpenAI now uses ClickHouse Just a normal weekend of winning, I guess.

@moninvestor They will cook with their next deal for sure. I’ll give them as much time as they need. Don’t own enough

@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts on $M7U?

Thoughts on LPKF Laser < $LPK / $LPKFF> earnings: Very nuanced, here's what markets might have missed: If you look at the financials in isolation and don't understand qualification cycles, it's bad. The earnings call for volume ramp indicators are what's actually important. 1. "Potential volume orders in Advanced Packaging are not included in this baseline guidance" Any volume production equipment order that lands H2 will act as an immediate upside surprise to their projections. (positive) 2. "LIDE is currently in use by numerous semiconductor customers in test and R&D environments; the expected follow-up orders..." Confirmation of what we expected, with many semiconductor companies qualifying $LPK. (positive) 3. "First production orders expected this year" Inflection point of volume ramp confirmation H2 2026, this is probably the biggest signal markets missed + no projections included around that. (very positive) From previous interviews we can stitch together: Q: 2027 as the start of mass production for glass substrates. Does this timeline still hold? "Yes. Market players are preparing orders for production equipment, and initial orders have already been recorded in the first quarter. While challenges remain, I still expect 2027 to mark the beginning of mass production." 2027 is mass production of glass core substrates, but H2 2026 is start of mass production orders for $LPK, **which is not included in any forecasts**. We got confirmation of timelines from earnings. Basically: -> You won't see any projections/financials around glass core substrate related VOLUME RAMP which is the only thing American investors care about with this company. -> Earnings in isolation were objectively terrible, but you only care about this as a European if you model based on previous 12 months only (instead of future growth). -> Confirmation of volume ramp starting H2. Glass Core substrate mass production 2027. If anything, this was extremely positive for the core thesis about volume ramp for glass core substrates. We'll see how much the orders are though.

@daniel_koss Ragebait question 100% 😂 Btw do you speak German?

Got asked if it's time to sell $OUST Short answer: no! Ouster has 1'000+ customers and they’ve only mentioned ~100 Some of the sensitive customers they don't talk about are the most interesting ones! For example: Anduril. I see this going to $40 - $60 this year. Which implies ~44% to 116% upside from here. Physical AI is a decades long supercycle and Ouster is well positioned to capture an absolute sweet spot in it. If you're looking for a stock that can compound for the next 5 years hold and go enjoy your life. Nuanced answer: I hope you guys do by now understand how I invest! I'm always looking for the BEST opportunity. Even if I had a written guarantee that Ouster would go up 100% this year by the US government, I might still sell it for one simple reason in the future: if I find an even better opportunity! For example what if Nebius would suddenly crash to a ridiculous number because of some stupid FUD making the rounds? Obviously I would sell other stocks that I'm very bullish on to buy whatever I think has the best upside. At the end of the day I try to maximize one thing: returns.

@thexanguy Your thoughts on $AIXA, $P4O and $LPK?

Aged well, and every re-rated value it gets is justified so far. Still early

@moninvestor Wow. Hope to be there someday…

Over the past three years, I put in £30,000 in total. Last week alone, I made £28,055.45. Nearly everything I've ever put in, made back in a single week.

@WatcherGuru jestermaxxing at this point bro

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 President Trump says interest rates will drop once Kevin Warsh becomes Fed Chair.

@moninvestor And it’s the other way around with $ONDS 😂. Order after order bigger and bigger but price isnt moving at all.

JUST over two weeks ago, $IREN was at $31. Now at $46. +47.66%. Very impressive, considering they haven’t announced any additional deals yet.